ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 951
Avg Goals 2.85
Avg Home 1.62
Avg Away 1.23
Home Win % 44.7%
Draw % 27.9%
Away Win % 27.4%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 643
Avg Brier Score 0.6331
Pick Accuracy 47.6%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6347
Market Brier 0.6319
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 643 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.8% 8.3% 12
10–20% 16.4% 18.8% 170
20–30% 25.8% 27.3% 902
30–40% 35.1% 36.1% 330
40–50% 45.0% 42.9% 273
50–60% 54.2% 47.7% 149
60–70% 64.6% 59.2% 71
70–80% 74.2% 68.4% 19
80–90% 81.6% 66.7% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
17.07.23 Örebro SK vs Trelleborgs FF 0-0 50% 52% -3.0 26% 29% -11.7 24% 29% -16.8
22.07.23 Gefle IF vs Östersunds FK 2-2 28% 30% -7.6 28% 30% -7.3 44% 49% -10.0
22.07.23 GIF Sundsvall vs Örebro SK 2-2 32% 34% -4.3 27% 29% -6.8 40% 47% -13.7
22.07.23 Landskrona BoIS vs Athletic FC United 1-2 58% 58% -0.2 23% 27% -14.8 19% 25% -23.0
23.07.23 IK Brage vs Östers IF 1-2 33% 35% -4.8 27% 29% -7.5 40% 47% -14.8
24.07.23 Helsingborgs IF vs Trelleborgs FF 1-3 49% 51% -3.4 27% 30% -11.3 24% 29% -14.8
29.07.23 Örgryte IS vs IK Brage 1-1 47% 49% -2.7 26% 29% -9.8 27% 32% -17.0
29.07.23 Östers IF vs Jönköpings Södra IF 4-0 67% 67% -0.3 20% 24% -18.1 14% 18% -25.4
29.07.23 Östersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall 1-1 57% 56% 1.0 24% 29% -16.6 19% 25% -23.5
30.07.23 Trelleborgs FF vs Landskrona BoIS 0-3 47% 49% -4.4 26% 29% -10.4 27% 32% -16.2
31.07.23 Utsiktens BK vs Helsingborgs IF 1-1 46% 47% -0.7 27% 31% -12.6 26% 32% -17.9
31.07.23 Örebro SK vs Gais Göteborg 0-0 26% 29% -8.9 27% 29% -5.9 47% 53% -10.5
05.08.23 Athletic FC United vs Östers IF 1-1 23% 27% -13.3 26% 28% -5.9 50% 55% -7.8
05.08.23 Gefle IF vs IK Brage 2-0 28% 32% -12.7 27% 29% -7.2 45% 49% -8.7
05.08.23 Landskrona BoIS vs Östersunds FK 0-1 46% 48% -3.3 27% 30% -11.1 27% 32% -16.2
06.08.23 Gais Göteborg vs GIF Sundsvall 3-3 80% 81% -1.5 13% 17% -23.5 7% 10% -30.1
07.08.23 Trelleborgs FF vs Örebro SK 2-2 41% 43% -2.5 28% 31% -10.2 30% 36% -14.7
08.08.23 Helsingborgs IF vs Örgryte IS 2-3 46% 48% -4.3 27% 30% -10.7 27% 32% -15.2
12.08.23 IK Brage vs Gais Göteborg 0-4 27% 31% -12.2 27% 29% -6.1 46% 51% -8.6
12.08.23 Utsiktens BK vs Landskrona BoIS 5-1 57% 58% -2.2 25% 29% -15.6 18% 23% -19.5
12.08.23 Östers IF vs Gefle IF 1-2 80% 81% -1.9 13% 17% -22.8 7% 10% -28.7
12.08.23 Östersunds FK vs Athletic FC United 1-1 53% 53% 0.3 25% 29% -14.2 22% 28% -20.8
13.08.23 GIF Sundsvall vs Trelleborgs FF 1-1 38% 40% -5.8 27% 29% -7.7 35% 41% -13.8
13.08.23 Västeras SK FK vs Helsingborgs IF 3-2 64% 65% -1.4 20% 24% -16.4 15% 20% -24.2
14.08.23 Örebro SK vs Jönköpings Södra IF 3-0 54% 54% -0.3 25% 29% -14.5 21% 26% -20.3
19.08.23 Gefle IF vs Örebro SK 2-1 25% 29% -11.3 27% 29% -6.2 48% 53% -9.1
19.08.23 Jönköpings Södra IF vs Helsingborgs IF 2-2 42% 43% -4.2 27% 29% -8.6 31% 37% -15.1
19.08.23 Landskrona BoIS vs IK Brage 3-0 41% 44% -7.1 27% 29% -7.6 32% 36% -11.7
19.08.23 Skövde AIK vs GIF Sundsvall 2-0 44% 45% -2.4 26% 29% -10.4 29% 36% -18.0
20.08.23 Trelleborgs FF vs Östers IF 1-3 26% 29% -10.4 26% 28% -5.1 48% 53% -9.7
20.08.23 Örgryte IS vs Östersunds FK 2-2 47% 47% 0.3 27% 31% -12.3 26% 32% -18.3
26.08.23 Örebro SK vs Västeras SK FK 1-1 31% 32% -4.1 28% 30% -7.8 41% 48% -13.6
27.08.23 IK Brage vs Utsiktens BK 3-0 36% 36% 1.6 29% 32% -10.9 35% 42% -17.1
27.08.23 Östers IF vs Örgryte IS 2-0 68% 67% 0.9 19% 23% -18.4 13% 18% -26.3
27.08.23 Östersunds FK vs Trelleborgs FF 2-2 52% 52% 0.4 26% 30% -14.6 22% 28% -20.4
28.08.23 GIF Sundsvall vs Jönköpings Södra IF 3-2 45% 47% -2.8 26% 29% -9.2 29% 35% -17.2
29.08.23 Helsingborgs IF vs Landskrona BoIS 1-2 48% 47% 2.8 26% 30% -13.8 26% 33% -21.8
01.09.23 Örgryte IS vs Örebro SK 0-3 42% 43% -1.1 27% 30% -9.7 31% 36% -16.0
02.09.23 Landskrona BoIS vs Gais Göteborg 2-1 27% 29% -6.7 27% 29% -6.2 46% 53% -13.1
02.09.23 Skövde AIK vs Östers IF 1-2 20% 24% -16.3 25% 26% -6.3 55% 60% -8.0
02.09.23 Utsiktens BK vs Östersunds FK 0-0 56% 56% 0.1 25% 30% -16.6 19% 24% -21.4
02.09.23 Västeras SK FK vs IK Brage 0-0 63% 62% 0.3 21% 25% -17.0 17% 22% -25.5
03.09.23 Helsingborgs IF vs GIF Sundsvall 3-2 52% 50% 4.0 25% 29% -16.4 23% 31% -25.1
16.09.23 IK Brage vs Trelleborgs FF 1-1 53% 53% -0.8 25% 29% -13.2 22% 28% -20.3
16.09.23 Östersunds FK vs Gefle IF 2-2 64% 64% 0.1 22% 27% -18.3 14% 19% -24.0
17.09.23 Gais Göteborg vs Helsingborgs IF 4-1 70% 70% -0.5 18% 22% -19.8 12% 17% -27.4
17.09.23 GIF Sundsvall vs Utsiktens BK 1-0 30% 32% -5.8 28% 30% -7.7 42% 48% -12.5
17.09.23 Örebro SK vs Skövde AIK 5-3 64% 65% -1.2 21% 24% -14.9 15% 20% -22.6
18.09.23 Jönköpings Södra IF vs Landskrona BoIS 1-2 40% 43% -6.3 27% 29% -7.6 33% 38% -12.7
18.09.23 Östers IF vs Västeras SK FK 2-2 51% 53% -2.4 25% 28% -11.0 24% 29% -18.7
22.09.23 Helsingborgs IF vs Athletic FC United 1-0 48% 48% -0.0 26% 29% -12.2 27% 33% -20.3
22.09.23 IK Brage vs Örebro SK 2-1 43% 43% -1.2 27% 31% -10.9 30% 36% -17.0
23.09.23 Landskrona BoIS vs Östers IF 2-2 26% 29% -9.8 26% 28% -5.2 48% 53% -10.4
23.09.23 Skövde AIK vs Östersunds FK 5-1 30% 32% -6.6 28% 31% -7.8 41% 47% -10.8
23.09.23 Västeras SK FK vs GIF Sundsvall 2-0 71% 71% -0.9 18% 22% -19.4 12% 16% -27.0
27.09.23 Skövde AIK vs Landskrona BoIS 4-2 37% 41% -8.4 27% 29% -6.4 36% 41% -12.1
27.09.23 Östers IF vs Helsingborgs IF 1-1 70% 69% 0.1 18% 23% -20.4 12% 17% -27.4
27.09.23 Östersunds FK vs IK Brage 2-0 40% 39% 2.5 28% 32% -12.0 31% 38% -18.3
28.09.23 GIF Sundsvall vs Gefle IF 2-2 56% 57% -1.3 23% 27% -13.4 20% 26% -21.1
28.09.23 Örebro SK vs Utsiktens BK 5-1 46% 48% -3.5 27% 30% -10.2 27% 31% -14.1
02.10.23 IK Brage vs Skövde AIK 3-2 61% 61% 0.7 22% 26% -15.6 17% 23% -23.8
02.10.23 Jönköpings Södra IF vs Östersunds FK 1-1 38% 39% -2.8 29% 32% -10.5 33% 38% -14.2
03.10.23 Gais Göteborg vs Östers IF 1-0 49% 51% -3.6 26% 29% -10.7 25% 30% -17.3
03.10.23 Helsingborgs IF vs Örebro SK 4-1 35% 36% -2.3 27% 29% -7.2 38% 44% -14.9
03.10.23 Landskrona BoIS vs GIF Sundsvall 2-2 53% 54% -2.2 24% 28% -12.3 23% 29% -20.2
07.10.23 Östers IF vs Örebro SK 3-0 55% 53% 2.0 24% 28% -14.8 22% 29% -23.7
07.10.23 Östersunds FK vs Helsingborgs IF 1-0 51% 51% 1.4 26% 30% -14.2 23% 29% -20.3
08.10.23 Athletic FC United vs Landskrona BoIS 0-1 40% 41% -2.3 27% 29% -8.2 33% 39% -15.6
08.10.23 GIF Sundsvall vs IK Brage 1-2 34% 35% -1.9 27% 29% -6.5 39% 47% -15.9
21.10.23 Gais Göteborg vs Östersunds FK 2-1 74% 76% -2.1 16% 21% -21.1 9% 13% -27.4
21.10.23 Helsingborgs IF vs Gefle IF 0-0 64% 65% -1.8 21% 24% -15.9 15% 20% -23.6
22.10.23 IK Brage vs Athletic FC United 4-0 60% 60% -0.0 22% 27% -16.1 18% 24% -23.9
22.10.23 Landskrona BoIS vs Västeras SK FK 0-1 25% 28% -8.5 26% 28% -5.0 48% 54% -10.8
24.10.23 Utsiktens BK vs Östers IF 2-1 35% 38% -6.0 29% 31% -8.7 36% 41% -11.8
24.10.23 Örebro SK vs GIF Sundsvall 0-1 61% 60% 1.1 21% 26% -16.8 18% 24% -25.5
28.10.23 Gefle IF vs Landskrona BoIS 3-3 36% 40% -10.4 27% 29% -5.6 37% 41% -8.9
28.10.23 Trelleborgs FF vs Helsingborgs IF 0-0 37% 38% -0.9 27% 29% -8.6 36% 43% -17.8
28.10.23 Östersunds FK vs Örebro SK 4-3 37% 38% -4.3 28% 31% -9.6 35% 41% -14.4
29.10.23 Östers IF vs IK Brage 1-0 63% 63% -0.4 21% 24% -15.7 16% 22% -24.5
30.10.23 GIF Sundsvall vs Örgryte IS 1-0 40% 41% -3.2 27% 29% -8.5 34% 40% -16.1
04.11.23 Helsingborgs IF vs IK Brage 2-0 48% 51% -4.5 26% 29% -9.7 26% 31% -15.6
04.11.23 Örebro SK vs Landskrona BoIS 4-0 66% 68% -2.6 20% 23% -14.9 14% 18% -22.6
04.11.23 Östersunds FK vs Östers IF 1-2 20% 22% -8.4 25% 26% -3.7 55% 62% -11.4
05.11.23 GIF Sundsvall vs Athletic FC United 1-1 51% 51% -1.2 25% 29% -12.2 24% 30% -19.9
11.11.23 Athletic FC United vs Örebro SK 3-0 33% 37% -9.9 27% 29% -6.7 39% 43% -9.8
11.11.23 IK Brage vs Jönköpings Södra IF 4-0 43% 42% 3.7 26% 29% -9.9 31% 39% -20.8
11.11.23 Landskrona BoIS vs Örgryte IS 1-2 32% 34% -7.3 26% 28% -4.9 42% 48% -12.6
11.11.23 Skövde AIK vs Helsingborgs IF 1-0 39% 40% -1.4 27% 30% -9.7 33% 40% -17.0
11.11.23 Västeras SK FK vs Östersunds FK 0-2 64% 64% 0.2 20% 24% -16.1 16% 22% -25.4
11.11.23 Östers IF vs GIF Sundsvall 4-0 81% 83% -2.4 13% 16% -21.6 7% 10% -28.6
23.11.23 Falkenbergs FF vs Skövde AIK 2-2 47% 45% 3.5 27% 31% -14.3 26% 33% -21.5
26.11.23 Skövde AIK vs Falkenbergs FF 3-0 47% 48% -1.9 26% 29% -11.2 27% 33% -18.5
30.03.24 GIF Sundsvall vs Östersunds FK 1-0 35% 38% -6.1 29% 32% -9.7 35% 40% -11.4
31.03.24 Landskrona BoIS vs Sandvikens IF 4-0 45% 49% -7.5 26% 29% -8.4 29% 33% -13.8
31.03.24 Trelleborgs FF vs IK Oddevold 1-2 43% 45% -4.6 28% 31% -10.7 29% 33% -13.8
01.04.24 Gefle IF vs Helsingborgs IF 2-3 26% 28% -5.0 28% 30% -8.0 46% 53% -13.1
01.04.24 IK Brage vs Varbergs BoIS FC 1-0 48% 47% 2.1 26% 30% -13.4 26% 33% -21.2
01.04.24 Örebro SK vs Skövde AIK 0-1 58% 57% 0.7 24% 29% -16.8 19% 24% -23.3
02.04.24 Östers IF vs Degerfors IF 1-1 52% 55% -5.1 25% 29% -11.1 23% 27% -15.8
06.04.24 Degerfors IF vs GIF Sundsvall 2-0 65% 64% 1.9 20% 25% -19.8 15% 21% -27.7
Showing the 100 most recent of 643 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 IFK Norrköping FK 1962.94
2 Östersunds FK 1948.86
3 IK Oddevold 1935.85
4 Landskrona BoIS 1934.00
5 Falkenbergs FF 1918.25
6 Varbergs BoIS FC 1892.83
7 IFK Värnamo 1885.85
8 Helsingborgs IF 1845.11
9 Nordic United 1837.78
10 Norrby IF 1836.67
11 Ljungskile SK 1826.90
12 Örebro SK 1811.31
13 IK Brage 1809.47
14 Sandvikens IF 1806.73
15 Östers IF 1789.95
16 GIF Sundsvall 1651.36

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 IFK Norrköping FK 1967.47
2 Östersunds FK 1935.08
3 Landskrona BoIS 1852.58
4 IK Oddevold 1850.48
5 Norrby IF 1849.43
6 Falkenbergs FF 1835.92
7 Varbergs BoIS FC 1835.71
8 Örebro SK 1816.46
9 IFK Värnamo 1815.38
10 Ljungskile SK 1796.25
11 IK Brage 1769.29
12 Helsingborgs IF 1762.10
13 Sandvikens IF 1747.87
14 Nordic United 1740.52
15 Östers IF 1723.43
16 GIF Sundsvall 1613.06