ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 224
Avg Goals 2.31
Avg Home 1.32
Avg Away 0.99
Home Win % 42.4%
Draw % 27.7%
Away Win % 29.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 224
Avg Brier Score 0.5754
Pick Accuracy 54.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5793
Market Brier 0.5743
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 8
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 7 of 224 matches had at least one · staked 8.00, profit -8.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 3 0.0% 3.00 -3.00 -100.0%
draw 2 0.0% 2.00 -2.00 -100.0%
away 3 0.0% 3.00 -3.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 0.0% 15
10–20% 16.5% 13.9% 79
20–30% 26.1% 20.5% 190
30–40% 33.2% 33.6% 232
40–50% 44.8% 53.6% 69
50–60% 54.4% 57.7% 52
60–70% 63.9% 85.0% 20
70–80% 73.1% 76.9% 13
80–90% 81.7% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
22.09.23 Al Jaish Damascus vs Teshrin Latakia 1-1 33% 39% -15.4 33% 36% -10.1 34% 37% -7.8
22.09.23 Al Sahel Tartus vs Al Horriya 2-0 40% 45% -12.8 29% 31% -6.6 31% 36% -14.2
22.09.23 Al Taliya Hama vs Homs Al Fidaa 0-0 25% 29% -12.3 31% 34% -8.3 44% 50% -12.2
22.09.23 Hutteen Latakia vs Al Wahda Damascus 1-0 34% 38% -10.5 32% 36% -9.9 33% 38% -13.2
23.09.23 Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Jabala SC 2-2 40% 44% -9.8 31% 34% -9.6 29% 33% -13.8
23.09.23 Al Karamah Hims vs Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 1-1 28% 26% 5.8 29% 31% -6.1 43% 55% -21.6
29.09.23 Al Wahda Damascus vs Al Jaish Damascus 1-1 32% 36% -12.2 32% 35% -8.9 36% 41% -11.5
29.09.23 Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Sahel Tartus 0-0 56% 60% -6.8 27% 31% -13.4 17% 21% -18.1
29.09.23 Jabala SC vs Al Karamah Hims 1-1 46% 53% -12.1 30% 33% -9.5 24% 26% -10.4
29.09.23 Teshrin Latakia vs Al Taliya Hama 1-0 58% 65% -11.1 27% 29% -9.7 15% 17% -7.9
27.10.23 Al Jaish Damascus vs Homs Al Fidaa 0-2 43% 50% -14.0 32% 36% -10.6 25% 27% -7.3
27.10.23 Al Karamah Hims vs Hutteen Latakia 1-2 44% 51% -12.7 31% 34% -9.3 25% 28% -9.5
27.10.23 Al Taliya Hama vs Jabala SC 0-1 23% 26% -9.0 31% 33% -7.7 46% 53% -13.7
27.10.23 Teshrin Latakia vs Al Horriya 2-1 70% 77% -9.3 20% 23% -10.2 10% 11% -11.3
02.11.23 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor vs Al Ittihad Aleppo 1-0 50% 54% -7.5 29% 33% -12.6 21% 25% -16.5
03.11.23 Al Horriya vs Al Taliya Hama 0-1 28% 31% -9.8 33% 36% -10.1 40% 45% -13.0
03.11.23 Al Wahda Damascus vs Al Karamah Hims 2-2 34% 37% -9.1 33% 36% -10.4 34% 39% -13.9
03.11.23 Homs Al Fidaa vs Teshrin Latakia 2-0 31% 34% -8.1 33% 37% -11.1 36% 42% -14.9
03.11.23 Hutteen Latakia vs Al Jaish Damascus 1-0 31% 36% -15.0 33% 37% -10.6 36% 39% -8.2
03.11.23 Jabala SC vs Al Sahel Tartus 4-1 65% 72% -9.8 24% 27% -11.8 12% 13% -10.5
10.11.23 Al Jaish Damascus vs Al Horriya 3-0 62% 69% -11.0 24% 26% -8.1 14% 15% -8.9
10.11.23 Al Sahel Tartus vs Hutteen Latakia 0-1 30% 34% -11.9 31% 33% -7.6 39% 45% -13.5
10.11.23 Al Taliya Hama vs Al Wahda Damascus 2-0 39% 44% -12.7 31% 34% -8.4 30% 34% -11.1
10.11.23 Homs Al Fidaa vs Jabala SC 0-0 36% 41% -11.7 32% 36% -10.1 32% 36% -12.4
11.11.23 Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Karamah Hims 1-1 44% 52% -14.3 31% 33% -8.4 25% 27% -7.3
13.11.23 Teshrin Latakia vs Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 2-2 39% 43% -7.5 34% 39% -13.2 27% 30% -12.2
23.11.23 Hutteen Latakia vs Al Ittihad Aleppo 4-1 30% 33% -9.6 31% 34% -8.2 39% 45% -14.8
24.11.23 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor vs Al Taliya Hama 3-0 60% 68% -11.9 26% 29% -8.7 14% 14% -1.7
24.11.23 Al Horriya vs Homs Al Fidaa 1-4 17% 18% -3.8 29% 31% -6.0 54% 63% -15.3
25.11.23 Al Karamah Hims vs Al Jaish Damascus 1-1 34% 41% -15.8 31% 34% -7.6 34% 37% -7.3
25.11.23 Jabala SC vs Teshrin Latakia 1-0 36% 42% -12.5 32% 35% -9.7 32% 36% -12.3
01.12.23 Al Horriya vs Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 0-1 8% 7% 22.1 19% 17% 15.6 73% 86% -15.8
01.12.23 Al Jaish Damascus vs Jabala SC 2-1 28% 30% -8.3 34% 38% -11.0 39% 44% -13.1
01.12.23 Al Taliya Hama vs Al Karamah Hims 1-0 33% 38% -14.0 33% 37% -10.6 34% 37% -8.8
01.12.23 Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Wahda Damascus 0-2 57% 65% -13.0 26% 29% -7.9 17% 18% -7.6
01.12.23 Teshrin Latakia vs Hutteen Latakia 2-1 34% 34% 0.6 31% 34% -10.4 35% 44% -21.2
04.12.23 Al Sahel Tartus vs Al Ittihad Aleppo 1-1 39% 47% -16.0 30% 32% -6.4 31% 33% -7.8
06.12.23 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor vs Homs Al Fidaa 2-1 51% 58% -12.1 30% 33% -11.1 19% 21% -8.6
07.12.23 Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Jaish Damascus 2-1 38% 44% -14.5 32% 35% -8.8 30% 32% -7.0
08.12.23 Al Karamah Hims vs Al Sahel Tartus 1-0 45% 53% -13.8 30% 32% -8.2 25% 28% -9.9
08.12.23 Al Wahda Damascus vs Teshrin Latakia 0-0 38% 44% -13.9 31% 33% -7.9 31% 35% -10.9
08.12.23 Hutteen Latakia vs Al Taliya Hama 1-2 51% 56% -10.3 29% 32% -10.2 20% 23% -11.8
08.12.23 Jabala SC vs Al Horriya 3-0 83% 89% -7.3 13% 15% -11.2 4% 4% -6.2
15.12.23 Al Horriya vs Hutteen Latakia 2-2 13% 12% 4.3 25% 24% 1.4 62% 74% -16.0
15.12.23 Al Taliya Hama vs Al Sahel Tartus 1-0 55% 66% -17.6 28% 29% -5.0 18% 16% 9.4
15.12.23 Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Karamah Hims 2-3 41% 47% -10.9 31% 34% -9.5 28% 32% -13.6
15.12.23 Jabala SC vs Al Wahda Damascus 2-0 62% 71% -13.7 24% 26% -4.6 14% 14% 0.6
18.12.23 Al Jaish Damascus vs Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 0-1 27% 30% -12.1 31% 34% -8.4 42% 49% -13.2
18.12.23 Teshrin Latakia vs Al Ittihad Aleppo 2-0 40% 45% -11.0 32% 36% -11.2 27% 31% -11.4
22.12.23 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor vs Jabala SC 0-0 45% 53% -15.8 31% 33% -8.4 24% 26% -4.8
22.12.23 Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Taliya Hama 4-0 40% 48% -15.4 31% 34% -9.1 28% 31% -7.7
22.12.23 Al Karamah Hims vs Teshrin Latakia 1-0 39% 43% -9.4 31% 34% -9.7 29% 34% -14.5
22.12.23 Al Sahel Tartus vs Al Jaish Damascus 1-2 38% 47% -18.2 32% 35% -8.9 30% 31% -3.3
22.12.23 Hutteen Latakia vs Homs Al Fidaa 2-0 51% 60% -14.7 28% 30% -7.1 20% 22% -5.9
25.12.23 Al Wahda Damascus vs Al Horriya 2-1 64% 72% -11.0 23% 25% -8.2 13% 14% -8.9
29.12.23 Al Horriya vs Al Karamah Hims 2-0 18% 20% -8.1 27% 29% -3.9 54% 64% -15.0
29.12.23 Al Taliya Hama vs Al Jaish Damascus 0-1 34% 40% -13.9 33% 36% -10.6 33% 37% -10.7
29.12.23 Al Wahda Damascus vs Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 0-1 19% 21% -8.7 29% 31% -6.4 52% 60% -13.5
29.12.23 Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Ittihad Aleppo 1-0 35% 38% -10.0 32% 35% -9.1 34% 38% -12.9
29.12.23 Jabala SC vs Hutteen Latakia 0-0 52% 61% -14.4 29% 31% -8.7 19% 20% -5.1
29.12.23 Teshrin Latakia vs Al Sahel Tartus 3-1 52% 61% -14.8 28% 29% -5.9 20% 21% -4.7
09.02.24 Al Horriya vs Al Sahel Tartus 2-0 29% 34% -15.0 33% 36% -10.2 38% 42% -8.7
09.02.24 Al Wahda Damascus vs Hutteen Latakia 1-2 28% 31% -9.6 32% 35% -8.6 40% 45% -12.7
09.02.24 Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Taliya Hama 0-0 48% 57% -15.6 30% 33% -8.8 21% 22% -1.7
09.02.24 Jabala SC vs Al Ittihad Aleppo 0-1 60% 68% -11.9 26% 29% -10.3 14% 14% -4.3
09.02.24 Teshrin Latakia vs Al Jaish Damascus 0-0 42% 49% -13.6 31% 34% -9.3 27% 30% -10.6
10.02.24 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor vs Al Karamah Hims 0-1 57% 65% -11.3 26% 29% -9.9 16% 18% -10.3
16.02.24 Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Horriya 2-1 57% 63% -9.2 26% 29% -11.1 16% 19% -14.1
16.02.24 Al Jaish Damascus vs Al Wahda Damascus 1-0 48% 56% -14.7 30% 33% -9.3 22% 23% -5.0
16.02.24 Al Karamah Hims vs Jabala SC 0-0 32% 38% -15.9 35% 40% -12.5 33% 34% -3.6
16.02.24 Al Sahel Tartus vs Homs Al Fidaa 0-0 19% 21% -6.5 30% 32% -7.4 51% 60% -14.9
16.02.24 Al Taliya Hama vs Teshrin Latakia 0-1 31% 35% -11.7 35% 40% -12.6 34% 38% -9.2
16.02.24 Hutteen Latakia vs Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 0-1 30% 33% -11.3 32% 36% -9.5 38% 43% -12.3
23.02.24 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor vs Al Sahel Tartus 1-0 70% 77% -9.4 20% 23% -10.1 10% 11% -11.1
23.02.24 Al Taliya Hama vs Jabala SC 0-1 31% 39% -20.6 32% 35% -9.8 37% 38% -3.2
23.02.24 Hutteen Latakia vs Al Karamah Hims 1-0 44% 50% -12.5 32% 36% -11.6 24% 26% -8.6
24.02.24 Al Horriya vs Teshrin Latakia 1-2 19% 21% -8.0 29% 31% -5.9 52% 60% -14.2
24.02.24 Al Wahda Damascus vs Al Ittihad Aleppo 1-2 30% 32% -6.9 34% 38% -11.2 36% 43% -14.3
24.02.24 Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Jaish Damascus 1-1 35% 38% -7.8 35% 40% -13.3 31% 35% -13.0
01.03.24 Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 0-3 27% 30% -10.0 34% 39% -12.3 38% 43% -11.8
01.03.24 Al Jaish Damascus vs Hutteen Latakia 0-1 37% 43% -13.9 32% 36% -9.9 31% 34% -9.6
01.03.24 Al Karamah Hims vs Al Wahda Damascus 0-0 46% 53% -11.8 31% 34% -11.0 23% 26% -10.8
01.03.24 Al Sahel Tartus vs Jabala SC 1-2 19% 23% -15.2 31% 34% -10.5 50% 55% -9.2
01.03.24 Al Taliya Hama vs Al Horriya 1-0 54% 61% -12.7 29% 32% -10.8 18% 19% -7.3
01.03.24 Teshrin Latakia vs Homs Al Fidaa 1-0 47% 55% -13.5 30% 33% -9.4 23% 24% -7.7
08.03.24 Al Horriya vs Al Jaish Damascus 2-3 21% 23% -10.6 29% 31% -5.7 50% 58% -12.9
08.03.24 Al Karamah Hims vs Al Ittihad Aleppo 2-2 37% 42% -10.6 32% 36% -10.7 30% 34% -12.3
08.03.24 Al Wahda Damascus vs Al Taliya Hama 3-0 33% 36% -9.1 32% 36% -9.5 35% 40% -13.4
08.03.24 Hutteen Latakia vs Al Sahel Tartus 2-3 64% 72% -11.0 24% 26% -9.3 12% 13% -6.2
08.03.24 Jabala SC vs Homs Al Fidaa 0-0 49% 56% -11.9 31% 35% -11.4 20% 22% -7.2
09.03.24 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor vs Teshrin Latakia 2-1 46% 52% -11.6 33% 38% -12.5 21% 22% -4.8
15.03.24 Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Hutteen Latakia 2-1 36% 42% -12.8 32% 36% -9.8 31% 35% -10.4
15.03.24 Al Jaish Damascus vs Al Karamah Hims 0-1 40% 47% -13.6 32% 35% -9.5 28% 31% -9.5
15.03.24 Al Sahel Tartus vs Al Wahda Damascus 2-3 35% 39% -10.7 33% 36% -10.0 32% 36% -11.3
15.03.24 Al Taliya Hama vs Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 0-2 20% 22% -7.0 31% 33% -8.1 49% 57% -14.0
15.03.24 Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Horriya 2-1 60% 66% -9.4 25% 28% -10.3 15% 17% -13.3
15.03.24 Teshrin Latakia vs Jabala SC 1-0 42% 51% -17.3 32% 35% -9.0 26% 27% -2.0
30.03.24 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor vs Al Horriya 3-1 73% 81% -9.4 19% 21% -10.8 8% 10% -12.0
30.03.24 Al Karamah Hims vs Al Taliya Hama 4-0 55% 64% -12.9 29% 32% -10.7 16% 16% -1.7
30.03.24 Hutteen Latakia vs Teshrin Latakia 0-0 38% 43% -13.5 32% 35% -9.7 31% 34% -10.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 224 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

17 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Hutteen Latakia 1970.28
2 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1938.13
3 Al Wahda Damascus 1788.40
4 Homs Al Fidaa 1783.75
5 Al Karamah Hims 1757.49
6 Al Taliya Hama 1687.99
7 Teshrin Latakia 1657.40
8 Damascus Al Ahli 1566.27
9 Al Horriya 1560.88
10 Al Jaish Damascus 1558.40
11 Omaya SC 1471.30
12 Al Nawair Hama 1468.42
13 Jabala SC 1460.20
14 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 1450.42
15 Al Shorta Damascus 1449.12
16 Al Shouleh 1425.68
17 Khan Shaykhun SC 1421.17

Away Ratings

17 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1835.56
2 Homs Al Fidaa 1698.25
3 Al Wahda Damascus 1689.83
4 Al Karamah Hims 1645.05
5 Teshrin Latakia 1620.33
6 Hutteen Latakia 1602.64
7 Al Jaish Damascus 1587.18
8 Al Futowa Deir ez Zor 1582.52
9 Al Taliya Hama 1574.78
10 Al Horriya 1489.81
11 Al Shorta Damascus 1482.57
12 Jabala SC 1456.17
13 Damascus Al Ahli 1441.70
14 Al Nawair Hama 1439.75
15 Omaya SC 1410.22
16 Khan Shaykhun SC 1381.34
17 Al Shouleh 1309.27