ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 183
Avg Goals 3.00
Avg Home 1.62
Avg Away 1.38
Home Win % 44.3%
Draw % 15.8%
Away Win % 39.9%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 183
Avg Brier Score 0.5035
Pick Accuracy 63.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5020
Market Brier 0.5077
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 1
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 183 matches had at least one · staked 1.00, profit -1.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.3% 3.9% 51
10–20% 15.1% 15.9% 107
20–30% 24.5% 20.3% 172
30–40% 33.8% 38.6% 44
40–50% 45.5% 51.6% 62
50–60% 54.7% 60.0% 30
60–70% 65.1% 70.0% 30
70–80% 74.5% 64.3% 28
80–90% 84.3% 88.9% 18
90–100% 92.1% 100.0% 7
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
28.10.23 Taipower vs Taipei Deva Dragons 3-1 76% 83% -8.3 14% 17% -15.5 10% 11% -11.8
29.10.23 AC Taipei vs Ming Chuan University 4-0 47% 51% -7.2 24% 29% -16.8 29% 32% -11.1
29.10.23 Taichung FUTURO vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 0-3 47% 45% 3.0 24% 29% -19.4 29% 38% -21.9
01.11.23 Taichung FUTURO vs Taipower 2-5 43% 42% 2.2 25% 30% -18.6 32% 40% -19.5
01.11.23 Tainan City FC vs AC Taipei 1-2 72% 76% -5.3 18% 23% -22.3 11% 13% -17.9
05.11.23 AC Taipei vs Hang Yuen FC 0-2 46% 53% -14.4 24% 29% -15.4 30% 31% -1.5
05.11.23 Tainan City FC vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 2-1 49% 51% -2.5 23% 28% -17.3 28% 34% -18.0
05.11.23 Taipei Deva Dragons vs Taichung FUTURO 2-1 12% 14% -14.7 17% 20% -17.4 72% 77% -6.8
26.11.23 AC Taipei vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 0-1 34% 38% -9.4 26% 31% -17.4 40% 43% -8.0
26.11.23 Taichung FUTURO vs Hang Yuen FC 2-0 53% 58% -8.6 24% 29% -17.1 23% 25% -8.4
26.11.23 Taipower vs Tainan City FC 0-3 28% 33% -16.6 24% 29% -18.2 48% 50% -3.8
29.11.23 Ming Chuan University vs Taipei Deva Dragons 0-1 55% 65% -14.5 23% 27% -14.3 22% 21% 5.7
02.12.23 Taiwan Leopard Cat vs Hang Yuen FC 3-1 46% 52% -10.6 25% 29% -16.4 29% 31% -6.9
03.12.23 Taichung FUTURO vs Ming Chuan University 1-0 75% 81% -7.3 15% 18% -16.4 10% 11% -11.8
03.12.23 Tainan City FC vs Taipei Deva Dragons 4-1 83% 89% -7.3 11% 13% -15.4 6% 7% -11.9
03.12.23 Taipower vs AC Taipei 0-3 54% 61% -12.7 23% 27% -15.0 23% 24% -1.5
06.12.23 AC Taipei vs Taipei Deva Dragons 4-0 63% 70% -10.6 20% 23% -13.4 17% 17% -2.1
06.12.23 Ming Chuan University vs Hang Yuen FC 1-1 25% 29% -11.7 23% 28% -16.6 52% 56% -8.1
06.12.23 Tainan City FC vs Taichung FUTURO 3-2 56% 65% -14.0 23% 27% -14.5 21% 20% 6.9
06.12.23 Taipower vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 1-0 49% 54% -10.2 24% 29% -15.9 27% 29% -6.8
10.12.23 AC Taipei vs Taichung FUTURO 0-0 31% 39% -20.6 24% 29% -18.3 45% 43% 3.1
10.12.23 Taipei Deva Dragons vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 2-6 11% 12% -6.0 16% 18% -13.0 73% 81% -9.7
10.12.23 Taipower vs Hang Yuen FC 3-1 49% 56% -12.6 24% 28% -14.9 27% 28% -2.7
20.12.23 Tainan City FC vs Ming Chuan University 5-0 87% 91% -4.5 8% 11% -27.2 5% 7% -29.4
05.05.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Taichung FUTURO 0-1 30% 34% -10.4 26% 32% -18.5 43% 47% -6.8
05.05.24 Ming Chuan University vs Tainan City FC 0-3 6% 8% -20.9 11% 14% -21.2 82% 88% -6.0
05.05.24 Taipower vs Taipei Vikings 3-1 54% 62% -13.5 23% 27% -14.9 23% 23% 0.9
05.05.24 Taiwan Leopard Cat vs AC Taipei 2-0 38% 39% -3.6 25% 31% -17.2 37% 43% -13.7
12.05.24 Ming Chuan University vs Hang Yuen FC 0-3 22% 22% -1.9 24% 29% -16.6 54% 61% -11.4
12.05.24 Taichung FUTURO vs AC Taipei 0-2 41% 47% -11.5 25% 30% -17.1 34% 36% -7.3
12.05.24 Taipei Vikings vs Tainan City FC 2-4 8% 10% -20.5 13% 16% -20.4 79% 84% -5.6
12.05.24 Taipower vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 1-0 39% 42% -5.5 26% 32% -18.1 34% 38% -11.1
19.05.24 Ming Chuan University vs AC Taipei 1-2 14% 15% -2.5 19% 23% -14.6 66% 74% -10.0
19.05.24 Tainan City FC vs Hang Yuen FC 4-2 71% 73% -3.3 17% 22% -21.9 12% 16% -22.3
19.05.24 Taipei Vikings vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 2-3 15% 14% 7.2 18% 20% -9.2 67% 77% -13.5
19.05.24 Taipower vs Taichung FUTURO 0-2 43% 49% -11.2 26% 31% -17.3 31% 32% -4.4
26.05.24 Hang Yuen FC vs AC Taipei 1-2 33% 34% -4.4 25% 30% -16.6 42% 48% -12.3
26.05.24 Ming Chuan University vs Taipower 3-1 10% 10% -2.7 15% 17% -12.0 76% 84% -10.0
26.05.24 Taichung FUTURO vs Taipei Vikings 5-1 74% 82% -9.7 15% 17% -11.7 11% 11% -1.7
26.05.24 Taiwan Leopard Cat vs Tainan City FC 0-3 16% 17% -5.4 20% 23% -15.0 65% 72% -10.2
16.06.24 AC Taipei vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 0-1 43% 48% -9.5 24% 29% -15.7 33% 36% -9.8
16.06.24 Ming Chuan University vs Tainan City FC 0-1 3% 3% -13.5 7% 8% -17.2 91% 96% -5.8
16.06.24 Taichung FUTURO vs Hang Yuen FC 1-0 60% 68% -11.8 21% 24% -13.4 19% 20% -3.0
16.06.24 Taipei Vikings vs Taipower 0-4 17% 21% -18.1 19% 24% -18.7 64% 68% -6.5
23.06.24 AC Taipei vs Taichung FUTURO 0-1 29% 34% -14.7 25% 31% -18.3 46% 48% -3.5
23.06.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Ming Chuan University 1-1 68% 71% -4.7 18% 23% -20.4 14% 17% -18.6
23.06.24 Tainan City FC vs Taipei Vikings 3-1 91% 96% -5.3 6% 8% -18.8 3% 3% -16.3
23.06.24 Taipower vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 4-0 53% 59% -9.5 24% 29% -17.1 23% 25% -7.6
30.06.24 AC Taipei vs Ming Chuan University 5-0 76% 81% -5.7 16% 20% -22.5 8% 10% -18.0
30.06.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Tainan City FC 1-1 10% 12% -17.2 14% 17% -17.5 76% 81% -6.2
30.06.24 Taichung FUTURO vs Taipower 2-1 42% 48% -12.4 26% 32% -18.4 32% 33% -4.1
30.06.24 Taiwan Leopard Cat vs Taipei Vikings 3-3 81% 90% -9.8 11% 12% -5.5 7% 7% 5.6
04.08.24 AC Taipei vs Hang Yuen FC 0-2 48% 54% -10.4 25% 30% -17.7 27% 29% -6.8
04.08.24 Tainan City FC vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 3-0 77% 83% -8.0 15% 17% -16.2 9% 10% -8.3
04.08.24 Taipei Vikings vs Taichung FUTURO 1-6 4% 5% -22.4 8% 10% -22.3 88% 93% -5.7
04.08.24 Taipower vs Ming Chuan University 5-1 84% 88% -5.5 11% 14% -23.1 5% 7% -21.1
11.08.24 AC Taipei vs Tainan City FC 1-1 11% 13% -17.1 15% 18% -17.4 74% 79% -6.8
11.08.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Taipower 0-2 28% 33% -14.8 25% 30% -18.1 47% 49% -4.0
11.08.24 Ming Chuan University vs Taipei Vikings 2-1 56% 65% -12.8 21% 24% -12.6 22% 23% -1.4
11.08.24 Taichung FUTURO vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 1-1 74% 83% -9.9 15% 17% -11.9 10% 10% -0.2
17.08.24 Taipei Vikings vs Hang Yuen FC 0-4 6% 7% -19.8 11% 13% -20.6 84% 89% -6.3
18.08.24 Ming Chuan University vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 3-2 18% 23% -22.4 21% 27% -22.1 61% 62% -1.7
18.08.24 Taichung FUTURO vs Tainan City FC 1-0 31% 35% -12.6 25% 31% -17.6 44% 47% -5.4
18.08.24 Taipower vs AC Taipei 2-1 48% 53% -9.7 25% 31% -17.7 27% 29% -6.6
25.08.24 AC Taipei vs Taipei Vikings 4-0 87% 93% -6.0 9% 11% -20.9 4% 5% -18.7
25.08.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 2-0 50% 57% -12.7 23% 27% -14.3 27% 28% -3.0
25.08.24 Ming Chuan University vs Taichung FUTURO 0-4 5% 7% -26.1 10% 13% -24.8 85% 89% -4.8
25.08.24 Tainan City FC vs Taipower 1-0 52% 55% -4.0 23% 28% -17.6 25% 29% -16.1
01.09.24 Tainan City FC vs AC Taipei 1-0 73% 78% -6.6 16% 20% -18.5 11% 12% -14.2
01.09.24 Taipei Vikings vs Ming Chuan University 0-2 18% 21% -12.2 20% 24% -16.3 61% 67% -8.1
01.09.24 Taipower vs Hang Yuen FC 1-2 49% 52% -5.0 25% 30% -18.6 26% 30% -13.9
01.09.24 Taiwan Leopard Cat vs Taichung FUTURO 1-2 13% 17% -20.7 18% 23% -21.4 69% 71% -3.9
14.09.24 Hang Yuen FC vs AC Taipei 1-2 47% 53% -10.6 26% 32% -18.5 27% 28% -4.0
14.09.24 Ming Chuan University vs Taipower 1-2 13% 17% -20.7 17% 21% -19.8 70% 74% -4.9
14.09.24 Taichung FUTURO vs Taipei Vikings 4-0 95% 99% -4.0 3% 5% -28.8 2% 2% -30.1
14.09.24 Taiwan Leopard Cat vs Tainan City FC 0-5 8% 10% -19.5 14% 17% -21.5 79% 83% -5.6
29.09.24 AC Taipei vs Taipower 2-1 30% 36% -15.9 24% 29% -17.1 46% 47% -2.0
29.09.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Taipei Vikings 4-0 90% 95% -5.1 7% 9% -23.2 3% 4% -22.8
29.09.24 Ming Chuan University vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 1-2 33% 41% -18.2 24% 29% -17.4 42% 43% -0.5
29.09.24 Tainan City FC vs Taichung FUTURO 7-3 54% 59% -7.5 24% 29% -18.3 22% 24% -9.5
16.10.24 Tainan City FC vs AC Taipei 4-0 77% 83% -6.7 14% 18% -20.2 8% 10% -16.0
16.10.24 Taipei Vikings vs Ming Chuan University 2-3 9% 11% -13.1 14% 17% -16.8 76% 82% -6.8
20.10.24 AC Taipei vs Taipei Vikings 4-0 92% 97% -5.1 6% 8% -26.6 2% 2% -21.3
20.10.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 1-0 59% 66% -10.8 21% 24% -14.2 20% 22% -6.3
20.10.24 Taichung FUTURO vs Ming Chuan University 1-1 82% 87% -6.2 12% 14% -18.8 7% 8% -17.4
20.10.24 Taipower vs Tainan City FC 0-3 13% 15% -11.1 18% 21% -15.9 69% 75% -7.4
23.10.24 Taipower vs Hang Yuen FC 1-2 38% 41% -6.7 26% 31% -17.1 36% 40% -9.9
24.10.24 Taiwan Leopard Cat vs Taichung FUTURO 0-0 16% 20% -21.4 19% 24% -21.2 65% 68% -4.3
27.10.24 AC Taipei vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 2-0 53% 60% -12.6 23% 27% -14.3 25% 25% -1.9
27.10.24 Taipower vs Taipei Vikings 5-1 92% 96% -4.4 6% 8% -27.1 2% 3% -28.1
03.11.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Ming Chuan University 2-1 72% 78% -7.5 17% 20% -17.1 11% 12% -11.0
03.11.24 Taichung FUTURO vs AC Taipei 0-1 54% 59% -7.7 23% 28% -17.2 23% 26% -11.3
03.11.24 Taiwan Leopard Cat vs Taipower 0-0 25% 29% -11.5 23% 28% -16.5 52% 56% -8.3
24.11.24 Hang Yuen FC vs Taichung FUTURO 1-0 34% 39% -12.7 26% 32% -18.5 40% 42% -5.2
24.11.24 Tainan City FC vs Ming Chuan University 3-1 87% 92% -5.3 8% 10% -23.3 5% 7% -27.1
01.12.24 Ming Chuan University vs AC Taipei 2-2 16% 19% -13.6 20% 24% -17.4 64% 69% -8.0
01.12.24 Tainan City FC vs Hang Yuen FC 1-2 52% 53% -2.1 23% 29% -19.2 25% 31% -19.2
01.12.24 Taipei Vikings vs Taiwan Leopard Cat 0-7 8% 10% -24.1 12% 16% -22.9 80% 84% -4.7
01.12.24 Taipower vs Taichung FUTURO 1-2 31% 35% -10.3 24% 28% -14.8 45% 49% -8.0
18.12.24 Ming Chuan University vs Inter Taoyuan FC 1-1 55% 67% -17.3 22% 24% -10.9 23% 20% 15.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 183 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

9 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Tainan City FC 1866.90
2 Hang Yuen FC 1719.02
3 AC Taipei 1717.44
4 Taichung FUTURO 1716.19
5 Taiwan Leopard Cat 1620.60
6 Ming Chuan Desafio 1600.00
7 Taipower 1561.63
8 Taichung Rock FC 1504.89
9 Ming Chuan University 1328.59

Away Ratings

9 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Tainan City FC 1798.53
2 Hang Yuen FC 1714.64
3 Taichung FUTURO 1707.89
4 AC Taipei 1650.43
5 Taipower 1610.62
6 Taiwan Leopard Cat 1586.63
7 Taichung Rock FC 1490.92
8 Ming Chuan Desafio 1382.99
9 Ming Chuan University 1265.78