ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 913
Avg Goals 2.51
Avg Home 1.44
Avg Away 1.07
Home Win % 44.1%
Draw % 27.2%
Away Win % 28.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 913
Avg Brier Score 0.6021
Pick Accuracy 48.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6052
Market Brier 0.6022
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 7
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 100.0% of value bets are on 'home' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 7 of 913 matches had at least one · staked 7.00, profit -7.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 7 0.0% 7.00 -7.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.6% 2.5% 80
10–20% 16.1% 16.6% 290
20–30% 26.6% 27.3% 1172
30–40% 34.6% 35.0% 469
40–50% 44.1% 42.1% 359
50–60% 54.9% 54.1% 209
60–70% 64.2% 60.0% 85
70–80% 74.0% 79.5% 39
80–90% 84.1% 89.7% 29
90–100% 91.1% 100.0% 7
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
11.08.23 Boluspor vs Adanaspor AS 0-2 51% 59% -13.3 27% 28% -4.2 22% 23% -3.0
12.08.23 Giresunspor vs Bodrumspor 0-1 18% 14% 27.2 22% 21% 6.5 60% 74% -19.5
12.08.23 Keciörengücü vs Eyüpspor 0-1 29% 31% -6.1 28% 30% -7.0 43% 49% -12.0
12.08.23 Kocaelispor vs Manisa BBSK 0-2 37% 40% -7.5 29% 31% -7.3 34% 38% -11.6
13.08.23 Beykoz Anadolu SK vs Corum FK 0-3 34% 41% -17.2 28% 31% -8.9 38% 38% 0.1
13.08.23 Erzurum BB Spor vs Bandirmaspor 1-1 25% 24% 0.8 27% 28% -4.5 49% 58% -15.4
13.08.23 Genclerbirligi vs Ümraniyespor 2-1 34% 36% -6.2 28% 30% -6.6 38% 43% -13.5
13.08.23 Göztepe Izmir vs Sakaryaspor Adapazari 0-1 45% 49% -8.6 28% 31% -7.7 27% 31% -12.2
18.08.23 Corum FK vs Giresunspor 0-2 63% 72% -13.2 23% 22% 1.5 15% 14% 2.1
19.08.23 Bodrumspor vs Erzurum BB Spor 0-0 73% 75% -2.0 18% 21% -16.6 9% 13% -28.0
19.08.23 Ümraniyespor vs Göztepe Izmir 0-0 39% 41% -4.3 29% 31% -7.3 32% 38% -15.7
20.08.23 Bandirmaspor vs Boluspor 0-0 55% 58% -4.6 25% 27% -7.9 20% 24% -19.3
20.08.23 Manisa BBSK vs Keciörengücü 0-0 49% 53% -6.1 27% 29% -7.7 23% 28% -15.7
20.08.23 Sakaryaspor Adapazari vs Genclerbirligi 0-0 46% 49% -6.4 27% 29% -7.2 27% 32% -16.3
25.08.23 Erzurum BB Spor vs Manisa BBSK 1-2 28% 32% -11.8 28% 31% -8.7 43% 48% -8.7
26.08.23 Genclerbirligi vs Bodrumspor 1-0 30% 31% -5.0 29% 31% -7.8 42% 48% -12.8
26.08.23 Göztepe Izmir vs Corum FK 1-2 43% 51% -14.7 29% 32% -8.7 27% 28% -1.1
26.08.23 Sakaryaspor Adapazari vs Ümraniyespor 1-1 42% 45% -8.5 28% 30% -6.9 30% 34% -12.4
27.08.23 Boluspor vs Sanliurfaspor 1-1 34% 38% -9.5 29% 31% -7.5 37% 41% -9.5
27.08.23 Keciörengücü vs Adanaspor AS 1-0 47% 51% -6.7 28% 29% -6.5 25% 29% -13.7
28.08.23 Giresunspor vs Bandirmaspor 0-1 22% 18% 19.9 25% 24% 0.9 54% 67% -19.6
02.09.23 Bandirmaspor vs Sakaryaspor Adapazari 3-1 49% 51% -3.8 27% 29% -8.7 24% 29% -19.1
02.09.23 Boluspor vs Keciörengücü 0-0 37% 41% -9.8 29% 31% -7.4 34% 38% -9.3
02.09.23 Manisa BBSK vs Beykoz Anadolu SK 4-0 65% 69% -6.1 22% 24% -9.4 13% 17% -20.6
03.09.23 Bodrumspor vs Ümraniyespor 4-0 48% 49% -0.7 28% 31% -10.4 24% 30% -20.8
03.09.23 Corum FK vs Genclerbirligi 0-1 39% 44% -12.7 29% 31% -7.1 33% 35% -6.5
03.09.23 Sanliurfaspor vs Erzurum BB Spor 0-0 52% 55% -4.7 27% 29% -9.0 21% 26% -17.6
16.09.23 Erzurum BB Spor vs Altay Izmir 4-0 45% 51% -10.1 28% 29% -5.6 27% 29% -8.8
16.09.23 Keciörengücü vs Sanliurfaspor 2-0 43% 45% -4.9 28% 31% -8.0 28% 34% -16.1
16.09.23 Kocaelispor vs Boluspor 2-1 55% 60% -8.4 26% 28% -6.8 19% 22% -12.7
16.09.23 Ümraniyespor vs Corum FK 0-3 38% 42% -9.2 29% 31% -7.0 33% 37% -10.7
17.09.23 Giresunspor vs Manisa BBSK 0-0 21% 23% -6.5 25% 27% -5.7 53% 60% -10.5
17.09.23 Göztepe Izmir vs Bandirmaspor 1-1 42% 43% -1.6 29% 31% -8.7 30% 36% -18.5
18.09.23 Sakaryaspor Adapazari vs Bodrumspor 0-2 35% 40% -11.9 29% 31% -7.6 36% 38% -6.7
22.09.23 Boluspor vs Beykoz Anadolu SK 2-1 49% 54% -8.5 27% 29% -7.5 23% 27% -13.6
22.09.23 Eyüpspor vs Ümraniyespor 2-0 68% 72% -5.3 20% 22% -9.1 12% 15% -21.1
23.09.23 Corum FK vs Sakaryaspor Adapazari 1-0 47% 53% -11.7 27% 29% -4.5 26% 27% -5.7
23.09.23 Keciörengücü vs Giresunspor 3-1 62% 67% -7.2 23% 25% -7.6 15% 18% -17.3
23.09.23 Manisa BBSK vs Göztepe Izmir 0-1 43% 47% -6.7 28% 30% -7.3 29% 33% -14.4
24.09.23 Adanaspor AS vs Erzurum BB Spor 1-0 37% 40% -6.6 28% 30% -6.3 34% 39% -12.7
24.09.23 Bandirmaspor vs Genclerbirligi 4-1 54% 58% -7.4 26% 28% -6.9 21% 24% -15.4
25.09.23 Altay Izmir vs Bodrumspor 1-1 19% 21% -10.1 25% 28% -8.7 56% 61% -8.1
29.09.23 Ümraniyespor vs Bandirmaspor 0-1 32% 34% -6.3 28% 29% -5.7 41% 47% -12.9
30.09.23 Genclerbirligi vs Manisa BBSK 1-1 37% 39% -6.0 28% 30% -6.3 35% 40% -13.2
01.10.23 Bodrumspor vs Corum FK 2-1 53% 56% -6.0 27% 29% -8.8 20% 24% -15.7
01.10.23 Erzurum BB Spor vs Boluspor 1-0 38% 41% -6.7 29% 32% -8.9 33% 38% -13.8
01.10.23 Kocaelispor vs Keciörengücü 3-0 44% 48% -7.8 29% 31% -7.7 27% 31% -11.4
01.10.23 Sakaryaspor Adapazari vs Eyüpspor 2-0 18% 21% -13.0 26% 29% -10.8 56% 60% -5.6
06.10.23 Kocaelispor vs Erzurum BB Spor 1-1 60% 64% -6.3 24% 27% -8.4 16% 19% -16.5
07.10.23 Bandirmaspor vs Corum FK 0-0 52% 58% -9.3 27% 29% -6.9 21% 24% -12.0
07.10.23 Eyüpspor vs Bodrumspor 3-0 56% 58% -3.2 26% 29% -10.4 18% 23% -20.1
07.10.23 Manisa BBSK vs Sakaryaspor Adapazari 1-1 52% 56% -7.0 27% 29% -7.6 21% 24% -13.3
08.10.23 Altay Izmir vs Ümraniyespor 0-3 34% 37% -8.6 28% 29% -5.7 38% 43% -11.7
08.10.23 Boluspor vs Göztepe Izmir 0-2 32% 36% -10.5 30% 33% -9.7 38% 41% -7.0
08.10.23 Keciörengücü vs Beykoz Anadolu SK 0-2 59% 63% -7.3 23% 24% -4.6 18% 22% -16.8
21.10.23 Erzurum BB Spor vs Keciörengücü 0-1 34% 38% -11.3 28% 31% -7.4 37% 41% -8.4
21.10.23 Sakaryaspor Adapazari vs Adanaspor AS 2-0 57% 60% -6.1 25% 28% -9.1 18% 22% -18.1
22.10.23 Bodrumspor vs Bandirmaspor 2-1 44% 45% -4.1 28% 30% -7.4 28% 34% -16.4
22.10.23 Corum FK vs Eyüpspor 2-3 23% 27% -14.8 27% 31% -11.3 50% 53% -5.0
22.10.23 Giresunspor vs Boluspor 0-1 27% 29% -8.1 27% 29% -6.9 46% 51% -11.1
22.10.23 Ümraniyespor vs Manisa BBSK 3-2 33% 35% -5.5 29% 31% -7.4 38% 43% -12.8
28.10.23 Beykoz Anadolu SK vs Erzurum BB Spor 0-1 41% 43% -6.3 29% 31% -7.6 30% 35% -13.3
28.10.23 Boluspor vs Bodrumspor 2-1 29% 32% -10.1 28% 31% -8.3 43% 48% -10.1
28.10.23 Keciörengücü vs Göztepe Izmir 0-1 31% 34% -9.6 29% 32% -9.2 40% 44% -9.8
29.10.23 Adanaspor AS vs Ümraniyespor 1-0 32% 35% -7.5 27% 29% -4.9 41% 47% -12.7
29.10.23 Altay Izmir vs Sakaryaspor Adapazari 1-2 21% 23% -9.8 26% 28% -7.7 54% 59% -9.0
29.10.23 Eyüpspor vs Bandirmaspor 0-1 60% 63% -5.3 24% 26% -7.6 16% 20% -18.1
29.10.23 Manisa BBSK vs Corum FK 2-2 49% 54% -9.1 27% 29% -6.7 23% 26% -11.0
03.11.23 Sakaryaspor Adapazari vs Sanliurfaspor 1-1 63% 68% -7.6 23% 24% -7.1 14% 17% -16.9
04.11.23 Corum FK vs Keciörengücü 2-3 47% 51% -6.2 28% 30% -8.3 25% 29% -15.5
04.11.23 Genclerbirligi vs Boluspor 0-0 49% 53% -7.2 28% 30% -8.2 23% 27% -13.7
05.11.23 Bandirmaspor vs Altay Izmir 2-0 72% 75% -4.1 18% 20% -10.9 10% 13% -24.6
05.11.23 Bodrumspor vs Manisa BBSK 2-0 51% 52% -1.2 27% 31% -11.9 22% 28% -21.9
05.11.23 Giresunspor vs Erzurum BB Spor 1-0 29% 31% -5.4 29% 31% -8.2 42% 49% -13.5
06.11.23 Ümraniyespor vs Beykoz Anadolu SK 1-1 56% 58% -4.8 25% 27% -7.7 19% 24% -18.7
11.11.23 Keciörengücü vs Bodrumspor 1-1 29% 31% -7.6 29% 31% -8.2 42% 48% -10.9
11.11.23 Sanliurfaspor vs Ümraniyespor 0-1 34% 36% -7.7 28% 30% -6.7 38% 43% -12.2
12.11.23 Boluspor vs Sakaryaspor Adapazari 2-3 36% 39% -8.6 30% 32% -8.3 35% 38% -10.1
12.11.23 Erzurum BB Spor vs Göztepe Izmir 3-2 25% 28% -8.6 29% 32% -9.9 46% 50% -8.9
12.11.23 Kocaelispor vs Corum FK 2-1 46% 51% -8.3 28% 30% -7.5 26% 29% -12.7
12.11.23 Manisa BBSK vs Bandirmaspor 0-2 42% 43% -4.3 28% 31% -8.1 30% 36% -17.2
24.11.23 Sakaryaspor Adapazari vs Erzurum BB Spor 2-2 58% 61% -5.4 25% 28% -9.9 17% 21% -18.6
25.11.23 Bandirmaspor vs Sanliurfaspor 0-1 70% 76% -8.7 20% 20% -2.0 11% 12% -11.6
25.11.23 Bodrumspor vs Adanaspor AS 0-1 67% 69% -3.6 20% 23% -11.6 13% 17% -24.3
25.11.23 Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor 1-2 45% 48% -5.8 28% 31% -7.8 27% 31% -14.4
26.11.23 Corum FK vs Altay Izmir 3-0 68% 73% -6.6 20% 21% -5.2 12% 15% -18.5
26.11.23 Eyüpspor vs Manisa BBSK 2-1 63% 67% -4.8 22% 24% -9.2 14% 18% -21.0
27.11.23 Genclerbirligi vs Keciörengücü 1-1 46% 52% -10.4 28% 30% -6.9 25% 28% -8.6
01.12.23 Adanaspor AS vs Corum FK 0-3 28% 29% -5.8 28% 29% -6.0 45% 51% -11.6
01.12.23 Kocaelispor vs Ümraniyespor 0-3 54% 58% -7.4 26% 28% -6.6 20% 23% -13.8
02.12.23 Beykoz Anadolu SK vs Bandirmaspor 1-1 21% 24% -11.8 25% 28% -8.3 54% 58% -8.0
02.12.23 Boluspor vs Eyüpspor 0-3 19% 23% -14.7 25% 29% -10.9 55% 58% -5.7
02.12.23 Keciörengücü vs Sakaryaspor Adapazari 1-3 36% 39% -7.5 29% 31% -7.0 35% 40% -12.2
02.12.23 Sanliurfaspor vs Bodrumspor 0-2 19% 23% -16.0 25% 28% -10.6 56% 58% -4.6
03.12.23 Erzurum BB Spor vs Genclerbirligi 1-1 32% 36% -10.4 29% 31% -8.2 39% 43% -9.6
03.12.23 Manisa BBSK vs Altay Izmir 3-0 72% 77% -6.1 18% 19% -6.5 10% 12% -20.5
09.12.23 Bandirmaspor vs Kocaelispor 0-3 43% 48% -8.8 28% 31% -7.8 28% 32% -12.6
09.12.23 Bodrumspor vs Beykoz Anadolu SK 1-1 70% 74% -4.5 19% 22% -10.8 10% 13% -22.3
09.12.23 Sakaryaspor Adapazari vs Giresunspor 3-1 74% 78% -5.7 17% 19% -8.7 9% 11% -21.7
09.12.23 Ümraniyespor vs Keciörengücü 2-0 46% 49% -4.7 28% 30% -8.2 26% 31% -16.6
Showing the 100 most recent of 913 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

20 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Bursaspor 2090.80
2 Kayserispor 2047.16
3 Erokspor AS 1971.06
4 Mardin 1969 Spor 1970.59
5 Fatih Karagümrük 1932.60
6 Igdir FK 1920.54
7 Keciörengücü 1917.14
8 Bandirmaspor 1910.57
9 Batman Petrolspor 1907.26
10 Antalyaspor 1876.19
11 Sariyer GK 1867.49
12 Bodrumspor 1833.78
13 Manisa BBSK 1829.21
14 Pendikspor 1827.87
15 Sivasspor 1819.85
16 Ümraniyespor 1814.85
17 Muglaspor 1809.20
18 FK Vanspor 1806.14
19 Istanbulspor 1744.02
20 Boluspor 1582.95

Away Ratings

20 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Bursaspor 2004.13
2 Kayserispor 1971.48
3 Erokspor AS 1941.44
4 Batman Petrolspor 1864.07
5 Mardin 1969 Spor 1856.87
6 Igdir FK 1856.69
7 Fatih Karagümrük 1853.85
8 Keciörengücü 1848.76
9 Bandirmaspor 1842.88
10 Antalyaspor 1837.83
11 Sariyer GK 1799.33
12 Pendikspor 1791.95
13 Manisa BBSK 1784.79
14 Muglaspor 1779.20
15 Sivasspor 1763.89
16 Bodrumspor 1746.63
17 Ümraniyespor 1741.60
18 FK Vanspor 1724.59
19 Istanbulspor 1707.58
20 Boluspor 1605.67