ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 556
Avg Goals 2.92
Avg Home 1.52
Avg Away 1.40
Home Win % 42.3%
Draw % 24.1%
Away Win % 33.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 556
Avg Brier Score 0.5755
Pick Accuracy 55.2%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5810
Market Brier 0.5765
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 556 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.8% 0.0% 24
10–20% 16.1% 16.7% 245
20–30% 25.0% 24.4% 694
30–40% 34.9% 29.1% 223
40–50% 44.9% 46.7% 195
50–60% 55.1% 61.3% 155
60–70% 65.0% 68.5% 89
70–80% 74.1% 79.5% 39
80–90% 82.7% 75.0% 4
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
09.09.23 Al Arabi Umm vs Gulf United 3-0 49% 58% -15.7 25% 27% -8.4 26% 27% -4.1
09.09.23 Al Hamriyah vs Gulf Heroes FC 3-1 52% 56% -6.9 24% 27% -11.3 24% 29% -19.2
09.09.23 Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Dhafra 1-1 26% 30% -13.5 25% 29% -12.0 49% 53% -9.0
09.09.23 Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Oruba 0-2 65% 70% -7.0 21% 24% -13.5 14% 18% -21.1
10.09.23 Al Fujairah SC vs Dubai City FC 2-0 68% 75% -9.3 20% 22% -9.6 13% 15% -14.8
10.09.23 Al Rams vs Al Thaid 1-0 34% 38% -10.4 26% 29% -10.9 40% 45% -12.1
10.09.23 Masfoot Sports Club vs United FC 4-2 47% 56% -16.9 26% 29% -9.6 27% 27% 0.9
16.09.23 Al Dhafra vs Al Hamriyah 3-0 48% 53% -10.0 25% 27% -8.7 27% 31% -13.0
16.09.23 Al Oruba vs Masafi 2-1 46% 51% -9.5 26% 29% -11.7 28% 32% -14.4
16.09.23 Gulf Heroes FC vs Al Arabi Umm 0-2 24% 27% -10.4 24% 27% -10.4 52% 58% -11.3
16.09.23 Gulf United vs Dibba Al Hisn 0-3 20% 24% -17.5 23% 26% -13.8 58% 62% -7.1
17.09.23 Al Taawon vs Masfoot Sports Club 0-0 33% 37% -11.8 26% 29% -10.1 42% 47% -10.4
17.09.23 Dubai City FC vs Al Rams 1-0 29% 32% -10.4 26% 29% -11.4 45% 51% -10.9
23.09.23 Al Arabi Umm vs Al Dhafra 2-2 38% 43% -10.0 27% 31% -11.9 35% 39% -11.9
23.09.23 Masafi vs Gulf United 2-1 57% 66% -14.3 23% 25% -7.0 20% 21% -4.0
23.09.23 Masfoot Sports Club vs Al Oruba 1-3 39% 43% -9.4 27% 31% -12.1 34% 38% -11.7
24.09.23 Al Fujairah SC vs Al Taawon 0-1 55% 61% -10.7 24% 27% -10.3 21% 24% -12.0
24.09.23 Al Hamriyah vs Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-2 49% 52% -5.9 24% 27% -10.6 27% 34% -20.1
24.09.23 Al Rams vs United FC 2-4 46% 48% -4.3 26% 29% -11.8 28% 35% -18.3
24.09.23 Dibba Al Fujairah vs Dubai City FC 4-0 85% 92% -7.2 10% 11% -9.7 4% 6% -21.2
30.09.23 Dubai City FC vs Al Thaid 1-1 24% 29% -14.8 25% 29% -13.7 50% 55% -8.0
30.09.23 Gulf United vs Masfoot Sports Club 2-2 28% 31% -11.2 26% 29% -10.8 47% 52% -9.8
01.10.23 Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Arabi Umm 3-3 38% 43% -12.3 26% 29% -9.6 36% 40% -9.9
01.10.23 Al Oruba vs Al Fujairah SC 2-1 41% 45% -9.6 28% 31% -11.9 31% 35% -10.6
01.10.23 United FC vs Dibba Al Fujairah 2-1 14% 17% -20.1 19% 22% -15.0 67% 72% -6.6
08.10.23 Al Fujairah SC vs Gulf United 0-1 49% 54% -9.3 26% 29% -10.7 25% 29% -13.3
08.10.23 Al Rams vs Al Oruba 2-3 25% 29% -10.9 25% 29% -11.8 49% 56% -11.2
08.10.23 Masfoot Sports Club vs Gulf Heroes FC 0-3 52% 55% -4.6 25% 29% -13.6 23% 29% -21.1
09.10.23 Al Arabi Umm vs Al Hamriyah 1-2 40% 44% -9.1 26% 29% -10.6 33% 38% -13.4
09.10.23 Al Thaid vs United FC 3-2 40% 41% -2.4 27% 31% -12.4 33% 41% -18.6
09.10.23 Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-1 59% 63% -7.5 22% 25% -11.0 19% 24% -19.3
21.10.23 Al Dhafra vs Masfoot Sports Club 3-2 54% 59% -8.8 25% 29% -12.3 21% 25% -14.8
21.10.23 Al Oruba vs Dibba Al Fujairah 0-0 38% 42% -11.1 27% 31% -12.3 35% 39% -10.6
21.10.23 Gulf Heroes FC vs Al Fujairah SC 1-1 25% 27% -7.9 26% 30% -12.6 49% 55% -11.0
22.10.23 Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Masafi 2-0 42% 45% -8.7 26% 29% -10.5 33% 39% -16.0
22.10.23 Al Taawon vs Al Thaid 1-3 50% 55% -8.4 25% 29% -11.3 24% 29% -14.8
22.10.23 Gulf United vs Al Rams 2-1 46% 51% -9.2 26% 29% -10.5 29% 33% -14.3
28.10.23 Al Fujairah SC vs Al Dhafra 4-3 25% 28% -11.4 25% 28% -11.1 51% 56% -10.3
28.10.23 Al Thaid vs Al Oruba 0-1 24% 28% -12.3 25% 28% -11.7 51% 57% -10.6
28.10.23 Dibba Al Fujairah vs Gulf United 2-0 66% 74% -10.2 20% 22% -7.8 14% 16% -12.8
29.10.23 Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Arabi Umm 3-0 53% 58% -7.5 24% 28% -11.9 22% 27% -17.2
29.10.23 Dubai City FC vs Al Taawon 1-3 21% 24% -15.3 23% 27% -12.9 56% 61% -8.5
29.10.23 Masafi vs Al Hamriyah 1-1 38% 43% -10.1 27% 30% -11.6 35% 40% -12.6
29.10.23 Masfoot Sports Club vs Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-0 42% 44% -6.2 26% 29% -10.2 33% 39% -16.8
05.11.23 Al Oruba vs Dubai City FC 2-1 79% 85% -7.2 15% 18% -15.0 6% 7% -17.7
05.11.23 Gulf United vs Al Thaid 0-2 39% 43% -8.7 27% 30% -11.7 34% 40% -14.0
06.11.23 Al Arabi Umm vs Masafi 0-0 40% 44% -9.5 26% 29% -11.1 34% 39% -14.3
06.11.23 Al Hamriyah vs Masfoot Sports Club 2-1 44% 49% -9.3 26% 29% -10.8 30% 34% -12.9
06.11.23 Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Fujairah SC 1-0 48% 53% -9.5 25% 28% -10.1 27% 32% -15.0
06.11.23 Al Taawon vs United FC 1-1 40% 41% -1.1 26% 29% -11.8 34% 43% -20.9
17.11.23 Al Thaid vs Gulf Heroes FC 1-1 38% 40% -4.7 26% 29% -10.5 36% 43% -16.4
17.11.23 Dubai City FC vs Gulf United 1-2 27% 31% -13.8 26% 29% -12.8 48% 53% -9.1
17.11.23 United FC vs Al Oruba 1-2 24% 26% -10.6 24% 27% -10.4 53% 60% -11.7
18.11.23 Al Fujairah SC vs Al Hamriyah 3-2 39% 44% -11.9 27% 31% -11.7 34% 37% -9.1
18.11.23 Al Rams vs Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-4 26% 30% -13.8 25% 28% -11.2 49% 54% -8.9
18.11.23 Masfoot Sports Club vs Al Arabi Umm 0-3 40% 43% -6.0 27% 31% -12.3 33% 38% -15.2
23.11.23 Al Arabi Umm vs Al Fujairah SC 1-1 43% 48% -9.4 27% 30% -12.0 30% 35% -13.9
23.11.23 Al Dhafra vs Al Thaid 2-2 73% 81% -9.4 17% 18% -7.0 10% 12% -14.4
23.11.23 Al Oruba vs Al Taawon 1-0 59% 64% -7.8 24% 28% -13.8 17% 21% -16.8
23.11.23 Dibba Al Hisn vs Masfoot Sports Club 3-0 61% 67% -8.5 22% 25% -11.0 17% 20% -16.2
24.11.23 Al Hamriyah vs Al Rams 3-0 57% 62% -8.3 24% 28% -12.7 19% 22% -15.5
24.11.23 Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Dibba Al Fujairah 0-2 29% 32% -10.3 27% 31% -12.3 44% 49% -9.6
24.11.23 Gulf Heroes FC vs Dubai City FC 2-1 60% 65% -7.7 23% 26% -11.8 18% 22% -17.9
01.12.23 Gulf United vs United FC 1-2 31% 32% -4.5 26% 29% -10.9 43% 51% -16.1
10.12.23 Al Taawon vs Gulf United 0-1 49% 53% -8.2 25% 28% -10.3 26% 31% -15.9
10.12.23 Dubai City FC vs Al Dhafra 0-2 9% 12% -25.8 14% 17% -19.0 77% 81% -4.6
10.12.23 Masfoot Sports Club vs Masafi 0-1 35% 39% -10.7 27% 30% -11.8 38% 43% -12.0
10.12.23 United FC vs Gulf Heroes FC 2-0 47% 51% -6.4 24% 27% -9.4 29% 35% -18.7
11.12.23 Al Fujairah SC vs Dibba Al Hisn 1-0 32% 36% -13.3 28% 32% -13.6 41% 43% -6.6
11.12.23 Al Rams vs Al Arabi Umm 0-5 24% 26% -7.8 25% 28% -10.7 52% 58% -11.9
11.12.23 Al Thaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-0 31% 34% -9.6 26% 29% -10.9 43% 49% -11.5
11.12.23 Dibba Al Fujairah vs Al Hamriyah 0-0 52% 57% -8.9 25% 29% -11.6 23% 26% -13.9
16.12.23 Al Dhafra vs United FC 1-1 52% 55% -4.7 25% 29% -13.2 23% 29% -20.1
16.12.23 Gulf United vs Al Oruba 1-2 16% 19% -13.8 23% 26% -14.4 61% 67% -8.4
16.12.23 Masafi vs Al Fujairah SC 1-1 36% 39% -7.3 27% 31% -12.0 36% 42% -13.2
17.12.23 Al Arabi Umm vs Dibba Al Fujairah 1-1 35% 38% -9.9 27% 30% -11.4 39% 43% -11.4
17.12.23 Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid 1-2 47% 51% -7.2 26% 29% -11.6 27% 32% -15.9
17.12.23 Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Dubai City FC 1-1 68% 73% -6.7 19% 22% -13.1 13% 16% -21.2
22.12.23 Al Fujairah SC vs Masfoot Sports Club 4-1 57% 65% -11.0 24% 27% -10.3 18% 20% -8.2
22.12.23 Al Oruba vs Gulf Heroes FC 3-3 63% 68% -8.1 21% 24% -11.0 16% 20% -18.6
23.12.23 Dubai City FC vs Al Hamriyah 2-2 18% 21% -15.2 23% 27% -14.6 59% 64% -7.0
23.12.23 United FC vs Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-2 49% 53% -7.5 25% 29% -11.4 26% 31% -16.8
30.12.23 Al Arabi Umm vs Dubai City FC 1-0 73% 79% -7.6 17% 19% -11.8 10% 12% -20.9
30.12.23 Al Dhafra vs Al Oruba 0-0 47% 51% -7.6 25% 29% -10.9 27% 32% -15.8
30.12.23 Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Taawon 2-2 50% 56% -9.1 25% 28% -10.2 25% 29% -14.0
30.12.23 Gulf Heroes FC vs Gulf United 0-0 47% 51% -7.8 25% 29% -10.8 27% 32% -15.7
30.12.23 Masfoot Sports Club vs Al Rams 3-2 56% 62% -10.1 23% 26% -9.3 21% 24% -14.3
31.12.23 Al Hamriyah vs United FC 0-3 31% 33% -7.1 26% 29% -10.4 43% 51% -15.3
31.12.23 Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Thaid 2-1 62% 67% -8.1 22% 24% -10.8 17% 20% -17.2
06.01.24 Al Oruba vs Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-1 58% 63% -8.6 23% 26% -10.3 19% 23% -15.6
06.01.24 Al Rams vs Al Fujairah SC 4-1 11% 12% -10.8 18% 20% -11.3 71% 79% -9.2
06.01.24 Dibba Al Fujairah vs Masfoot Sports Club 2-0 64% 71% -9.4 22% 25% -11.5 14% 15% -11.6
06.01.24 Gulf United vs Al Dhafra 1-3 16% 19% -16.2 22% 26% -14.9 62% 67% -7.3
07.01.24 Al Taawon vs Al Hamriyah 3-0 35% 39% -10.4 27% 31% -11.8 38% 42% -10.6
07.01.24 Al Thaid vs Masafi 3-1 30% 31% -3.2 26% 29% -10.1 45% 53% -16.7
07.01.24 Dubai City FC vs Dibba Al Hisn 1-2 9% 12% -22.4 16% 19% -18.1 75% 80% -5.9
07.01.24 United FC vs Al Arabi Umm 1-2 42% 45% -6.7 26% 29% -10.4 32% 38% -16.8
13.01.24 Al Arabi Umm vs Al Taawon 0-1 54% 58% -7.5 26% 31% -14.7 20% 23% -14.9
13.01.24 Al Fujairah SC vs Dibba Al Fujairah 0-0 36% 39% -8.5 28% 32% -12.9 36% 41% -11.8
13.01.24 Al Hamriyah vs Al Oruba 1-2 22% 25% -10.5 24% 27% -11.1 54% 60% -11.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 556 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

17 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Dibba Al Fujairah 1607.82
2 Al Bataeh 1577.41
3 Dibba Al-Hisn 1571.79
4 Al Oruba 1506.21
5 Al Thaid 1476.95
6 Emirates Club 1449.61
7 Al Arabi Umm 1436.97
8 Gulf United 1379.33
9 Al Fujairah SC 1373.72
10 Al Ittifaq FC Dubai 1368.21
11 Al Hamriyah 1364.92
12 Palm City 1334.13
13 Masfoot Sports Club 1278.35
14 Dubai City FC 1274.56
15 Gulf Heroes FC 1255.68
16 Al Jazira Al Hamra 1196.98
17 Majd FC 1189.98

Away Ratings

17 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Al Bataeh 1625.34
2 Dibba Al Fujairah 1547.38
3 Al Oruba 1514.51
4 Al Arabi Umm 1496.89
5 Palm City 1489.57
6 Dibba Al-Hisn 1464.27
7 Al Hamriyah 1461.52
8 Al Fujairah SC 1439.58
9 Al Ittifaq FC Dubai 1418.85
10 Emirates Club 1386.88
11 Al Thaid 1380.90
12 Gulf Heroes FC 1359.28
13 Gulf United 1344.95
14 Dubai City FC 1298.22
15 Al Jazira Al Hamra 1292.19
16 Masfoot Sports Club 1276.61
17 Majd FC 1220.84