ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 541
Avg Goals 3.15
Avg Home 1.63
Avg Away 1.52
Home Win % 39.9%
Draw % 24.4%
Away Win % 35.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 541
Avg Brier Score 0.5532
Pick Accuracy 56.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5531
Market Brier 0.5556
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 50.0%
ROI (flat stake) 130.0%
ROI Trustworthy? Yes
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 2 of 541 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit 2.60 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 100.0% 1.00 3.60 360.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.8% 5.0% 60
10–20% 15.8% 14.9% 335
20–30% 24.5% 26.2% 572
30–40% 35.1% 31.4% 169
40–50% 44.9% 43.8% 146
50–60% 54.9% 50.4% 135
60–70% 65.1% 68.4% 114
70–80% 74.8% 77.9% 77
80–90% 82.9% 100.0% 14
90–100% 90.5% 100.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
18.08.23 Ajman Club vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0-3 19% 22% -10.4 22% 25% -10.4 58% 65% -11.1
18.08.23 Al Ain vs Banni Yas Club 3-2 77% 83% -6.4 14% 17% -13.2 8% 11% -22.5
18.08.23 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi vs Al Bataeh 1-2 78% 82% -5.1 14% 17% -17.3 8% 11% -25.9
18.08.23 Ittihad Kalba vs Al Sharjah 3-4 24% 28% -14.6 25% 29% -14.1 51% 56% -8.2
19.08.23 Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi 1-3 25% 30% -18.7 24% 28% -13.6 51% 55% -6.0
19.08.23 Al Wasl Dubai vs Emirates Club 1-0 70% 78% -9.9 18% 20% -8.0 12% 13% -11.9
19.08.23 Khor Fakkan vs Hatta Dubai 2-1 46% 51% -9.9 26% 29% -10.6 28% 32% -12.4
25.08.23 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1-2 43% 48% -9.0 26% 29% -11.6 31% 36% -14.1
25.08.23 Emirates Club vs Ajman Club 4-4 26% 30% -14.1 25% 28% -11.7 49% 55% -9.5
26.08.23 Al Bataeh vs Ittihad Kalba 0-0 27% 32% -15.4 26% 29% -12.9 47% 51% -6.8
26.08.23 Banni Yas Club vs Al Nasr Dubai 4-2 36% 43% -15.8 27% 30% -12.1 37% 39% -4.4
26.08.23 Hatta Dubai vs Al Ain 0-2 11% 14% -25.7 16% 20% -19.4 73% 77% -4.8
27.08.23 Al Sharjah vs Al Wasl Dubai 1-3 44% 50% -11.2 26% 29% -11.8 30% 34% -12.5
27.08.23 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Khor Fakkan 2-1 72% 79% -8.7 17% 19% -10.1 10% 12% -16.7
23.09.23 Al Ain vs Ajman Club 6-0 73% 81% -9.7 17% 18% -7.2 10% 12% -12.6
23.09.23 Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Sharjah 0-1 24% 29% -16.4 24% 28% -13.0 52% 56% -7.5
23.09.23 Ittihad Kalba vs Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi 0-4 22% 28% -20.0 23% 27% -14.4 55% 58% -5.5
23.09.23 Khor Fakkan vs Emirates Club 0-2 46% 53% -14.0 25% 28% -9.2 29% 31% -6.5
24.09.23 Al Bataeh vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0-2 13% 17% -23.2 18% 22% -17.6 69% 72% -5.0
24.09.23 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi vs Hatta Dubai 1-0 75% 81% -7.5 15% 17% -11.2 9% 12% -20.6
24.09.23 Al Wasl Dubai vs Banni Yas Club 3-2 67% 73% -8.9 20% 22% -10.4 14% 16% -15.1
28.09.23 Al Sharjah vs Al Ain 2-3 31% 37% -15.2 25% 29% -11.1 43% 47% -7.1
28.09.23 Hatta Dubai vs Al Nasr Dubai 0-3 23% 27% -16.4 24% 27% -12.6 54% 58% -7.0
29.09.23 Ajman Club vs Ittihad Kalba 3-5 35% 38% -8.5 26% 29% -10.2 39% 45% -13.9
29.09.23 Banni Yas Club vs Emirates Club 0-0 48% 56% -13.0 24% 26% -8.1 28% 30% -9.2
29.09.23 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 3-1 44% 50% -12.5 26% 29% -11.3 30% 33% -9.6
30.09.23 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi vs Al Bataeh 3-1 77% 83% -6.7 14% 16% -11.8 9% 11% -23.2
30.09.23 Khor Fakkan vs Al Wasl Dubai 3-3 9% 11% -17.2 15% 17% -12.3 75% 82% -8.2
06.10.23 Al Bataeh vs Khor Fakkan 3-1 42% 47% -8.7 26% 29% -11.2 31% 36% -13.6
06.10.23 Banni Yas Club vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 2-1 20% 25% -18.2 23% 26% -13.6 57% 61% -6.3
06.10.23 Ittihad Kalba vs Hatta Dubai 2-1 64% 70% -9.0 20% 23% -10.0 16% 19% -16.6
07.10.23 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-1 40% 45% -11.8 26% 29% -9.8 34% 38% -9.5
07.10.23 Al Wasl Dubai vs Ajman Club 1-1 73% 80% -8.2 16% 17% -8.8 11% 13% -19.5
08.10.23 Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Ain 1-0 19% 23% -19.6 21% 25% -14.0 60% 64% -5.9
08.10.23 Emirates Club vs Al Sharjah 1-3 8% 11% -25.4 13% 17% -19.2 79% 83% -5.6
27.10.23 Al Bataeh vs Ajman Club 1-1 39% 45% -14.4 26% 29% -9.9 35% 38% -6.3
27.10.23 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi vs Ittihad Kalba 2-1 56% 61% -8.9 23% 26% -11.6 21% 25% -16.6
27.10.23 Hatta Dubai vs Al Wasl Dubai 0-5 8% 11% -24.4 14% 17% -17.6 78% 83% -5.8
27.10.23 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Nasr Dubai 3-3 64% 71% -9.6 20% 23% -9.9 15% 18% -15.3
28.10.23 Al Ain vs Emirates Club 3-1 83% 89% -7.2 12% 13% -13.0 6% 7% -22.6
28.10.23 Al Sharjah vs Banni Yas Club 5-0 65% 68% -4.9 20% 24% -15.5 15% 20% -24.1
28.10.23 Khor Fakkan vs Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi 4-2 14% 18% -20.7 19% 22% -14.7 67% 71% -6.1
02.11.23 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi vs Al Sharjah 1-1 38% 43% -11.9 26% 29% -11.2 36% 41% -10.9
02.11.23 Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Ain 3-1 35% 39% -11.4 25% 28% -9.5 40% 45% -11.7
03.11.23 Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Bataeh 0-2 58% 65% -9.3 23% 26% -10.9 19% 22% -14.2
03.11.23 Ittihad Kalba vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-3 21% 25% -16.8 22% 25% -11.7 57% 62% -8.0
04.11.23 Ajman Club vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 0-1 18% 23% -18.7 21% 24% -13.0 60% 65% -6.5
04.11.23 Banni Yas Club vs Khor Fakkan 1-0 50% 54% -7.1 24% 28% -11.8 25% 31% -17.8
23.11.23 Al Bataeh vs Al Sharjah 3-3 16% 21% -21.9 20% 24% -16.1 63% 66% -4.5
25.11.23 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi vs Al Wasl Dubai 2-4 39% 45% -13.7 25% 27% -8.7 36% 40% -9.8
25.11.23 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi vs Emirates Club 4-1 70% 76% -7.2 18% 21% -13.2 11% 14% -19.9
25.11.23 Hatta Dubai vs Banni Yas Club 0-1 22% 26% -14.7 23% 26% -11.5 54% 60% -8.8
26.11.23 Ittihad Kalba vs Al Nasr Dubai 0-0 34% 37% -7.6 26% 29% -10.0 40% 47% -13.8
26.11.23 Khor Fakkan vs Ajman Club 1-2 43% 50% -14.4 26% 29% -11.1 31% 33% -6.8
26.11.23 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain 0-3 34% 40% -14.0 25% 29% -10.9 40% 44% -9.7
01.12.23 Ajman Club vs Hatta Dubai 1-1 50% 56% -10.5 24% 27% -9.4 25% 29% -11.6
01.12.23 Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1-1 28% 31% -11.4 25% 29% -11.0 47% 52% -9.5
01.12.23 Emirates Club vs Ittihad Kalba 2-4 25% 28% -11.1 24% 27% -10.2 51% 58% -11.2
02.12.23 Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Bataeh 4-1 73% 79% -6.8 16% 19% -14.2 10% 13% -23.3
02.12.23 Banni Yas Club vs Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi 1-4 25% 31% -18.0 24% 27% -11.8 51% 55% -6.2
08.12.23 Al Bataeh vs Banni Yas Club 2-1 39% 45% -13.8 26% 29% -10.7 35% 37% -6.7
08.12.23 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi vs Ajman Club 1-5 69% 76% -8.7 18% 20% -9.3 13% 15% -17.4
08.12.23 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi vs Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 34% 38% -9.4 26% 29% -11.1 40% 45% -12.8
08.12.23 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Emirates Club 7-0 74% 79% -7.2 16% 18% -12.2 10% 13% -22.3
09.12.23 Hatta Dubai vs Al Sharjah 1-4 8% 10% -22.0 14% 17% -17.5 78% 83% -5.8
09.12.23 Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain 2-2 20% 21% -3.2 22% 24% -6.9 58% 67% -14.1
09.12.23 Khor Fakkan vs Al Nasr Dubai 3-1 17% 20% -12.6 22% 24% -11.6 61% 68% -10.4
15.12.23 Al Sharjah vs Khor Fakkan 4-1 76% 81% -6.1 15% 18% -16.3 9% 12% -25.5
15.12.23 Banni Yas Club vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-2 16% 19% -16.3 19% 22% -10.6 65% 70% -7.6
15.12.23 Emirates Club vs Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi 0-1 20% 26% -20.5 21% 24% -12.3 59% 62% -6.0
15.12.23 Hatta Dubai vs Al Bataeh 0-0 25% 29% -13.3 25% 29% -12.4 50% 55% -8.7
16.12.23 Ajman Club vs Al Nasr Dubai 0-3 31% 36% -13.7 26% 29% -11.5 43% 47% -7.3
16.12.23 Al Ain vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 0-2 50% 56% -11.5 25% 28% -10.4 25% 29% -11.2
16.12.23 Al Wasl Dubai vs Ittihad Kalba 2-1 66% 70% -6.0 19% 22% -13.6 15% 19% -23.1
20.12.23 Al Ain vs Khor Fakkan 4-1 79% 85% -7.2 13% 15% -10.8 7% 10% -21.6
20.12.23 Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-1 41% 44% -8.0 26% 29% -11.1 33% 38% -14.3
23.12.23 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi vs Hatta Dubai 3-1 77% 83% -7.1 15% 17% -12.3 9% 11% -22.2
23.12.23 Al Nasr Dubai vs Emirates Club 2-1 68% 75% -10.0 19% 21% -8.5 13% 15% -13.7
23.12.23 Banni Yas Club vs Ittihad Kalba 2-1 31% 33% -5.7 26% 29% -11.2 42% 50% -15.2
24.12.23 Al Bataeh vs Al Ain 1-3 11% 14% -17.9 17% 19% -12.5 72% 78% -7.8
24.12.23 Al Sharjah vs Ajman Club 1-1 63% 67% -5.7 21% 24% -13.7 16% 21% -22.3
24.12.23 Khor Fakkan vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 3-2 14% 17% -20.7 19% 22% -15.3 67% 72% -6.3
24.12.23 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Wasl Dubai 1-2 36% 40% -10.1 26% 29% -10.5 38% 44% -13.5
13.02.24 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi vs Al Sharjah 1-1 39% 44% -11.9 27% 31% -12.4 34% 38% -10.1
13.02.24 Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr Dubai 1-0 57% 62% -8.5 23% 26% -11.0 20% 24% -16.6
13.02.24 Ittihad Kalba vs Khor Fakkan 1-1 55% 62% -10.7 22% 24% -6.8 22% 26% -12.8
24.02.24 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi vs Al Nasr Dubai 2-3 43% 47% -7.2 26% 29% -11.5 31% 36% -15.3
24.02.24 Al Sharjah vs Ittihad Kalba 1-0 59% 64% -7.2 23% 26% -12.1 18% 22% -17.6
24.02.24 Emirates Club vs Al Wasl Dubai 0-2 6% 8% -22.1 11% 12% -13.6 83% 89% -7.1
24.02.24 Hatta Dubai vs Khor Fakkan 0-2 33% 35% -6.6 26% 29% -10.8 41% 48% -13.9
25.02.24 Al Bataeh vs Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1-2 17% 21% -17.7 22% 26% -14.6 61% 65% -7.0
25.02.24 Banni Yas Club vs Al Ain 0-1 14% 17% -18.0 19% 22% -13.9 67% 72% -7.3
25.02.24 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Ajman Club 3-0 67% 72% -6.9 20% 23% -13.4 13% 17% -20.0
29.02.24 Al Ain vs Hatta Dubai 5-3 80% 85% -5.5 13% 15% -15.3 7% 10% -26.5
29.02.24 Ittihad Kalba vs Al Bataeh 1-2 51% 56% -9.2 25% 28% -11.6 24% 29% -15.4
01.03.24 Ajman Club vs Emirates Club 2-0 55% 61% -8.6 23% 26% -10.1 22% 26% -15.8
01.03.24 Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Sharjah 2-0 49% 51% -4.6 25% 29% -13.9 26% 32% -20.1
01.03.24 Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0-3 13% 17% -19.6 19% 22% -14.4 68% 73% -6.8
02.03.24 Al Nasr Dubai vs Banni Yas Club 1-0 56% 60% -7.1 24% 28% -13.6 20% 24% -17.8
02.03.24 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi vs Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi 3-2 47% 53% -12.0 25% 27% -9.1 29% 32% -11.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 541 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2023.26
2 Al Ain 2006.51
3 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1984.84
4 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi 1965.21
5 Al Wasl Dubai 1919.81
6 Al Sharjah 1782.31
7 Al Nasr Dubai 1732.85
8 Ajman Club 1691.41
9 Ittihad Kalba 1661.16
10 United FC 1651.48
11 Hatta Dubai 1612.73
12 Khor Fakkan 1595.22
13 Banni Yas Club 1564.18
14 Al Dhafra 1554.05

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Al Ain 2064.28
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1920.29
3 Al Jazeera Abu Dhabi 1905.34
4 Al Wahda Abu Dhabi 1859.27
5 Al Sharjah 1781.94
6 Al Wasl Dubai 1780.42
7 Ajman Club 1712.70
8 Al Nasr Dubai 1697.36
9 Banni Yas Club 1649.68
10 Al Dhafra 1641.15
11 Ittihad Kalba 1616.89
12 Khor Fakkan 1601.45
13 United FC 1579.17
14 Hatta Dubai 1508.13