ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 597
Avg Goals 2.19
Avg Home 1.16
Avg Away 1.03
Home Win % 38.9%
Draw % 29.1%
Away Win % 32.0%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 597
Avg Brier Score 0.6573
Pick Accuracy 41.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6563
Market Brier 0.6592
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 9
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 88.9% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 9 of 597 matches had at least one · staked 9.00, profit -9.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 8 0.0% 8.00 -8.00 -100.0%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 18.5% 18.2% 11
20–30% 27.6% 28.2% 503
30–40% 33.3% 33.4% 999
40–50% 43.2% 42.6% 242
50–60% 52.8% 44.4% 36
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
27.08.23 CS Cerrito vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 0-1 37% 43% -12.2 32% 36% -11.6 31% 34% -10.0
27.08.23 Sportivo Bella Italia vs CD Colon 0-0 40% 47% -13.7 29% 32% -8.6 30% 34% -10.3
27.08.23 Tacuarembo FC vs CA Progreso Montevideo 2-4 27% 28% -3.7 29% 31% -8.3 45% 53% -16.2
28.08.23 Club Oriental de La Paz vs Rampla Juniors 1-1 34% 38% -9.7 32% 36% -11.6 34% 39% -12.4
28.08.23 Miramar Misiones vs Uruguay Montevideo 1-1 38% 43% -12.5 31% 35% -10.6 31% 34% -9.1
29.08.23 CA Rentistas vs Albion FC 1-0 34% 38% -9.8 32% 36% -11.6 34% 39% -12.2
01.09.23 Juventud Las Piedras vs CS Cerrito 1-0 42% 50% -15.5 30% 33% -9.6 28% 29% -6.0
02.09.23 CA Progreso Montevideo vs Miramar Misiones 1-1 43% 52% -16.2 30% 33% -9.3 26% 27% -2.5
03.09.23 CA Atenas de San Carlos vs Club Oriental de La Paz 0-1 37% 42% -12.1 32% 36% -12.0 31% 34% -9.1
03.09.23 Rampla Juniors vs Tacuarembo FC 0-1 45% 53% -16.3 30% 32% -8.3 26% 27% -2.8
03.09.23 Uruguay Montevideo vs CA Rentistas 2-1 43% 51% -14.6 30% 33% -9.0 27% 28% -4.4
07.10.23 Bella Vista vs Uruguay Montevideo 1-1 24% 24% -0.2 28% 31% -8.1 47% 57% -17.1
07.10.23 CS Cerrito vs Sud America 2-1 38% 43% -13.2 32% 36% -11.8 31% 34% -9.3
08.10.23 CA Rentistas vs CA Progreso Montevideo 3-0 30% 32% -6.8 29% 32% -8.8 41% 48% -14.9
08.10.23 Rampla Juniors vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 1-0 39% 45% -13.4 32% 36% -11.4 29% 31% -7.2
08.10.23 Tacuarembo FC vs Miramar Misiones 1-3 30% 32% -8.1 29% 32% -9.1 41% 48% -13.9
09.10.23 Club Oriental de La Paz vs Juventud Las Piedras 2-1 38% 44% -13.9 30% 34% -10.3 31% 34% -9.2
14.10.23 Albion FC vs CS Cerrito 1-1 47% 56% -16.5 29% 32% -8.7 24% 24% -2.9
14.10.23 Uruguay Montevideo vs IA Potencia 1-0 59% 73% -19.8 24% 24% 2.1 17% 15% 15.9
15.10.23 CA Atenas de San Carlos vs Tacuarembo FC 1-0 40% 47% -14.4 31% 35% -10.8 29% 31% -6.9
15.10.23 Miramar Misiones vs CA Rentistas 0-0 46% 55% -15.5 30% 32% -8.4 24% 25% -4.0
16.10.23 Sud America vs Club Oriental de La Paz 1-1 38% 43% -12.9 30% 33% -9.3 32% 35% -9.1
21.10.23 Bella Vista vs Miramar Misiones 0-1 29% 31% -6.9 30% 34% -10.6 41% 48% -13.9
21.10.23 CS Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo 2-6 28% 29% -3.2 30% 33% -9.9 42% 51% -16.2
22.10.23 CA Atenas de San Carlos vs Juventud Las Piedras 1-2 37% 41% -10.1 32% 36% -11.2 32% 36% -11.5
22.10.23 Club Oriental de La Paz vs Albion FC 1-4 32% 36% -10.9 30% 33% -10.5 38% 44% -13.7
22.10.23 Tacuarembo FC vs CA Rentistas 1-1 33% 36% -9.8 30% 34% -10.3 37% 42% -12.9
25.10.23 Juventud Las Piedras vs Tacuarembo FC 2-0 41% 49% -15.8 29% 32% -9.1 30% 32% -8.4
25.10.23 Miramar Misiones vs IA Potencia 3-0 57% 71% -19.4 25% 26% -0.9 17% 15% 13.6
25.10.23 Sud America vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 0-1 36% 42% -13.5 32% 36% -12.4 32% 34% -8.2
25.10.23 Uruguay Montevideo vs Club Oriental de La Paz 0-1 51% 64% -19.2 27% 28% -3.7 22% 21% 4.5
26.10.23 CA Progreso Montevideo vs CS Cerrito 4-2 57% 71% -20.1 25% 24% 1.2 18% 16% 14.1
27.10.23 CA Rentistas vs Bella Vista 0-1 49% 60% -18.5 28% 30% -6.8 23% 22% 1.8
04.11.23 CA Atenas de San Carlos vs Albion FC 0-0 31% 33% -6.6 32% 36% -12.4 37% 43% -14.9
04.11.23 Club Oriental de La Paz vs CA Progreso Montevideo 0-2 29% 30% -5.8 29% 32% -9.4 42% 51% -16.4
05.11.23 CS Cerrito vs Miramar Misiones 1-6 28% 30% -6.1 29% 32% -9.2 42% 50% -15.5
05.11.23 IA Potencia vs CA Rentistas 1-3 26% 27% -0.7 29% 32% -8.6 44% 53% -16.3
05.11.23 Tacuarembo FC vs Bella Vista 3-0 41% 49% -15.5 30% 32% -8.3 29% 31% -5.0
06.11.23 Rampla Juniors vs Uruguay Montevideo 4-1 30% 31% -4.3 30% 34% -10.3 40% 48% -16.6
10.11.23 Uruguay Montevideo vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 1-2 48% 58% -17.5 29% 31% -7.6 23% 23% 0.3
11.11.23 Sud America vs Tacuarembo FC 1-2 38% 43% -12.9 30% 33% -9.3 32% 35% -9.1
12.11.23 CA Rentistas vs CS Cerrito 1-1 47% 57% -17.3 29% 31% -7.0 24% 24% -1.0
12.11.23 Miramar Misiones vs Club Oriental de La Paz 1-0 51% 62% -17.7 27% 29% -4.0 21% 20% 5.8
14.11.23 CA Atenas de San Carlos vs CA Progreso Montevideo 1-1 26% 26% -1.3 29% 32% -8.9 45% 53% -16.1
14.11.23 Juventud Las Piedras vs Uruguay Montevideo 0-2 28% 29% -4.8 29% 31% -8.2 43% 52% -16.4
15.11.23 Club Oriental de La Paz vs CA Rentistas 1-4 35% 40% -12.2 30% 33% -9.8 35% 39% -11.3
15.11.23 CS Cerrito vs Bella Vista 2-1 39% 45% -14.7 29% 32% -8.9 32% 35% -9.3
15.11.23 Rampla Juniors vs Miramar Misiones 0-0 31% 33% -7.4 29% 31% -7.8 40% 48% -15.3
16.11.23 Tacuarembo FC vs IA Potencia 1-2 49% 61% -18.3 28% 29% -5.3 23% 22% 4.2
19.11.23 Albion FC vs Tacuarembo FC 1-2 49% 60% -18.3 28% 29% -5.8 24% 24% -0.5
19.11.23 Bella Vista vs Club Oriental de La Paz 0-3 36% 41% -12.3 30% 33% -9.8 34% 38% -11.2
19.11.23 CA Rentistas vs Rampla Juniors 2-0 40% 47% -13.6 30% 33% -9.3 30% 32% -8.4
19.11.23 Uruguay Montevideo vs Sud America 1-1 51% 62% -18.3 27% 28% -3.6 22% 22% 1.9
20.11.23 IA Potencia vs CS Cerrito 0-2 32% 35% -8.4 30% 32% -8.5 38% 44% -13.8
21.11.23 Miramar Misiones vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 0-1 51% 62% -17.4 27% 29% -3.8 21% 20% 6.0
24.11.23 Albion FC vs Uruguay Montevideo 0-1 28% 29% -1.6 30% 34% -10.2 41% 50% -17.1
26.11.23 CA Atenas de San Carlos vs CA Rentistas 0-2 34% 38% -11.5 31% 35% -11.4 35% 40% -12.2
26.11.23 Club Oriental de La Paz vs IA Potencia 1-0 49% 60% -18.1 28% 30% -6.5 22% 22% 2.8
26.11.23 Juventud Las Piedras vs Miramar Misiones 0-1 25% 25% 0.3 28% 31% -7.8 47% 56% -17.6
26.11.23 Tacuarembo FC vs CS Cerrito 0-1 44% 53% -16.9 29% 31% -7.3 28% 29% -5.6
29.11.23 Bella Vista vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 1-1 34% 38% -10.7 31% 34% -10.5 35% 39% -11.3
29.11.23 CA Rentistas vs Juventud Las Piedras 0-0 42% 50% -15.0 29% 32% -8.6 28% 30% -7.5
29.11.23 CS Cerrito vs Club Oriental de La Paz 2-1 35% 39% -11.2 29% 32% -8.7 36% 41% -12.5
29.11.23 Miramar Misiones vs Sud America 1-1 55% 68% -18.9 26% 27% -1.9 19% 17% 12.1
29.11.23 Tacuarembo FC vs Uruguay Montevideo 2-0 27% 28% -2.7 29% 31% -7.8 44% 53% -16.1
03.12.23 Albion FC vs Miramar Misiones 0-2 28% 29% -3.1 28% 30% -7.0 44% 53% -17.0
03.12.23 Club Oriental de La Paz vs Tacuarembo FC 1-1 51% 63% -19.7 26% 27% -2.6 23% 22% 5.1
03.12.23 Rampla Juniors vs CS Cerrito 5-0 52% 65% -18.9 27% 28% -3.7 21% 20% 4.8
03.12.23 Sud America vs CA Rentistas 0-0 25% 24% 1.7 33% 38% -13.4 43% 51% -15.8
03.12.23 Uruguay Montevideo vs CA Progreso Montevideo 1-3 33% 37% -9.8 29% 31% -8.0 38% 44% -14.9
04.12.23 CA Atenas de San Carlos vs IA Potencia 3-0 48% 57% -16.6 30% 32% -8.4 23% 23% 0.3
15.01.24 CA Rentistas vs Juventud Las Piedras 0-0 44% 52% -14.8 31% 34% -9.9 25% 27% -5.1
15.01.24 Rampla Juniors vs Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 37% 42% -12.3 30% 34% -10.5 33% 38% -12.2
19.01.24 Juventud Las Piedras vs CA Rentistas 2-1 40% 48% -15.3 30% 33% -9.5 30% 31% -5.6
19.01.24 Uruguay Montevideo vs Rampla Juniors 0-3 33% 36% -8.2 29% 32% -8.7 38% 44% -15.1
16.03.24 CS Cerrito vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 0-0 34% 38% -11.3 31% 34% -10.9 35% 40% -12.1
16.03.24 Juventud Las Piedras vs Tacuarembo FC 0-2 42% 50% -15.3 30% 32% -8.2 28% 29% -4.7
16.03.24 Plaza Colonia vs Montevideo City 0-2 33% 36% -10.3 29% 32% -8.8 38% 43% -12.7
17.03.24 La Luz FC vs Uruguay Montevideo 1-0 44% 53% -16.1 28% 29% -5.7 28% 30% -7.2
22.03.24 Uruguay Montevideo vs Sud America 1-0 51% 62% -17.6 26% 27% -2.4 23% 23% -0.0
23.03.24 CD Colon vs CA Rentistas 1-1 30% 31% -5.1 29% 32% -8.7 41% 49% -16.2
30.03.24 Club Social y Deportivo Cooper vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 1-0 32% 35% -8.6 31% 34% -11.0 37% 43% -14.4
30.03.24 Juventud Las Piedras vs Club Oriental de La Paz 4-2 41% 49% -15.7 30% 32% -8.6 29% 31% -6.0
30.03.24 Sud America vs Tacuarembo FC 0-2 31% 34% -8.6 31% 35% -11.5 38% 44% -14.2
31.03.24 CA Rentistas vs Montevideo City 0-1 29% 30% -5.7 29% 32% -9.1 42% 50% -15.8
31.03.24 La Luz FC vs Albion FC 0-2 45% 53% -15.6 29% 31% -7.2 26% 27% -4.3
07.04.24 CS Cerrito vs Club Social y Deportivo Cooper 1-1 39% 45% -15.1 29% 32% -8.8 32% 35% -8.1
07.04.24 Montevideo City vs CD Colon 3-0 58% 72% -19.3 24% 24% 2.4 17% 15% 16.0
08.04.24 Club Oriental de La Paz vs La Luz FC 0-1 38% 45% -15.5 30% 33% -9.9 32% 34% -6.8
12.04.24 Club Social y Deportivo Cooper vs Plaza Colonia 3-3 36% 42% -13.7 31% 34% -11.0 33% 36% -9.6
13.04.24 CA Rentistas vs CS Cerrito 1-0 42% 49% -14.6 29% 31% -7.5 29% 32% -8.8
13.04.24 CD Colon vs CA Atenas de San Carlos 2-1 34% 38% -10.5 30% 33% -9.7 35% 41% -13.1
13.04.24 La Luz FC vs Juventud Las Piedras 0-1 44% 52% -15.9 29% 31% -7.6 28% 29% -6.4
13.04.24 Sud America vs Club Oriental de La Paz 1-2 33% 37% -11.8 30% 33% -10.3 37% 43% -12.1
14.04.24 Uruguay Montevideo vs Albion FC 0-1 47% 57% -17.1 29% 31% -6.7 24% 24% 0.5
17.04.24 Club Oriental de La Paz vs Albion FC 2-0 38% 44% -14.6 30% 33% -10.2 32% 36% -10.1
17.04.24 Club Social y Deportivo Cooper vs CD Colon 0-1 38% 44% -14.2 29% 32% -9.0 33% 36% -10.5
20.04.24 Plaza Colonia vs CA Rentistas 1-0 35% 39% -10.1 29% 31% -7.5 36% 42% -14.0
21.04.24 Club Oriental de La Paz vs Uruguay Montevideo 3-2 36% 43% -14.3 30% 33% -10.1 34% 37% -9.3
21.04.24 CS Cerrito vs CD Colon 1-1 38% 44% -13.6 30% 33% -9.5 31% 34% -8.8
Showing the 100 most recent of 597 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

14 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CA Fenix 1644.12
2 River Plate Montevideo 1603.61
3 Plaza Colonia 1596.62
4 CA Rentistas 1582.71
5 CS Cerrito 1527.64
6 Club Oriental de La Paz 1516.20
7 CD Colon 1516.18
8 CA Atenas de San Carlos 1498.83
9 Miramar Misiones 1478.70
10 Paysandu FC 1477.50
11 Tacuarembo FC 1471.28
12 La Luz FC 1469.61
13 Uruguay Montevideo 1448.13
14 Huracan FC (URU) 1433.19

Away Ratings

14 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 CA Fenix 1572.01
2 CA Rentistas 1561.82
3 River Plate Montevideo 1553.17
4 CA Atenas de San Carlos 1541.64
5 Plaza Colonia 1529.59
6 La Luz FC 1521.25
7 CS Cerrito 1506.00
8 CD Colon 1484.18
9 Club Oriental de La Paz 1464.24
10 Huracan FC (URU) 1434.53
11 Paysandu FC 1399.79
12 Tacuarembo FC 1393.16
13 Uruguay Montevideo 1391.68
14 Miramar Misiones 1371.25