ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 156
Avg Goals 2.70
Avg Home 1.40
Avg Away 1.29
Home Win % 35.9%
Draw % 29.5%
Away Win % 34.6%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 156
Avg Brier Score 0.6296
Pick Accuracy 46.8%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6430
Market Brier 0.6288
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 156 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 6.8% 33.3% 3
10–20% 16.0% 12.1% 33
20–30% 26.9% 29.4% 180
30–40% 33.6% 28.8% 146
40–50% 44.3% 50.0% 64
50–60% 55.2% 46.4% 28
60–70% 63.5% 90.9% 11
70–80% 75.6% 33.3% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.04.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 1-0 40% 47% -13.5 30% 32% -6.1 29% 34% -13.1
06.04.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 0-3 18% 19% -6.5 25% 24% 4.3 57% 68% -16.6
06.04.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 2-0 36% 41% -12.2 29% 30% -3.1 35% 41% -14.7
13.04.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 5-0 63% 75% -15.0 24% 24% -0.1 13% 12% 1.9
13.04.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 1-1 54% 62% -12.7 31% 34% -11.1 15% 16% -3.4
13.04.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 3-0 27% 31% -12.4 29% 30% -3.1 44% 51% -14.8
13.04.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 4-1 58% 65% -10.9 27% 29% -9.3 15% 17% -13.2
17.04.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 0-3 25% 29% -14.3 29% 29% -2.4 46% 53% -13.8
19.04.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 1-1 42% 48% -11.1 29% 31% -5.7 29% 34% -17.0
19.04.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 0-1 26% 32% -19.5 31% 33% -7.6 43% 48% -9.2
20.04.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 1-1 70% 82% -14.4 20% 19% 5.8 10% 9% 6.7
20.04.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 3-0 59% 69% -15.6 25% 26% -1.3 16% 17% -3.6
26.04.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 3-2 37% 44% -17.3 31% 32% -5.2 33% 36% -8.6
27.04.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 0-1 44% 53% -16.8 30% 31% -4.6 26% 28% -6.5
27.04.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 3-1 77% 84% -8.7 17% 19% -9.8 6% 7% -14.9
27.04.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 2-5 28% 34% -16.5 31% 33% -6.6 41% 45% -10.8
04.05.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 1-4 44% 51% -13.9 30% 32% -6.8 26% 29% -12.2
04.05.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 2-0 67% 76% -11.9 23% 24% -5.0 11% 11% -6.7
05.05.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 1-0 39% 47% -16.2 30% 32% -5.5 31% 34% -9.9
09.05.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 3-2 16% 18% -10.7 27% 27% -1.1 57% 66% -13.9
11.05.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 2-2 36% 43% -17.6 30% 31% -4.1 34% 38% -9.3
11.05.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 0-3 11% 14% -21.3 20% 19% 3.5 69% 78% -10.4
14.05.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 1-2 33% 38% -13.7 31% 33% -6.4 36% 42% -13.1
17.05.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 0-1 13% 15% -14.6 21% 19% 9.9 66% 77% -14.3
18.05.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 1-1 49% 58% -16.0 28% 29% -2.5 23% 25% -7.9
21.05.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 1-1 32% 36% -10.8 30% 31% -4.6 38% 45% -16.9
24.05.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 0-0 21% 27% -21.9 28% 29% -5.3 51% 56% -8.1
25.05.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 1-0 39% 47% -16.7 30% 31% -4.1 32% 36% -11.2
25.05.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 2-0 62% 69% -10.9 25% 27% -7.5 13% 15% -12.6
01.06.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 2-1 30% 37% -17.6 30% 32% -5.5 39% 43% -10.2
01.06.25 Lexington SC (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 3-3 25% 31% -19.6 29% 30% -4.3 46% 51% -9.2
01.06.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 1-1 39% 47% -16.7 30% 32% -5.8 31% 34% -10.4
08.06.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 2-1 46% 53% -13.7 28% 29% -3.6 26% 29% -12.6
09.06.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 1-1 49% 55% -11.6 28% 30% -6.9 23% 28% -16.4
15.06.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 0-0 48% 56% -13.0 29% 31% -6.7 23% 26% -12.1
24.08.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 2-1 33% 42% -21.9 30% 32% -5.8 37% 38% -3.6
24.08.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 2-1 51% 58% -13.4 27% 29% -4.0 22% 25% -12.2
24.08.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 3-3 57% 61% -6.3 25% 28% -10.7 18% 23% -23.3
24.08.25 Sporting Jax (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 1-3 33% 36% -9.7 29% 29% -2.9 39% 48% -19.0
31.08.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 1-0 45% 51% -11.4 29% 31% -6.4 26% 31% -15.5
31.08.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 2-2 37% 45% -18.3 31% 32% -5.4 32% 35% -7.8
31.08.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 2-2 31% 36% -15.7 28% 29% -1.1 41% 48% -13.7
31.08.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Sporting Jax (W) 2-3 80% 88% -8.8 15% 16% -4.8 5% 5% -7.0
04.09.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 1-1 45% 53% -16.5 29% 30% -3.8 26% 29% -8.3
07.09.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 2-2 48% 58% -16.4 28% 29% -3.4 23% 25% -7.0
07.09.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 2-0 39% 49% -20.8 28% 29% -0.9 33% 35% -5.2
07.09.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 0-1 37% 44% -16.0 29% 29% -2.5 34% 39% -13.3
07.09.25 Sporting Jax (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 0-1 21% 28% -23.2 28% 29% -6.0 51% 56% -8.2
13.09.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 0-0 40% 45% -12.6 29% 30% -4.2 31% 37% -15.6
14.09.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 4-1 38% 43% -11.1 30% 31% -5.3 33% 39% -17.0
14.09.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 2-0 35% 43% -20.5 30% 32% -5.5 35% 37% -5.6
14.09.25 Sporting Jax (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 2-2 20% 28% -27.1 27% 29% -8.6 53% 55% -3.8
19.09.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 2-2 32% 38% -17.0 30% 32% -5.5 38% 42% -11.0
21.09.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 1-1 43% 49% -12.4 28% 29% -3.3 29% 34% -14.9
25.09.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 0-1 55% 65% -15.0 26% 26% -2.1 19% 22% -10.6
27.09.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 6-1 29% 34% -15.9 28% 29% -1.2 43% 50% -13.5
28.09.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 1-2 33% 39% -15.6 30% 31% -4.0 37% 42% -11.5
28.09.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Sporting Jax (W) 3-4 58% 65% -10.5 25% 26% -5.8 17% 21% -17.2
05.10.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Sporting Jax (W) 3-3 35% 40% -12.3 28% 29% -1.6 37% 44% -17.2
05.10.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 3-2 45% 48% -4.7 27% 29% -6.6 27% 35% -22.1
05.10.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 0-0 46% 52% -12.1 28% 29% -4.0 26% 31% -14.8
05.10.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 0-0 34% 38% -9.2 28% 29% -1.1 37% 45% -17.6
11.10.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 1-1 30% 34% -10.6 30% 31% -4.3 40% 48% -16.4
12.10.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 2-2 40% 50% -19.3 29% 29% -2.2 31% 33% -7.3
13.10.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 2-0 35% 41% -14.1 30% 31% -4.5 35% 41% -14.1
15.10.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Sporting Jax (W) 0-1 32% 34% -8.3 28% 29% -0.9 40% 49% -17.9
17.10.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 5-1 27% 31% -12.2 30% 31% -4.2 43% 50% -14.7
19.10.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 1-2 27% 30% -11.0 28% 29% -0.8 45% 53% -16.0
19.10.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 1-1 32% 37% -13.3 31% 33% -6.3 37% 42% -13.1
19.10.25 Sporting Jax (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 1-1 39% 48% -17.1 29% 29% -2.0 32% 35% -9.7
31.10.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Sporting Jax (W) 4-2 48% 56% -14.2 27% 28% -1.7 25% 28% -11.8
31.10.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 1-2 28% 30% -8.9 29% 30% -3.1 43% 52% -16.9
02.11.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 2-3 45% 49% -7.8 29% 32% -9.2 26% 32% -20.1
02.11.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 1-1 50% 55% -8.6 28% 30% -7.8 22% 27% -18.2
08.11.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 1-0 40% 45% -11.6 30% 32% -6.5 30% 35% -15.5
08.11.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Sporting Jax (W) 0-2 45% 51% -10.8 27% 29% -4.1 28% 34% -18.7
09.11.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 0-1 56% 63% -11.9 26% 27% -4.8 19% 22% -14.8
09.11.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 0-1 24% 28% -12.9 30% 31% -4.6 46% 53% -14.0
13.11.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 3-1 35% 41% -13.8 30% 31% -4.0 35% 40% -12.9
15.11.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 0-2 30% 35% -14.9 29% 30% -3.3 41% 48% -13.8
16.11.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 1-1 35% 42% -17.2 30% 31% -4.3 35% 39% -10.4
16.11.25 Spokane Zephyr FC (W) vs Dallas Trinity FC (W) 0-2 35% 40% -12.6 31% 32% -5.3 34% 40% -13.8
22.11.25 Brooklyn FC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 1-0 39% 45% -13.3 31% 33% -7.0 30% 34% -12.7
22.11.25 DC Power FC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 0-1 26% 31% -16.1 29% 30% -3.6 45% 51% -12.2
23.11.25 Sporting Jax (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 2-0 37% 43% -14.2 31% 33% -6.3 32% 36% -11.3
23.11.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 1-1 35% 38% -9.7 31% 34% -7.2 34% 40% -15.5
06.12.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 1-0 58% 65% -10.7 26% 29% -8.3 16% 19% -14.9
06.12.25 Lexington SC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 1-1 46% 50% -9.0 29% 31% -6.5 26% 31% -17.7
07.12.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 2-1 43% 49% -12.0 30% 31% -5.6 28% 32% -14.6
07.12.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Sporting Jax (W) 0-3 36% 39% -7.0 28% 29% -3.1 35% 43% -19.4
13.12.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 1-0 30% 36% -16.9 30% 31% -4.8 41% 47% -12.8
13.12.25 Lexington SC (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 2-2 57% 65% -11.8 25% 26% -4.1 18% 21% -14.2
13.12.25 Sporting Jax (W) vs Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 1-1 44% 51% -13.8 28% 29% -3.1 27% 31% -12.7
14.12.25 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 0-3 44% 49% -8.9 30% 32% -7.5 26% 31% -16.4
20.12.25 Carolina Ascent (W) vs DC Power FC (W) 0-0 56% 63% -11.1 26% 28% -6.5 18% 21% -15.5
20.12.25 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Lexington SC (W) 1-1 27% 31% -13.0 28% 29% -1.1 45% 53% -15.3
20.12.25 Sporting Jax (W) vs Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 3-1 52% 60% -13.0 27% 28% -3.2 21% 24% -12.4
21.12.25 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) vs Spokane Zephyr FC (W) 1-3 37% 43% -14.0 30% 31% -4.9 33% 38% -14.5
31.01.26 Dallas Trinity FC (W) vs Brooklyn FC (W) 1-1 42% 48% -11.1 30% 32% -6.6 28% 32% -14.6
31.01.26 Sporting Jax (W) vs Carolina Ascent (W) 1-0 35% 41% -14.0 31% 33% -6.0 34% 38% -11.1
Showing the 100 most recent of 156 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

8 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Carolina Ascent (W) 1698.20
2 Sporting Jax (W) 1695.00
3 Lexington SC (W) 1632.42
4 DC Power FC (W) 1564.39
5 Dallas Trinity FC (W) 1564.18
6 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 1515.59
7 Brooklyn FC (W) 1487.25
8 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 1366.46

Away Ratings

8 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Lexington SC (W) 1678.13
2 Carolina Ascent (W) 1643.77
3 Sporting Jax (W) 1622.06
4 DC Power FC (W) 1557.09
5 Dallas Trinity FC (W) 1541.03
6 Tampa Bay Sun FC (W) 1480.77
7 Brooklyn FC (W) 1408.64
8 Fort Lauderdale United FC (W) 1368.03