ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 995
Avg Goals 3.42
Avg Home 1.88
Avg Away 1.54
Home Win % 45.5%
Draw % 23.0%
Away Win % 31.5%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 995
Avg Brier Score 0.6259
Pick Accuracy 48.4%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6277
Market Brier 0.6265
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 5
Value Bet Hit Rate 40.0%
ROI (flat stake) 175.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 80.0% of value bets are on 'away' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 5 of 995 matches had at least one · staked 5.00, profit 8.75 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 1 100.0% 1.00 7.00 700.0%
away 4 25.0% 4.00 1.75 43.8%
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
10–20% 17.9% 22.7% 141
20–30% 24.2% 23.2% 1383
30–40% 35.2% 36.4% 604
40–50% 44.6% 44.5% 503
50–60% 54.1% 55.6% 284
60–70% 63.5% 56.7% 67
70–80% 71.8% 66.7% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
23.03.24 Chattanooga FC vs FC Cincinnati II 3-0 61% 68% -11.2 19% 20% -6.6 21% 23% -11.1
23.03.24 Huntsville City FC vs Orlando City II 1-1 49% 52% -5.1 23% 26% -13.3 28% 34% -17.4
23.03.24 Portland Timbers II vs The Town FC 1-3 31% 34% -7.5 24% 27% -12.5 45% 51% -12.2
23.03.24 Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Real Monarchs SLC 5-3 43% 47% -6.6 25% 29% -13.9 32% 37% -13.8
24.03.24 Atlanta United II vs Carolina Core FC 4-0 41% 47% -12.8 24% 27% -12.4 36% 39% -8.8
24.03.24 Crown Legacy FC vs Columbus Crew II 3-3 46% 53% -12.7 25% 29% -14.3 29% 30% -4.8
24.03.24 Los Angeles FC II vs Houston Dynamo II 3-2 42% 45% -7.6 25% 29% -14.6 33% 38% -12.8
24.03.24 New York Red Bulls II vs Inter Miami II 3-3 67% 82% -18.8 17% 16% 5.9 17% 12% 36.4
24.03.24 Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II 2-1 44% 50% -11.5 23% 27% -12.3 32% 36% -11.0
24.03.24 Sporting Kansas City II vs Los Angeles Galaxy II 1-3 60% 72% -16.8 21% 22% -7.0 19% 17% 11.9
25.03.24 St. Louis City FC II vs North Texas SC 1-1 50% 54% -7.2 24% 29% -14.9 26% 29% -13.2
25.03.24 Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids II 4-2 48% 48% -0.2 23% 28% -15.7 29% 37% -21.5
28.03.24 FC Cincinnati II vs New York Red Bulls II 2-3 24% 23% 3.6 22% 24% -9.4 55% 65% -16.0
28.03.24 New York City FC II vs Chattanooga FC 1-1 39% 42% -6.2 25% 29% -13.7 36% 42% -14.0
28.03.24 Real Monarchs SLC vs Minnesota United FC II 2-1 36% 39% -7.0 25% 29% -14.0 39% 45% -14.2
29.03.24 Chicago Fire II vs Philadelphia Union II 1-1 46% 53% -13.4 24% 27% -12.0 31% 32% -5.1
29.03.24 Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II 0-1 41% 43% -4.9 24% 28% -13.1 35% 41% -15.4
04.05.24 Chattanooga FC vs Orlando City II 1-1 56% 61% -8.8 22% 26% -14.6 22% 25% -13.8
04.05.24 FC Cincinnati II vs Crown Legacy FC 2-1 27% 31% -12.2 23% 27% -13.8 50% 55% -9.3
04.05.24 New England Revolution II vs Chicago Fire II 3-2 32% 32% -2.2 23% 26% -11.0 46% 55% -16.5
05.05.24 Colorado Rapids II vs Austin FC II 1-2 45% 51% -11.0 25% 29% -13.8 30% 33% -8.7
05.05.24 Philadelphia Union II vs Huntsville City FC 2-0 53% 61% -13.4 23% 26% -11.7 24% 26% -5.4
05.05.24 Toronto FC II vs Columbus Crew II 1-1 44% 51% -13.5 24% 28% -12.9 31% 33% -5.6
06.05.24 Real Monarchs SLC vs Los Angeles FC II 2-3 35% 40% -12.2 25% 29% -14.8 40% 43% -8.4
06.05.24 Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas SC 0-2 46% 53% -13.4 24% 27% -12.0 31% 32% -5.0
09.05.24 Atlanta United II vs Carolina Core FC 1-2 47% 55% -14.4 24% 27% -12.0 29% 30% -2.9
09.05.24 Crown Legacy FC vs New England Revolution II 2-1 48% 55% -12.1 23% 27% -12.2 28% 31% -8.1
09.05.24 Orlando City II vs New York Red Bulls II 3-1 32% 34% -5.5 24% 27% -12.3 44% 51% -13.7
09.05.24 Real Monarchs SLC vs Houston Dynamo II 1-2 44% 51% -14.7 25% 29% -14.6 31% 32% -3.4
10.05.24 Inter Miami II vs Chattanooga FC 1-2 27% 30% -12.0 23% 27% -14.4 50% 56% -9.7
11.05.24 Huntsville City FC vs Toronto FC II 0-1 39% 47% -16.0 25% 29% -14.9 36% 37% -3.0
11.05.24 Portland Timbers II vs Tacoma Defiance 4-1 33% 38% -12.4 24% 27% -12.9 43% 48% -8.9
12.05.24 Columbus Crew II vs FC Cincinnati II 0-1 51% 52% -1.1 23% 27% -16.0 26% 33% -21.8
12.05.24 Los Angeles FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II 3-4 63% 72% -13.6 20% 22% -8.7 17% 17% 2.5
12.05.24 Minnesota United FC II vs Ventura County Fusion 1-0 34% 38% -8.8 24% 27% -11.8 42% 48% -11.7
12.05.24 Sporting Kansas City II vs Colorado Rapids II 2-1 51% 60% -14.7 23% 26% -11.0 26% 27% -2.4
13.05.24 Chicago Fire II vs New York City FC II 2-4 43% 47% -8.5 24% 27% -12.2 34% 38% -12.3
13.05.24 St. Louis City FC II vs Austin FC II 2-1 50% 55% -9.4 25% 29% -15.7 25% 29% -11.1
13.05.24 The Town FC vs North Texas SC 1-0 41% 44% -8.8 24% 28% -12.8 35% 40% -11.9
15.05.24 Columbus Crew II vs Orlando City II 4-3 48% 50% -3.9 24% 29% -16.0 28% 34% -19.0
16.05.24 Crown Legacy FC vs Chattanooga FC 4-1 34% 38% -10.4 25% 29% -14.2 41% 44% -7.8
18.05.24 Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II 2-2 36% 39% -8.7 26% 30% -14.9 38% 43% -9.8
19.05.24 Huntsville City FC vs Atlanta United II 2-3 44% 50% -12.1 25% 29% -14.9 31% 34% -8.5
19.05.24 Minnesota United FC II vs Tacoma Defiance 3-1 34% 37% -7.5 23% 27% -12.0 42% 49% -13.3
19.05.24 New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II 1-3 37% 37% -1.0 23% 27% -12.1 40% 49% -18.2
19.05.24 New York Red Bulls II vs FC Cincinnati II 1-4 56% 61% -8.0 21% 24% -12.7 22% 26% -15.4
19.05.24 North Texas SC vs Portland Timbers II 2-1 55% 63% -13.5 23% 26% -12.1 23% 24% -4.6
20.05.24 Colorado Rapids II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II 3-2 49% 53% -8.3 24% 28% -14.6 28% 32% -14.8
20.05.24 Inter Miami II vs Carolina Core FC 1-1 37% 45% -17.9 24% 28% -13.9 39% 39% -1.2
20.05.24 The Town FC vs Los Angeles FC II 0-0 42% 49% -12.9 25% 29% -13.6 33% 35% -6.5
20.05.24 Ventura County Fusion vs Real Monarchs SLC 2-0 59% 68% -13.8 22% 24% -9.7 19% 19% 2.1
23.05.24 Houston Dynamo II vs St. Louis City FC II 2-0 31% 32% -4.0 25% 29% -14.3 44% 51% -13.2
24.05.24 Toronto FC II vs Carolina Core FC 2-1 50% 58% -14.2 24% 27% -12.3 26% 27% -2.0
25.05.24 Austin FC II vs Los Angeles FC II 1-2 47% 55% -14.2 25% 29% -14.5 28% 29% -2.1
25.05.24 Chicago Fire II vs Columbus Crew II 2-1 48% 55% -12.0 23% 26% -11.5 29% 32% -10.2
25.05.24 North Texas SC vs Real Monarchs SLC 2-1 52% 60% -12.3 24% 28% -13.6 24% 25% -4.8
26.05.24 Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II 2-2 61% 68% -10.1 21% 24% -13.7 18% 20% -11.1
26.05.24 New England Revolution II vs New York City FC II 3-3 34% 33% 2.7 24% 28% -13.1 42% 51% -18.8
26.05.24 New York Red Bulls II vs Philadelphia Union II 1-5 37% 38% -5.0 24% 28% -12.5 39% 45% -13.9
27.05.24 Colorado Rapids II vs Minnesota United FC II 0-2 49% 55% -10.0 23% 26% -12.1 27% 31% -10.8
27.05.24 FC Cincinnati II vs Inter Miami II 0-1 60% 69% -13.7 20% 22% -7.9 20% 21% -3.8
27.05.24 Houston Dynamo II vs Tacoma Defiance 2-3 39% 43% -9.3 25% 29% -14.1 35% 39% -10.0
27.05.24 Orlando City II vs Huntsville City FC 5-0 49% 55% -11.3 23% 26% -11.0 28% 31% -9.1
27.05.24 St. Louis City FC II vs The Town FC 1-0 58% 64% -9.0 23% 26% -14.3 19% 22% -10.4
27.05.24 Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Ventura County Fusion 1-0 30% 32% -5.5 25% 29% -13.3 45% 51% -11.4
01.06.24 Atlanta United II vs Crown Legacy FC 0-1 34% 38% -10.5 24% 27% -12.5 43% 48% -10.6
01.06.24 Portland Timbers II vs Houston Dynamo II 1-1 40% 47% -13.7 24% 28% -12.8 36% 38% -5.6
01.06.24 Toronto FC II vs Chicago Fire II 1-4 39% 43% -10.3 25% 29% -13.9 36% 41% -10.8
01.06.24 Ventura County Fusion vs Tacoma Defiance 3-2 43% 48% -10.2 24% 27% -12.3 34% 38% -11.1
02.06.24 Carolina Core FC vs Huntsville City FC 1-4 44% 49% -9.1 24% 28% -12.7 31% 35% -10.5
02.06.24 Chattanooga FC vs New England Revolution II 1-0 59% 64% -7.9 22% 25% -13.9 20% 23% -14.3
02.06.24 New York City FC II vs New York Red Bulls II 3-2 45% 50% -9.5 24% 28% -13.6 31% 35% -12.3
03.06.24 Colorado Rapids II vs St. Louis City FC II 2-3 35% 38% -7.5 25% 29% -13.9 40% 47% -12.9
03.06.24 Inter Miami II vs Orlando City II 3-1 30% 33% -10.5 24% 27% -13.1 47% 52% -9.9
03.06.24 Los Angeles FC II vs North Texas SC 0-4 42% 48% -12.0 24% 28% -12.6 34% 36% -7.0
03.06.24 Minnesota United FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II 3-4 37% 43% -12.6 25% 29% -14.0 38% 42% -8.2
03.06.24 Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II 3-1 59% 68% -13.4 21% 23% -8.9 20% 21% -3.1
03.06.24 Real Monarchs SLC vs Austin FC II 4-0 46% 52% -11.3 26% 31% -15.3 28% 29% -4.9
03.06.24 Vancouver Whitecaps II vs The Town FC 3-1 37% 39% -6.4 25% 29% -14.1 38% 43% -12.5
07.06.24 Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II 3-1 51% 57% -11.4 23% 26% -11.5 27% 29% -9.2
07.06.24 Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II 0-2 56% 60% -7.5 22% 26% -14.6 22% 26% -14.9
07.06.24 Tacoma Defiance vs St. Louis City FC II 0-1 38% 42% -7.9 24% 28% -13.2 38% 43% -13.7
08.06.24 Austin FC II vs Colorado Rapids II 1-1 41% 45% -10.3 25% 29% -13.7 35% 38% -10.2
08.06.24 Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga FC 1-1 40% 44% -10.7 25% 29% -14.7 35% 39% -10.2
08.06.24 New York City FC II vs Inter Miami II 3-0 64% 74% -13.1 19% 21% -7.9 17% 17% -2.7
08.06.24 Orlando City II vs Carolina Core FC 2-2 58% 67% -13.0 21% 24% -10.2 20% 21% -2.9
08.06.24 Sporting Kansas City II vs Houston Dynamo II 2-2 55% 65% -15.5 22% 24% -9.0 23% 23% 1.7
09.06.24 Huntsville City FC vs Crown Legacy FC 4-2 35% 39% -10.0 23% 26% -11.5 41% 47% -10.9
10.06.24 Minnesota United FC II vs North Texas SC 0-3 36% 39% -7.5 25% 29% -14.7 39% 44% -13.1
10.06.24 New York Red Bulls II vs Toronto FC II 2-1 46% 53% -13.1 23% 27% -12.0 30% 32% -6.8
10.06.24 Portland Timbers II vs Ventura County Fusion 3-3 35% 41% -13.3 24% 28% -13.6 41% 44% -8.6
10.06.24 Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Los Angeles FC II 4-0 37% 41% -10.2 25% 29% -13.4 39% 43% -9.3
12.06.24 The Town FC vs Tacoma Defiance 2-1 39% 43% -11.0 24% 28% -13.2 37% 42% -10.7
13.06.24 Real Monarchs SLC vs Sporting Kansas City II 5-1 31% 36% -12.1 24% 29% -14.7 44% 49% -9.3
13.06.24 Toronto FC II vs New York City FC II 1-3 37% 38% -2.8 25% 29% -13.9 39% 47% -16.8
14.06.24 Crown Legacy FC vs Philadelphia Union II 0-3 44% 50% -12.2 24% 27% -12.1 32% 35% -7.8
14.06.24 Inter Miami II vs Columbus Crew II 1-1 31% 37% -15.8 23% 27% -13.6 46% 49% -6.2
14.06.24 Orlando City II vs Chattanooga FC 2-2 38% 43% -10.7 25% 29% -13.4 37% 41% -8.7
14.06.24 Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Minnesota United FC II 4-1 41% 44% -8.5 25% 29% -13.6 35% 39% -11.7
15.06.24 Austin FC II vs Portland Timbers II 0-0 53% 60% -12.7 23% 26% -11.5 25% 26% -6.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 995 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

30 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 St. Louis City FC II 1739.59
2 Austin FC II 1630.67
3 Houston Dynamo II 1617.80
4 Connecticut FC 1589.51
5 Minnesota United FC II 1585.44
6 New York Red Bulls II 1579.20
7 Crown Legacy FC 1577.87
8 Atlanta United II 1577.01
9 The Town FC 1574.76
10 New England Revolution II 1569.72
11 Portland Timbers II 1562.60
12 Chattanooga FC 1558.78
13 Los Angeles FC II 1538.98
14 Tacoma Defiance 1520.82
15 Ventura County Fusion 1503.54
16 Columbus Crew II 1500.57
17 New York City FC II 1497.12
18 Chicago Fire II 1481.54
19 Philadelphia Union II 1478.38
20 North Texas SC 1468.55
21 Huntsville City FC 1466.52
22 Carolina Core FC 1463.34
23 Orlando City II 1460.45
24 Toronto FC II 1443.36
25 Colorado Rapids II 1406.88
26 Real Monarchs SLC 1402.09
27 FC Cincinnati II 1396.77
28 Vancouver Whitecaps II 1371.41
29 Sporting Kansas City II 1357.01
30 Inter Miami II 1291.43

Away Ratings

30 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Crown Legacy FC 1549.38
2 New York Red Bulls II 1540.50
3 Minnesota United FC II 1522.49
4 Ventura County Fusion 1520.53
5 St. Louis City FC II 1519.85
6 The Town FC 1518.45
7 New England Revolution II 1515.28
8 Connecticut FC 1497.12
9 Chattanooga FC 1492.75
10 North Texas SC 1489.20
11 Portland Timbers II 1484.49
12 Houston Dynamo II 1483.34
13 Atlanta United II 1482.66
14 Tacoma Defiance 1470.53
15 Los Angeles FC II 1465.03
16 Chicago Fire II 1456.54
17 Huntsville City FC 1454.77
18 New York City FC II 1419.93
19 Austin FC II 1418.59
20 Real Monarchs SLC 1409.10
21 Philadelphia Union II 1407.12
22 Toronto FC II 1391.65
23 Columbus Crew II 1380.19
24 Colorado Rapids II 1377.87
25 Carolina Core FC 1371.24
26 Orlando City II 1348.41
27 Vancouver Whitecaps II 1340.80
28 Sporting Kansas City II 1322.64
29 FC Cincinnati II 1310.44
30 Inter Miami II 1285.52