ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 1158
Avg Goals 2.67
Avg Home 1.49
Avg Away 1.17
Home Win % 44.5%
Draw % 25.7%
Away Win % 29.8%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
No rows yet Rows will be created automatically from the league size.
Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 1158
Avg Brier Score 0.6190
Pick Accuracy 48.5%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6199
Market Brier 0.6194
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 1158 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.2% 0.0% 11
10–20% 16.8% 14.6% 253
20–30% 25.6% 26.1% 1629
30–40% 34.9% 34.6% 650
40–50% 44.6% 45.3% 523
50–60% 54.7% 50.9% 285
60–70% 63.9% 70.3% 101
70–80% 73.2% 78.9% 19
80–90% 83.5% 100.0% 3
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
02.08.23 Loudoun United FC vs Memphis 901 FC 0-0 35% 42% -17.0 26% 29% -10.6 39% 42% -5.4
05.08.23 Charleston Battery vs Oakland Roots SC 0-1 47% 53% -12.4 26% 29% -11.9 27% 30% -9.3
05.08.23 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs Birmingham Legion FC 2-1 44% 49% -10.8 26% 29% -11.5 30% 34% -11.6
05.08.23 FC Tulsa vs Louisville City FC 0-3 29% 32% -11.4 27% 31% -12.9 45% 50% -10.8
06.08.23 Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United 2-1 32% 37% -12.7 25% 28% -9.5 43% 48% -10.6
06.08.23 Indy Eleven vs Memphis 901 FC 1-2 40% 47% -13.2 27% 31% -12.0 33% 35% -7.3
06.08.23 Las Vegas Lights vs Rio Grande Valley 2-1 32% 36% -9.8 26% 29% -11.1 42% 48% -12.6
06.08.23 Miami FC Blues vs El Paso Locomotive FC 4-0 40% 47% -14.1 27% 31% -12.3 33% 36% -7.5
06.08.23 Monterey Bay FC vs Sacramento Republic FC 0-1 28% 33% -15.2 27% 31% -13.6 45% 48% -6.0
06.08.23 Phoenix Rising FC vs San Antonio FC 1-2 39% 43% -10.7 26% 29% -11.2 35% 40% -12.4
06.08.23 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 42% 49% -12.9 27% 31% -12.5 30% 32% -6.4
06.08.23 San Diego Loyal SC vs Orange County Blues FC 1-3 55% 61% -10.8 24% 26% -10.6 22% 24% -10.9
10.08.23 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs FC Tulsa 1-1 55% 61% -9.0 24% 27% -11.7 21% 24% -11.9
10.08.23 Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion FC 4-0 40% 44% -11.1 28% 32% -13.3 32% 36% -9.0
10.08.23 Louisville City FC vs Charleston Battery 1-1 53% 60% -10.9 25% 29% -12.6 22% 24% -9.8
10.08.23 San Diego Loyal SC vs Loudoun United FC 2-1 61% 68% -10.6 21% 23% -8.3 18% 20% -10.4
13.08.23 Birmingham Legion FC vs Sacramento Republic FC 1-1 36% 42% -13.5 27% 30% -11.9 37% 41% -8.8
13.08.23 Detroit City FC vs Charleston Battery 0-1 37% 42% -11.2 27% 31% -12.3 36% 39% -9.3
13.08.23 Las Vegas Lights vs Loudoun United FC 0-3 49% 55% -11.1 25% 28% -10.5 26% 29% -10.6
13.08.23 Louisville City FC vs Rio Grande Valley 2-2 49% 55% -10.3 26% 29% -12.3 25% 28% -10.3
13.08.23 Miami FC Blues vs Indy Eleven 0-1 43% 50% -13.0 27% 31% -12.6 30% 32% -8.2
13.08.23 New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC 0-3 32% 37% -13.9 26% 29% -11.5 42% 47% -9.5
13.08.23 Phoenix Rising FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC 5-0 51% 57% -10.1 24% 27% -10.5 25% 29% -13.4
13.08.23 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic 2-0 68% 75% -9.0 19% 22% -12.4 13% 14% -12.3
13.08.23 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay FC 4-1 61% 68% -9.8 22% 26% -12.8 16% 18% -10.5
17.08.23 Orange County Blues FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 36% 42% -13.7 28% 33% -14.6 36% 38% -7.5
17.08.23 San Antonio FC vs Rio Grande Valley 2-1 55% 61% -9.8 23% 26% -11.3 21% 24% -12.7
19.08.23 Birmingham Legion FC vs Louisville City FC 2-0 36% 41% -11.7 27% 31% -12.0 37% 41% -9.7
19.08.23 FC Tulsa vs Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 26% 30% -13.6 26% 29% -12.3 48% 53% -8.8
20.08.23 Detroit City FC vs Las Vegas Lights 1-0 49% 55% -10.9 26% 30% -12.6 25% 27% -8.0
20.08.23 El Paso Locomotive FC vs Indy Eleven 2-3 41% 45% -9.2 27% 30% -12.3 32% 37% -13.2
20.08.23 Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC Blues 0-3 35% 39% -11.7 26% 29% -10.7 39% 43% -10.0
20.08.23 Loudoun United FC vs Sacramento Republic FC 1-3 24% 28% -15.1 25% 29% -13.6 51% 56% -8.2
20.08.23 Oakland Roots SC vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 2-3 43% 49% -12.0 27% 31% -12.6 30% 32% -7.8
20.08.23 Orange County Blues FC vs Charleston Battery 2-0 44% 50% -11.5 27% 31% -12.9 29% 32% -10.2
20.08.23 Rio Grande Valley vs Phoenix Rising FC 1-0 42% 48% -11.8 26% 29% -11.3 32% 36% -10.7
20.08.23 San Antonio FC vs Monterey Bay FC 0-0 68% 75% -9.5 19% 22% -10.9 13% 14% -8.8
20.08.23 San Diego Loyal SC vs New Mexico United 2-2 51% 58% -11.3 24% 27% -10.0 24% 27% -9.7
24.08.23 FC Tulsa vs Birmingham Legion FC 1-3 33% 38% -11.3 27% 30% -11.7 40% 44% -10.5
24.08.23 Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-4 21% 24% -13.1 26% 30% -14.7 53% 58% -8.1
24.08.23 Memphis 901 FC vs Indy Eleven 0-0 45% 51% -10.2 26% 29% -11.5 29% 32% -11.2
24.08.23 New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots SC 1-2 43% 49% -11.9 26% 29% -10.9 31% 34% -9.1
27.08.23 Birmingham Legion FC vs Detroit City FC 2-3 50% 56% -10.9 26% 29% -12.7 24% 27% -10.3
27.08.23 Charleston Battery vs Memphis 901 FC 1-0 43% 49% -12.2 27% 30% -11.9 30% 33% -8.6
27.08.23 Hartford Athletic vs El Paso Locomotive FC 0-2 36% 42% -13.2 26% 29% -11.0 38% 42% -9.6
27.08.23 Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United FC 2-1 57% 63% -10.1 23% 26% -11.9 20% 23% -12.3
27.08.23 Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising FC 2-3 31% 36% -13.7 26% 29% -10.6 43% 48% -9.6
27.08.23 Louisville City FC vs Oakland Roots SC 2-1 50% 55% -9.7 26% 29% -12.5 25% 28% -11.2
27.08.23 Miami FC Blues vs Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 32% 38% -14.3 27% 31% -12.9 40% 43% -7.0
27.08.23 Monterey Bay FC vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 2-1 38% 43% -13.7 27% 31% -12.2 35% 38% -7.9
27.08.23 New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa 2-1 61% 69% -11.8 22% 24% -10.3 17% 18% -7.2
27.08.23 Sacramento Republic FC vs Orange County Blues FC 0-2 57% 62% -8.7 24% 27% -12.4 19% 22% -11.4
27.08.23 San Antonio FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 51% 58% -11.6 26% 29% -12.4 23% 25% -7.5
31.08.23 New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights 3-3 53% 60% -11.8 24% 26% -9.9 24% 27% -10.8
31.08.23 Phoenix Rising FC vs Sacramento Republic FC 2-1 39% 44% -11.3 27% 30% -11.3 34% 37% -8.9
31.08.23 Rio Grande Valley vs San Antonio FC 0-0 31% 36% -12.2 27% 30% -12.0 42% 47% -9.8
03.09.23 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs Louisville City FC 2-3 35% 39% -10.2 27% 31% -12.1 38% 43% -11.4
03.09.23 Detroit City FC vs Memphis 901 FC 1-1 35% 39% -11.4 29% 33% -14.1 37% 40% -8.4
03.09.23 El Paso Locomotive FC vs Monterey Bay FC 1-2 44% 49% -10.7 26% 29% -10.8 30% 33% -9.5
03.09.23 Indy Eleven vs Miami FC Blues 1-0 46% 51% -9.1 26% 30% -12.6 28% 31% -11.7
03.09.23 Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County Blues FC 1-5 32% 36% -9.5 26% 29% -11.1 42% 48% -12.8
03.09.23 New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery 0-1 43% 49% -11.3 27% 30% -12.0 30% 33% -9.8
03.09.23 Oakland Roots SC vs Sacramento Republic FC 0-1 32% 36% -11.2 27% 31% -12.4 40% 44% -9.3
03.09.23 Phoenix Rising FC vs Rio Grande Valley 2-0 46% 51% -9.8 26% 29% -11.7 28% 32% -11.7
03.09.23 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic 2-1 77% 85% -9.8 14% 14% -3.7 9% 10% -8.8
04.09.23 FC Tulsa vs San Antonio FC 2-1 21% 26% -16.5 24% 28% -13.2 54% 58% -6.9
04.09.23 San Diego Loyal SC vs Birmingham Legion FC 3-0 49% 56% -11.3 25% 29% -11.7 25% 29% -10.8
07.09.23 Memphis 901 FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 33% 38% -13.1 27% 30% -11.7 40% 43% -8.4
10.09.23 Charleston Battery vs San Diego Loyal SC 2-0 41% 47% -12.3 27% 30% -11.8 32% 36% -9.1
10.09.23 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs San Antonio FC 1-1 29% 33% -12.8 25% 29% -11.1 46% 51% -11.2
10.09.23 Detroit City FC vs Miami FC Blues 2-1 39% 43% -10.7 28% 32% -13.5 33% 37% -10.2
10.09.23 FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising FC 0-0 26% 29% -13.2 25% 28% -10.7 50% 55% -9.1
10.09.23 Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland Roots SC 3-1 32% 36% -10.2 26% 29% -11.1 42% 48% -12.3
10.09.23 Memphis 901 FC vs Monterey Bay FC 0-1 57% 65% -11.9 23% 26% -10.4 20% 22% -9.3
10.09.23 Orange County Blues FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC 0-0 57% 64% -10.7 23% 26% -10.7 20% 23% -11.1
10.09.23 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United FC 3-1 72% 80% -10.2 17% 19% -9.1 11% 12% -7.7
10.09.23 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City FC 2-1 46% 51% -9.8 26% 29% -11.7 28% 31% -11.3
11.09.23 Birmingham Legion FC vs New Mexico United 1-0 49% 56% -11.7 25% 28% -10.2 26% 29% -9.1
14.09.23 Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive FC 0-1 37% 40% -8.3 26% 29% -9.9 38% 43% -13.6
16.09.23 New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven 3-2 45% 51% -11.3 27% 31% -12.7 28% 31% -9.4
16.09.23 Orange County Blues FC vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 0-1 51% 57% -11.2 25% 29% -11.8 24% 27% -9.7
17.09.23 Loudoun United FC vs Charleston Battery 2-2 25% 29% -11.6 25% 29% -11.6 49% 56% -10.9
17.09.23 Louisville City FC vs San Diego Loyal SC 1-0 53% 60% -11.4 24% 28% -11.9 23% 26% -11.0
17.09.23 Memphis 901 FC vs Hartford Athletic 4-2 64% 72% -10.4 20% 22% -9.8 15% 17% -11.0
17.09.23 Miami FC Blues vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-2 32% 38% -14.0 28% 32% -13.6 40% 43% -6.8
17.09.23 Monterey Bay FC vs Las Vegas Lights 3-2 51% 57% -10.6 25% 29% -12.0 24% 27% -10.7
17.09.23 Oakland Roots SC vs FC Tulsa 0-1 56% 61% -9.1 23% 26% -11.8 21% 24% -13.8
17.09.23 Phoenix Rising FC vs Detroit City FC 5-0 59% 65% -9.2 22% 26% -12.5 19% 22% -14.4
17.09.23 Sacramento Republic FC vs El Paso Locomotive FC 1-0 56% 61% -6.8 23% 27% -13.3 20% 24% -15.6
17.09.23 San Antonio FC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-3 54% 62% -12.1 24% 27% -10.5 22% 23% -6.8
18.09.23 Rio Grande Valley vs Birmingham Legion FC 1-0 46% 52% -10.8 26% 29% -11.8 28% 31% -11.0
21.09.23 Birmingham Legion FC vs Memphis 901 FC 1-1 40% 45% -11.0 26% 29% -10.3 34% 38% -11.9
21.09.23 Miami FC Blues vs Louisville City FC 4-3 34% 38% -12.6 28% 32% -13.6 39% 42% -8.7
21.09.23 Monterey Bay FC vs San Diego Loyal SC 2-3 31% 36% -13.5 26% 29% -11.2 42% 47% -8.8
21.09.23 Phoenix Rising FC vs Indy Eleven 1-1 56% 61% -9.4 24% 27% -11.7 21% 24% -12.3
21.09.23 Sacramento Republic FC vs New Mexico United 0-0 56% 62% -9.9 23% 25% -9.5 21% 24% -12.2
24.09.23 Charleston Battery vs FC Tulsa 2-1 61% 67% -8.8 22% 25% -12.4 17% 20% -13.4
24.09.23 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC vs Sacramento Republic FC 2-0 34% 38% -11.3 27% 30% -11.6 39% 43% -10.1
24.09.23 Detroit City FC vs Hartford Athletic 3-0 55% 62% -11.7 24% 27% -11.2 21% 23% -8.5
24.09.23 El Paso Locomotive FC vs Phoenix Rising FC 1-1 33% 38% -11.8 27% 30% -11.8 40% 44% -10.0
Showing the 100 most recent of 1158 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

25 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 1805.79
2 Louisville City FC 1761.88
3 Rhode Island FC 1760.63
4 Charleston Battery 1742.51
5 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 1737.81
6 Sacramento Republic FC 1730.90
7 El Paso Locomotive FC 1708.24
8 Lexington SC 1701.60
9 Phoenix Rising FC 1701.23
10 Detroit City FC 1700.32
11 Hartford Athletic 1698.81
12 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1698.54
13 San Antonio FC 1690.85
14 Indy Eleven 1674.19
15 FC Tulsa 1664.23
16 Oakland Roots SC 1648.88
17 Birmingham Legion FC 1636.75
18 New Mexico United 1621.84
19 Loudoun United FC 1607.37
20 Las Vegas Lights 1606.31
21 Miami FC Blues 1589.47
22 Orange County Blues FC 1577.03
23 Brooklyn FC 1544.97
24 Monterey Bay FC 1528.41
25 Sporting Jax 1416.74

Away Ratings

25 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 1766.36
2 Louisville City FC 1716.63
3 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 1706.80
4 Sacramento Republic FC 1706.35
5 Rhode Island FC 1693.54
6 Lexington SC 1665.65
7 Charleston Battery 1656.98
8 Detroit City FC 1650.94
9 El Paso Locomotive FC 1643.08
10 Phoenix Rising FC 1634.27
11 San Antonio FC 1599.34
12 Indy Eleven 1595.72
13 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1592.77
14 Oakland Roots SC 1584.59
15 Hartford Athletic 1584.54
16 Birmingham Legion FC 1572.96
17 New Mexico United 1564.05
18 Loudoun United FC 1551.70
19 Miami FC Blues 1549.22
20 FC Tulsa 1541.44
21 Las Vegas Lights 1529.88
22 Orange County Blues FC 1529.60
23 Monterey Bay FC 1495.05
24 Brooklyn FC 1428.90
25 Sporting Jax 1420.10