ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 602
Avg Goals 2.49
Avg Home 1.37
Avg Away 1.12
Home Win % 42.2%
Draw % 27.1%
Away Win % 30.7%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 602
Avg Brier Score 0.6069
Pick Accuracy 49.7%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6088
Market Brier 0.6072
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 602 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.7% 3.4% 29
10–20% 16.2% 15.1% 225
20–30% 26.3% 27.2% 771
30–40% 34.2% 35.7% 294
40–50% 44.7% 39.2% 212
50–60% 54.6% 55.9% 161
60–70% 64.8% 66.2% 80
70–80% 72.9% 76.5% 34
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
04.08.23 FK Andijan vs Termez Surkhon 0-0 45% 49% -8.0 30% 34% -12.9 26% 30% -15.4
04.08.23 Metallurg Bekobod vs Navbahor Namangan 1-1 17% 22% -22.3 26% 32% -19.1 57% 58% -2.6
05.08.23 Buxoro FK vs Qizilqum Zarafshon 1-0 44% 48% -8.1 30% 34% -13.1 26% 31% -14.7
05.08.23 Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Neftchi Fargona 0-1 57% 60% -5.2 25% 29% -12.8 18% 23% -22.1
05.08.23 Turon Yaypan vs Nasaf Qarshi 1-0 16% 21% -23.9 24% 29% -18.9 60% 62% -2.3
06.08.23 Bunyodkor Tashkent vs FC AGMK 1-1 27% 31% -14.1 27% 31% -10.8 46% 50% -8.6
06.08.23 FK Olimpik Tashkent vs Sogdiana Jizak 3-3 40% 47% -13.2 29% 32% -10.5 31% 34% -9.3
10.08.23 Nasaf Qarshi vs Buxoro FK 1-0 75% 80% -6.6 18% 21% -14.3 7% 10% -22.1
10.08.23 Navbahor Namangan vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 1-2 43% 49% -12.6 29% 33% -11.6 28% 31% -9.4
11.08.23 FC AGMK vs FK Olimpik Tashkent 2-1 53% 58% -7.5 25% 28% -9.3 21% 26% -19.0
11.08.23 Neftchi Fargona vs Sogdiana Jizak 0-0 50% 54% -7.8 29% 33% -13.8 21% 26% -16.5
12.08.23 Bunyodkor Tashkent vs FK Andijan 2-1 44% 48% -8.4 29% 32% -10.8 28% 32% -14.4
12.08.23 Termez Surkhon vs Turon Yaypan 1-0 46% 52% -10.3 28% 31% -9.6 26% 29% -12.7
13.08.23 Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Metallurg Bekobod 0-2 41% 47% -12.7 30% 34% -12.4 30% 33% -10.8
15.08.23 Nasaf Qarshi vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 0-0 41% 47% -11.9 29% 33% -11.7 30% 33% -11.2
19.08.23 Nasaf Qarshi vs Qizilqum Zarafshon 0-0 78% 83% -6.1 16% 19% -15.4 6% 8% -24.2
19.08.23 Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Metallurg Bekobod 1-0 73% 79% -7.9 18% 21% -12.2 9% 12% -22.2
20.08.23 Buxoro FK vs Termez Surkhon 1-1 43% 48% -10.6 30% 34% -12.6 27% 31% -11.3
20.08.23 Turon Yaypan vs Bunyodkor Tashkent 1-2 36% 42% -15.5 29% 32% -10.7 36% 38% -5.8
21.08.23 FK Andijan vs FK Olimpik Tashkent 2-1 37% 41% -9.1 31% 35% -12.5 32% 36% -11.4
26.08.23 FC AGMK vs Neftchi Fargona 1-1 44% 48% -7.3 29% 33% -11.7 26% 31% -14.2
26.08.23 Sogdiana Jizak vs Navbahor Namangan 2-1 23% 28% -17.5 29% 34% -15.5 48% 51% -4.1
27.08.23 Bunyodkor Tashkent vs Buxoro FK 1-2 49% 53% -8.5 28% 31% -11.3 23% 28% -16.0
29.08.23 Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 2-3 13% 16% -20.6 22% 26% -17.2 66% 69% -5.7
29.08.23 Termez Surkhon vs Nasaf Qarshi 1-2 20% 26% -22.0 27% 32% -17.6 53% 55% -2.3
30.08.23 Metallurg Bekobod vs Sogdiana Jizak 3-1 33% 38% -12.2 30% 35% -12.8 36% 40% -8.8
30.08.23 Navbahor Namangan vs FC AGMK 0-0 52% 58% -10.7 27% 30% -9.9 21% 24% -11.5
31.08.23 Neftchi Fargona vs FK Andijan 0-0 58% 62% -6.2 25% 29% -13.4 17% 21% -20.1
22.09.23 Termez Surkhon vs Qizilqum Zarafshon 1-2 49% 53% -6.8 29% 33% -13.5 22% 27% -17.1
23.09.23 FC AGMK vs Metallurg Bekobod 2-4 58% 62% -6.2 24% 28% -11.8 17% 22% -20.7
23.09.23 FK Andijan vs Navbahor Namangan 2-1 22% 26% -15.2 29% 34% -15.4 50% 53% -6.7
24.09.23 Nasaf Qarshi vs Bunyodkor Tashkent 0-1 65% 71% -9.1 22% 25% -10.6 13% 15% -17.1
24.09.23 Sogdiana Jizak vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 1-1 22% 28% -20.1 26% 31% -14.7 52% 54% -4.6
27.09.23 Metallurg Bekobod vs FK Andijan 2-0 43% 47% -7.8 30% 35% -13.4 27% 31% -14.5
27.09.23 Neftchi Fargona vs Buxoro FK 3-0 67% 72% -6.9 21% 24% -12.6 12% 15% -21.0
28.09.23 FK Olimpik Tashkent vs Nasaf Qarshi 1-3 15% 17% -12.9 23% 27% -13.1 62% 68% -8.9
28.09.23 Navbahor Namangan vs Turon Yaypan 5-0 73% 81% -9.1 18% 20% -9.1 8% 10% -17.2
28.09.23 Pakhtakor Tashkent vs FC AGMK 2-2 58% 65% -9.8 24% 27% -8.9 18% 21% -16.0
29.09.23 Bunyodkor Tashkent vs Termez Surkhon 0-1 45% 49% -7.6 29% 32% -11.3 26% 31% -15.8
30.09.23 Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Sogdiana Jizak 4-2 33% 38% -13.8 30% 34% -12.2 37% 40% -7.3
06.10.23 Bunyodkor Tashkent vs Qizilqum Zarafshon 2-2 47% 50% -6.5 28% 31% -11.2 26% 31% -18.3
07.10.23 FC AGMK vs Sogdiana Jizak 3-2 52% 56% -7.5 26% 29% -10.7 22% 27% -18.4
07.10.23 Nasaf Qarshi vs Neftchi Fargona 2-0 47% 50% -5.3 29% 34% -14.6 23% 29% -18.7
08.10.23 Buxoro FK vs Navbahor Namangan 0-3 12% 17% -27.0 21% 27% -22.1 67% 68% -1.8
08.10.23 FK Andijan vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 1-0 20% 26% -22.6 26% 31% -17.0 54% 55% -2.3
12.10.23 Qizilqum Zarafshon vs FC AGMK 1-2 27% 32% -15.6 28% 32% -12.3 44% 48% -6.6
20.10.23 Metallurg Bekobod vs Buxoro FK 0-0 56% 60% -6.4 26% 31% -14.0 18% 22% -19.9
20.10.23 Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Turon Yaypan 3-0 78% 85% -7.8 15% 17% -8.7 7% 8% -20.1
21.10.23 FK Olimpik Tashkent vs Bunyodkor Tashkent 1-1 47% 51% -8.0 27% 30% -10.0 26% 31% -17.0
21.10.23 Sogdiana Jizak vs FK Andijan 1-2 47% 51% -7.1 28% 32% -11.7 25% 29% -16.4
22.10.23 Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon 1-1 65% 69% -6.8 23% 26% -13.8 13% 16% -21.2
26.10.23 FK Olimpik Tashkent vs Qizilqum Zarafshon 0-0 48% 52% -8.2 27% 30% -10.1 25% 30% -16.8
26.10.23 Turon Yaypan vs Sogdiana Jizak 1-0 31% 35% -12.3 28% 31% -9.8 41% 45% -9.2
27.10.23 Nasaf Qarshi vs Metallurg Bekobod 2-0 69% 73% -5.8 20% 24% -15.2 11% 15% -25.2
27.10.23 Termez Surkhon vs Navbahor Namangan 1-2 13% 18% -26.7 22% 28% -21.5 65% 66% -2.0
28.10.23 Bunyodkor Tashkent vs Neftchi Fargona 2-1 26% 31% -16.0 28% 32% -12.8 46% 49% -5.7
28.10.23 FK Andijan vs FC AGMK 0-1 31% 38% -16.7 28% 31% -10.9 41% 43% -6.4
29.10.23 Buxoro FK vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 0-1 14% 18% -23.4 21% 26% -17.3 65% 68% -4.6
30.10.23 Navbahor Namangan vs Nasaf Qarshi 0-1 45% 50% -10.4 30% 34% -12.2 25% 29% -10.9
01.11.23 FC AGMK vs Turon Yaypan 2-1 71% 78% -9.4 19% 20% -6.0 10% 12% -16.4
02.11.23 Qizilqum Zarafshon vs FK Andijan 3-0 51% 58% -12.7 28% 30% -9.2 21% 23% -7.2
03.11.23 Neftchi Fargona vs FK Olimpik Tashkent 0-1 59% 63% -7.3 25% 28% -11.7 17% 21% -19.5
03.11.23 Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Nasaf Qarshi 1-1 41% 47% -12.1 30% 33% -11.1 29% 32% -8.6
04.11.23 Metallurg Bekobod vs Termez Surkhon 0-1 49% 53% -7.2 29% 33% -13.4 22% 27% -16.5
04.11.23 Sogdiana Jizak vs Buxoro FK 1-0 55% 59% -6.5 26% 29% -12.1 19% 24% -19.7
09.11.23 Turon Yaypan vs Neftchi Fargona 0-3 19% 23% -19.5 26% 30% -15.8 56% 59% -5.0
10.11.23 Buxoro FK vs FK Olimpik Tashkent 0-1 32% 36% -11.4 29% 33% -11.7 39% 43% -10.5
11.11.23 Navbahor Namangan vs Bunyodkor Tashkent 3-0 72% 78% -7.5 20% 23% -13.0 9% 11% -18.9
19.11.23 Termez Surkhon vs FK Olimpik Tashkent 1-0 35% 38% -8.7 30% 33% -10.9 35% 40% -12.0
22.11.23 Buxoro FK vs FC AGMK 0-1 16% 20% -17.9 23% 27% -13.2 60% 65% -6.3
22.11.23 Turon Yaypan vs FK Andijan 1-3 35% 41% -13.8 29% 33% -12.0 35% 39% -9.6
23.11.23 Bunyodkor Tashkent vs Metallurg Bekobod 1-0 41% 45% -9.3 28% 31% -9.7 31% 36% -14.5
23.11.23 Nasaf Qarshi vs Sogdiana Jizak 0-0 70% 75% -6.6 20% 23% -14.3 10% 14% -24.0
23.11.23 Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon 1-0 58% 64% -8.7 25% 28% -11.0 17% 21% -17.9
24.11.23 FK Olimpik Tashkent vs Navbahor Namangan 2-1 17% 22% -21.1 24% 28% -15.3 59% 62% -4.5
24.11.23 Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 1-2 15% 19% -22.3 22% 26% -16.5 63% 66% -4.5
01.12.23 FC AGMK vs Nasaf Qarshi 1-1 34% 41% -16.1 29% 32% -11.0 37% 39% -5.5
01.12.23 FK Andijan vs Buxoro FK 1-0 53% 59% -10.1 27% 31% -11.2 20% 23% -13.0
01.12.23 Navbahor Namangan vs Neftchi Fargona 1-1 52% 56% -7.3 28% 32% -13.1 20% 24% -16.5
01.12.23 Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Bunyodkor Tashkent 2-3 68% 71% -3.8 19% 23% -16.6 13% 18% -29.5
01.12.23 Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Turon Yaypan 1-0 53% 58% -8.1 26% 29% -10.7 20% 24% -16.9
01.12.23 Sogdiana Jizak vs Termez Surkhon 0-2 52% 56% -7.8 27% 30% -11.0 21% 25% -16.4
05.12.23 FK Kokand 1912 vs Qizilqum Zarafshon 1-2 36% 38% -4.4 28% 31% -9.7 36% 43% -17.9
01.03.24 Nasaf Qarshi vs FK Olimpik Tashkent 2-0 65% 70% -7.4 22% 25% -10.9 13% 16% -18.8
01.03.24 Navbahor Namangan vs Dynamo Samarkand 3-1 71% 73% -3.1 20% 24% -20.0 10% 14% -29.0
02.03.24 Bunyodkor Tashkent vs Qizilqum Zarafshon 1-3 43% 45% -6.2 29% 32% -10.6 29% 34% -15.8
02.03.24 Sogdiana Jizak vs Neftchi Fargona 1-2 28% 31% -11.1 30% 34% -12.8 43% 48% -10.4
03.03.24 FC AGMK vs FK Andijan 0-0 57% 61% -7.6 25% 29% -11.0 18% 22% -17.6
03.03.24 Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Metallurg Bekobod 2-2 42% 44% -5.8 30% 35% -13.6 28% 33% -16.6
04.03.24 Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 0-3 17% 23% -25.4 24% 29% -19.2 59% 60% -2.0
08.03.24 Metallurg Bekobod vs Sogdiana Jizak 0-0 40% 43% -7.3 30% 34% -12.1 29% 34% -13.3
08.03.24 Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Nasaf Qarshi 0-0 35% 37% -5.5 30% 34% -12.1 35% 41% -15.0
09.03.24 FK Olimpik Tashkent vs Lokomotiv Tashkent 0-1 41% 44% -8.3 29% 32% -11.1 31% 36% -16.0
09.03.24 Navbahor Namangan vs FC AGMK 1-1 51% 55% -6.7 27% 31% -12.0 22% 27% -18.8
10.03.24 Dynamo Samarkand vs Neftchi Fargona 0-1 24% 30% -19.5 29% 34% -15.9 47% 49% -3.5
10.03.24 FK Andijan vs Bunyodkor Tashkent 5-1 43% 49% -11.8 30% 33% -11.4 27% 30% -9.4
11.03.24 Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Termez Surkhon 2-1 52% 59% -12.2 28% 32% -11.9 20% 22% -8.4
14.03.24 Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Pakhtakor Tashkent 3-0 21% 24% -12.9 27% 31% -12.9 52% 56% -8.8
15.03.24 Neftchi Fargona vs Metallurg Bekobod 1-0 53% 58% -9.2 28% 31% -11.7 19% 22% -13.2
15.03.24 Sogdiana Jizak vs FK Olimpik Tashkent 2-2 42% 47% -9.3 29% 33% -12.0 28% 33% -14.5
Showing the 100 most recent of 602 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Nasaf Qarshi 1859.51
2 Pakhtakor Tashkent 1844.22
3 Neftchi Fargona 1829.16
4 Navbahor Namangan 1828.39
5 FC AGMK 1721.66
6 Lokomotiv Tashkent 1710.52
7 Dynamo Samarkand 1660.35
8 FK Andijan 1651.00
9 Buxoro FK 1638.47
10 Sogdiana Jizak 1613.48
11 FK Kokand 1912 1584.62
12 Qizilqum Zarafshon 1584.45
13 Xorazm Urganch 1572.64
14 Termez Surkhon 1567.05
15 Bunyodkor Tashkent 1529.09
16 Mashal Muborak 1340.81

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Neftchi Fargona 1790.05
2 Pakhtakor Tashkent 1776.10
3 Navbahor Namangan 1767.41
4 Nasaf Qarshi 1696.86
5 Lokomotiv Tashkent 1670.53
6 FC AGMK 1643.23
7 FK Andijan 1598.38
8 FK Kokand 1912 1589.92
9 Dynamo Samarkand 1586.23
10 Termez Surkhon 1552.39
11 Buxoro FK 1527.44
12 Sogdiana Jizak 1516.03
13 Qizilqum Zarafshon 1512.77
14 Xorazm Urganch 1466.32
15 Bunyodkor Tashkent 1460.91
16 Mashal Muborak 1318.77