ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 558
Avg Goals 2.58
Avg Home 1.43
Avg Away 1.16
Home Win % 42.7%
Draw % 29.0%
Away Win % 28.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 558
Avg Brier Score 0.6077
Pick Accuracy 48.0%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6104
Market Brier 0.6076
Blended Model Beats Market? No
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 2
Value Bet Hit Rate 0.0%
ROI (flat stake) -100.0%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • The blended model's Brier score does not beat the market's — ROI may reflect leftover model bias rather than genuine skill.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 1 of 558 matches had at least one · staked 2.00, profit -2.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
draw 1 0.0% 1.00 -1.00 -100.0%
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.1% 0.0% 16
10–20% 16.1% 15.7% 172
20–30% 26.3% 25.1% 701
30–40% 33.7% 35.5% 346
40–50% 44.7% 44.7% 228
50–60% 54.6% 58.7% 121
60–70% 64.4% 61.4% 70
70–80% 73.9% 83.3% 18
80–90% 86.1% 50.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
02.08.23 Ha Noi FC vs Hai Phong 3-1 61% 71% -13.6 23% 24% -4.8 16% 17% -6.9
02.08.23 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC vs Thanh Hoa FC 0-0 27% 31% -12.2 28% 30% -6.8 44% 51% -13.6
02.08.23 Nam Dinh FC vs Cong An Ha Noi 1-2 17% 17% -3.7 25% 26% -3.8 58% 68% -15.4
05.08.23 Binh Duong vs Khanh Hoa 3-0 57% 67% -15.7 25% 26% -3.8 18% 18% -0.4
05.08.23 Da Nang vs Song Lam Nghe An 0-1 58% 68% -14.8 25% 27% -4.8 16% 16% 1.7
05.08.23 Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ho Chi Minh City FC 0-1 33% 36% -6.3 29% 31% -7.5 38% 45% -17.2
06.08.23 Cong An Ha Noi vs Ha Noi FC 2-1 34% 36% -6.8 29% 32% -8.8 37% 44% -17.4
06.08.23 Hai Phong vs Nam Dinh FC 2-0 48% 56% -13.0 28% 31% -8.9 23% 26% -9.4
06.08.23 Quy Nhon United vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 1-1 51% 61% -16.2 27% 29% -5.5 22% 22% -2.8
06.08.23 Thanh Hoa FC vs The Cong Viettel FC 0-1 37% 41% -10.3 30% 32% -8.3 34% 39% -13.8
10.08.23 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC vs Hai Phong 0-0 35% 42% -15.9 30% 34% -10.1 34% 38% -8.6
11.08.23 Khanh Hoa vs Da Nang 1-3 21% 24% -10.2 29% 32% -9.5 49% 56% -12.5
11.08.23 Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 44% 52% -14.4 29% 31% -7.8 27% 29% -8.6
12.08.23 Quy Nhon United vs Nam Dinh FC 1-2 43% 50% -13.1 29% 31% -7.3 28% 30% -8.9
12.08.23 Thanh Hoa FC vs Ha Noi FC 1-3 24% 25% -5.3 28% 29% -5.5 49% 58% -16.0
12.08.23 The Cong Viettel FC vs Cong An Ha Noi 0-3 35% 39% -10.7 31% 34% -10.4 34% 39% -13.1
27.08.23 Cong An Ha Noi vs Thanh Hoa FC 1-1 63% 73% -13.2 22% 23% -3.5 15% 16% -8.1
27.08.23 Ha Noi FC vs The Cong Viettel FC 3-2 50% 56% -10.5 27% 29% -8.7 23% 28% -15.6
27.08.23 Hai Phong vs Quy Nhon United 1-2 48% 58% -16.6 28% 29% -6.3 24% 26% -5.4
27.08.23 Nam Dinh FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 2-0 52% 61% -14.4 25% 26% -3.5 23% 25% -9.1
20.10.23 Hai Phong vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-1 54% 60% -9.6 26% 29% -10.1 19% 22% -14.1
21.10.23 Thanh Hoa FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 2-2 56% 65% -14.0 25% 26% -3.2 20% 21% -6.6
22.10.23 Cong An Ha Noi vs Quy Nhon United 1-1 62% 71% -12.1 23% 24% -5.2 15% 17% -9.7
22.10.23 Ho Chi Minh City FC vs Khanh Hoa 2-0 48% 55% -11.3 28% 31% -9.1 24% 27% -12.8
22.10.23 Nam Dinh FC vs Quang Nam 2-1 54% 65% -16.3 26% 27% -3.7 20% 21% -2.6
22.10.23 Song Lam Nghe An vs The Cong Viettel FC 1-1 24% 29% -14.8 29% 31% -8.2 47% 52% -9.3
27.10.23 The Cong Viettel FC vs Thanh Hoa FC 1-1 45% 51% -10.2 28% 31% -8.8 26% 30% -13.8
28.10.23 Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Cong An Ha Noi 0-3 20% 23% -11.3 26% 28% -5.3 53% 61% -13.3
28.10.23 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC vs Song Lam Nghe An 1-1 42% 50% -15.4 29% 31% -7.5 29% 31% -7.9
28.10.23 Khanh Hoa vs Nam Dinh FC 2-3 23% 27% -15.1 28% 31% -8.6 49% 55% -10.4
29.10.23 Ha Noi FC vs Hai Phong 3-5 47% 56% -16.7 28% 29% -6.0 26% 27% -5.5
29.10.23 Quang Nam vs Ho Chi Minh City FC 1-1 37% 41% -8.3 29% 31% -7.3 34% 41% -16.6
29.10.23 Quy Nhon United vs Binh Duong 0-2 50% 60% -15.2 27% 29% -7.2 22% 24% -6.8
03.11.23 Cong An Ha Noi vs Ha Noi FC 2-0 43% 50% -13.8 28% 31% -7.7 28% 32% -11.7
03.11.23 Nam Dinh FC vs Ho Chi Minh City FC 2-1 59% 68% -13.2 24% 25% -4.8 17% 18% -7.9
03.11.23 Quy Nhon United vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3-1 51% 58% -12.3 27% 29% -7.8 22% 25% -11.2
04.11.23 Binh Duong vs Hai Phong 1-0 33% 38% -14.8 29% 31% -7.2 38% 43% -10.2
04.11.23 Thanh Hoa FC vs Song Lam Nghe An 3-1 53% 61% -13.8 26% 28% -6.1 21% 23% -9.0
04.11.23 The Cong Viettel FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 1-0 60% 66% -10.1 24% 26% -8.7 16% 19% -13.8
24.11.23 Binh Duong vs Ha Noi FC 0-1 28% 32% -12.2 29% 31% -6.7 43% 49% -12.0
02.12.23 Khanh Hoa vs Thanh Hoa FC 0-2 20% 21% -6.1 27% 29% -5.4 53% 62% -14.4
02.12.23 Song Lam Nghe An vs Quang Nam 4-4 49% 60% -17.0 26% 27% -2.6 24% 25% -2.9
03.12.23 Ha Noi FC vs Quy Nhon United 0-1 50% 58% -14.9 26% 28% -5.1 24% 26% -9.3
03.12.23 Ho Chi Minh City FC vs The Cong Viettel FC 2-0 25% 26% -6.8 29% 31% -7.4 47% 55% -14.8
03.12.23 Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Binh Duong 1-1 35% 41% -13.3 30% 33% -9.2 34% 38% -10.7
03.12.23 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC vs Nam Dinh FC 2-4 24% 28% -12.1 28% 31% -7.7 47% 54% -12.7
04.12.23 Hai Phong vs Cong An Ha Noi 3-1 33% 38% -12.2 31% 34% -9.6 36% 41% -11.3
08.12.23 Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs The Cong Viettel FC 1-2 25% 29% -11.3 30% 32% -8.6 45% 51% -11.9
09.12.23 Ho Chi Minh City FC vs Hai Phong 1-1 27% 30% -9.8 29% 31% -6.8 44% 51% -14.2
09.12.23 Nam Dinh FC vs Cong An Ha Noi 2-2 45% 54% -16.5 28% 29% -6.0 27% 29% -7.5
09.12.23 Quy Nhon United vs Thanh Hoa FC 2-3 38% 43% -12.3 30% 32% -8.6 32% 37% -12.6
10.12.23 Ha Noi FC vs Song Lam Nghe An 2-0 56% 67% -16.2 25% 26% -2.8 19% 19% -1.3
10.12.23 Khanh Hoa vs Binh Duong 0-2 30% 34% -12.4 30% 32% -8.1 40% 45% -11.7
10.12.23 Quang Nam vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 1-0 43% 49% -11.7 28% 29% -6.5 29% 34% -14.6
15.12.23 Cong An Ha Noi vs Quang Nam 0-0 64% 74% -13.1 22% 22% -2.5 14% 15% -5.6
16.12.23 Binh Duong vs Nam Dinh FC 3-2 31% 38% -18.7 28% 29% -6.2 42% 45% -8.2
16.12.23 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC vs Quy Nhon United 0-4 30% 33% -9.4 28% 30% -6.2 41% 49% -15.2
16.12.23 Thanh Hoa FC vs Ho Chi Minh City FC 1-1 60% 69% -13.0 23% 24% -4.0 16% 17% -6.9
17.12.23 Song Lam Nghe An vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 45% 53% -16.1 27% 28% -3.6 29% 31% -8.4
17.12.23 The Cong Viettel FC vs Ha Noi FC 0-2 37% 40% -7.7 29% 32% -8.6 34% 40% -16.0
18.12.23 Hai Phong vs Khanh Hoa 3-1 70% 78% -10.7 20% 22% -8.2 10% 11% -10.1
22.12.23 Binh Duong vs Thanh Hoa FC 1-0 32% 38% -16.5 28% 30% -6.9 40% 44% -10.7
22.12.23 Ha Noi FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 1-1 68% 78% -12.5 20% 21% -3.1 12% 13% -6.9
22.12.23 Ho Chi Minh City FC vs Song Lam Nghe An 1-0 40% 48% -16.2 29% 32% -8.6 31% 33% -8.2
22.12.23 Khanh Hoa vs Cong An Ha Noi 2-1 15% 17% -12.9 23% 24% -4.7 62% 70% -11.0
23.12.23 Nam Dinh FC vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai 3-0 56% 64% -11.4 25% 27% -7.3 18% 21% -12.1
23.12.23 Quang Nam vs Hai Phong 2-0 30% 35% -13.4 29% 31% -7.4 41% 47% -12.1
23.12.23 Quy Nhon United vs The Cong Viettel FC 4-1 37% 42% -11.9 30% 33% -9.8 33% 38% -13.3
26.12.23 Cong An Ha Noi vs Binh Duong 3-0 53% 60% -11.5 25% 27% -6.0 21% 24% -12.9
26.12.23 Ho Chi Minh City FC vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 0-1 44% 51% -12.8 29% 32% -8.9 27% 29% -9.7
26.12.23 Khanh Hoa vs Song Lam Nghe An 0-1 33% 39% -16.8 29% 32% -8.7 38% 42% -8.9
27.12.23 Hai Phong vs Quy Nhon United 0-1 43% 49% -11.6 28% 30% -7.3 29% 33% -13.7
27.12.23 Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ha Noi FC 2-0 21% 22% -5.2 27% 28% -4.2 53% 62% -15.6
27.12.23 Nam Dinh FC vs The Cong Viettel FC 3-0 49% 56% -13.2 27% 29% -7.0 24% 27% -10.4
27.12.23 Quang Nam vs Thanh Hoa FC 0-2 30% 34% -13.5 29% 31% -7.8 41% 48% -13.2
17.02.24 Binh Duong vs Quang Nam 1-1 49% 57% -13.6 27% 29% -6.9 23% 26% -9.2
17.02.24 Hai Phong vs Nam Dinh FC 1-3 38% 43% -13.4 28% 30% -6.2 34% 38% -11.7
17.02.24 The Cong Viettel FC vs Khanh Hoa 0-0 61% 67% -9.6 24% 26% -9.6 16% 18% -14.5
18.02.24 Cong An Ha Noi vs Ho Chi Minh City FC 2-0 69% 78% -11.3 20% 22% -6.1 10% 11% -4.9
18.02.24 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 39% 44% -12.3 29% 31% -7.2 32% 36% -11.9
18.02.24 Song Lam Nghe An vs Quy Nhon United 2-0 28% 32% -12.7 29% 31% -7.4 43% 49% -12.0
18.02.24 Thanh Hoa FC vs Ha Noi FC 2-0 32% 36% -10.3 30% 32% -8.1 38% 44% -13.8
23.02.24 Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Quang Nam 0-0 42% 49% -13.7 29% 31% -8.3 29% 33% -12.3
23.02.24 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC vs Khanh Hoa 1-0 45% 52% -12.2 29% 31% -8.6 26% 29% -11.8
23.02.24 Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An Ha Noi 0-1 23% 28% -15.5 28% 30% -8.1 49% 55% -10.9
23.02.24 Thanh Hoa FC vs Hai Phong 3-2 45% 52% -13.0 29% 31% -8.3 26% 29% -10.7
23.02.24 The Cong Viettel FC vs Binh Duong 0-1 48% 55% -12.4 28% 31% -8.3 24% 26% -10.2
24.02.24 Ha Noi FC vs Ho Chi Minh City FC 3-1 62% 69% -10.3 23% 25% -8.8 15% 17% -14.4
24.02.24 Quy Nhon United vs Nam Dinh FC 2-1 35% 39% -11.8 29% 31% -6.8 37% 43% -13.6
27.02.24 Cong An Ha Noi vs Thanh Hoa FC 3-1 45% 52% -12.9 28% 31% -8.2 27% 30% -12.2
27.02.24 Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An 2-2 57% 66% -13.1 25% 27% -5.9 18% 19% -7.1
27.02.24 Khanh Hoa vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-0 38% 43% -12.3 30% 33% -8.9 32% 35% -10.2
27.02.24 Quang Nam vs The Cong Viettel FC 2-0 30% 35% -13.5 30% 33% -9.5 39% 44% -11.2
28.02.24 Binh Duong vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 1-0 45% 51% -11.6 29% 31% -8.6 27% 31% -12.9
28.02.24 Ho Chi Minh City FC vs Quy Nhon United 2-1 26% 29% -9.9 29% 31% -6.9 46% 53% -13.4
28.02.24 Nam Dinh FC vs Ha Noi FC 3-2 39% 43% -11.0 28% 30% -6.5 33% 38% -14.2
02.03.24 Hai Phong vs The Cong Viettel FC 1-1 41% 47% -12.1 29% 32% -8.9 30% 34% -12.4
02.03.24 Thanh Hoa FC vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-2 60% 67% -11.0 24% 26% -6.6 16% 18% -10.5
03.03.24 Cong An Ha Noi vs Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 1-1 65% 74% -11.8 21% 23% -5.9 13% 15% -10.5
03.03.24 Ho Chi Minh City FC vs Binh Duong 1-0 31% 34% -9.7 30% 33% -9.2 39% 45% -13.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 558 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

16 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Cong An Ha Noi 1922.01
2 Nam Dinh FC 1902.14
3 Ha Noi FC 1882.05
4 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 1854.47
5 The Cong Viettel FC 1784.77
6 Ho Chi Minh City FC 1768.33
7 Hai Phong 1735.31
8 Thanh Pho Dong Nai 1724.51
9 Ha Tinh FC 1716.06
10 Thanh Hoa FC 1711.52
11 Da Nang 1709.77
12 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 1670.15
13 Bac Ninh 1664.17
14 Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1655.54
15 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 1632.66
16 Song Lam Nghe An 1564.07

Away Ratings

16 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Nam Dinh FC 1872.14
2 Ha Noi FC 1857.40
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 1842.47
4 The Cong Viettel FC 1808.95
5 Cong An Ha Noi 1780.55
6 Da Nang 1724.64
7 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 1704.08
8 Ha Tinh FC 1680.48
9 Ho Chi Minh City FC 1674.89
10 Song Lam Nghe An 1673.10
11 Hai Phong 1662.19
12 Bac Ninh 1598.59
13 Hong Linh Ha Tinh FC 1584.52
14 Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1563.08
15 Thanh Hoa FC 1562.59
16 Thanh Pho Dong Nai 1538.95