ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 279
Avg Goals 2.25
Avg Home 1.41
Avg Away 0.84
Home Win % 46.6%
Draw % 31.2%
Away Win % 22.2%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 279
Avg Brier Score 0.5364
Pick Accuracy 58.1%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.5417
Market Brier 0.5511
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 6
Value Bet Hit Rate 50.0%
ROI (flat stake) 58.3%
ROI Trustworthy? No
Before trusting this ROI:
  • 83.3% of value bets are on 'draw' — ROI may just be measuring a systematic model bias toward that side, not real edge.
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 6 of 279 matches had at least one · staked 6.00, profit 3.50 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 1 100.0% 1.00 1.20 120.0%
draw 5 40.0% 5.00 2.30 46.0%
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 7.0% 10.1% 69
10–20% 15.2% 11.6% 146
20–30% 25.2% 19.5% 185
30–40% 34.5% 39.4% 221
40–50% 45.2% 51.6% 64
50–60% 54.8% 44.2% 52
60–70% 65.0% 71.1% 45
70–80% 74.8% 75.0% 40
80–90% 83.8% 92.3% 13
90–100% 91.8% 100.0% 2
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
02.08.23 Hoa Binh FC vs Long An FC 0-0 48% 51% -4.0 31% 32% -3.7 20% 29% -30.4
03.08.23 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh 0-0 29% 33% -14.1 35% 32% 7.2 37% 48% -22.8
07.08.23 Long An FC vs Binh Thuan 4-1 69% 71% -2.9 19% 23% -14.8 11% 17% -35.1
08.08.23 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Cong An Nhan Dan 0-3 14% 17% -18.6 31% 29% 7.1 56% 66% -15.7
08.08.23 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Hoa Binh FC 2-0 29% 35% -17.1 37% 36% 2.9 34% 43% -19.2
12.08.23 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 3-1 79% 81% -2.2 16% 22% -27.1 5% 8% -35.8
16.08.23 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Long An FC 1-3 28% 31% -9.1 34% 31% 8.7 38% 50% -24.8
20.08.23 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 2-1 43% 48% -10.6 35% 34% 0.2 23% 31% -25.7
20.08.23 Hoa Binh FC vs Quang Nam 3-2 10% 12% -18.2 24% 20% 20.6 66% 79% -16.2
26.08.23 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Hoa Binh FC 3-2 85% 88% -2.7 10% 15% -30.9 4% 7% -35.9
26.08.23 Quang Nam vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 4-0 84% 85% -1.5 11% 16% -33.3 5% 8% -36.0
26.08.23 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh 3-1 79% 85% -7.0 15% 16% -5.9 6% 9% -32.5
21.10.23 Hoa Binh FC vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 1-1 30% 38% -21.8 36% 34% 4.0 35% 41% -15.1
22.10.23 Dong Nai FC vs TDCS Dong Thap 1-0 38% 35% 8.8 31% 32% -2.5 31% 45% -32.6
22.10.23 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Long An FC 2-1 35% 43% -20.3 35% 32% 7.5 31% 37% -17.1
27.10.23 Long An FC vs Dong Nai FC 3-0 64% 68% -5.6 23% 24% -5.9 13% 19% -32.6
27.10.23 TDCS Dong Thap vs Da Nang 0-2 14% 18% -23.2 28% 26% 9.4 58% 67% -13.6
28.10.23 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Hoa Binh FC 0-0 75% 73% 2.5 17% 25% -32.9 8% 13% -37.0
31.10.23 Da Nang vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 2-2 70% 71% -1.8 20% 25% -19.1 10% 15% -35.1
01.11.23 Hoa Binh FC vs Hue FC 0-2 73% 76% -3.4 19% 23% -17.3 8% 12% -34.2
01.11.23 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 2-1 57% 62% -7.1 28% 29% -4.5 15% 21% -30.1
05.11.23 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Dong Nai FC 4-0 71% 78% -8.7 21% 22% -3.2 8% 11% -29.4
05.11.23 TDCS Dong Thap vs Hoa Binh FC 2-0 37% 36% 1.0 34% 34% -1.1 29% 42% -30.0
05.11.23 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh 1-1 64% 69% -7.2 24% 25% -5.2 12% 17% -31.8
02.12.23 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs TDCS Dong Thap 2-0 40% 43% -6.8 35% 36% -0.8 25% 34% -26.5
02.12.23 Dong Nai FC vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 2-1 9% 12% -23.6 26% 25% 3.4 65% 74% -12.0
02.12.23 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Hoa Binh FC 1-2 43% 49% -11.0 35% 35% -0.2 22% 29% -24.5
03.12.23 Long An FC vs Cong An Nhan Dan 2-2 21% 29% -27.5 32% 31% 2.5 47% 53% -11.4
09.12.23 TDCS Dong Thap vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh 0-0 37% 38% -3.1 35% 34% 0.3 28% 39% -28.2
10.12.23 Hoa Binh FC vs Dong Nai FC 1-0 51% 45% 11.4 27% 32% -16.6 22% 35% -36.0
10.12.23 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Long An FC 2-1 41% 44% -8.3 33% 31% 4.7 27% 36% -27.1
16.12.23 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 1-0 61% 56% 9.4 23% 31% -27.0 16% 25% -37.1
16.12.23 Long An FC vs Da Nang 2-5 21% 27% -22.4 33% 31% 5.7 46% 55% -15.8
17.12.23 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Hoa Binh FC 1-0 48% 50% -4.0 30% 31% -2.7 22% 32% -31.6
23.12.23 Long An FC vs Hoa Binh FC 1-1 57% 56% 0.2 27% 30% -11.6 17% 25% -33.7
24.12.23 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Da Nang 1-3 6% 9% -29.2 20% 20% -1.1 74% 81% -9.2
24.12.23 TDCS Dong Thap vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 1-0 30% 29% 1.1 34% 32% 4.8 36% 51% -28.9
17.02.24 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 2-1 79% 82% -3.5 14% 17% -20.2 7% 11% -35.3
25.02.24 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Long An FC 5-3 39% 51% -23.8 34% 31% 9.3 27% 30% -9.8
25.02.24 Hoa Binh FC vs Da Nang 0-2 15% 19% -23.2 30% 29% 5.2 55% 64% -13.2
25.02.24 TDCS Dong Thap vs Cong An Nhan Dan 0-0 15% 20% -23.8 31% 29% 4.1 54% 62% -13.4
02.03.24 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 3-0 71% 71% 0.7 18% 25% -26.1 10% 16% -36.7
02.03.24 Long An FC vs TDCS Dong Thap 1-0 62% 68% -9.0 25% 25% -0.6 13% 19% -30.4
08.03.24 Da Nang vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 0-0 79% 81% -1.7 14% 20% -28.9 7% 10% -36.4
09.03.24 Hoa Binh FC vs Long An FC 1-1 31% 36% -14.2 35% 32% 8.2 34% 43% -20.7
09.03.24 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs TDCS Dong Thap 1-0 63% 63% -0.1 25% 30% -17.9 12% 18% -34.5
04.05.24 TDCS Dong Thap vs Long An FC 0-0 45% 51% -11.9 34% 33% 0.9 22% 29% -25.7
05.05.24 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Cong An Nhan Dan 1-0 11% 15% -28.4 25% 25% 0.4 64% 71% -10.0
10.05.24 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Cong An Nhan Dan 0-0 28% 32% -12.2 37% 36% 3.2 35% 44% -21.7
11.05.24 Da Nang vs Long An FC 3-0 73% 73% -0.1 18% 24% -25.1 9% 14% -36.1
11.05.24 Hoa Binh FC vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 1-0 47% 47% 0.6 32% 36% -9.3 21% 31% -32.3
15.05.24 Dong Nai FC vs Hoa Binh FC 0-0 38% 43% -13.2 37% 36% 1.3 25% 32% -21.3
15.05.24 Long An FC vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 2-2 23% 29% -18.5 32% 29% 12.3 45% 56% -19.7
15.05.24 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs TDCS Dong Thap 1-0 43% 51% -15.4 35% 34% 3.6 21% 27% -19.4
19.05.24 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Long An FC 4-1 70% 68% 2.0 20% 26% -25.7 11% 17% -36.4
19.05.24 Hoa Binh FC vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh 0-0 40% 44% -10.9 34% 33% 2.9 26% 35% -25.6
19.05.24 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Dong Nai FC 3-0 73% 73% -0.2 18% 24% -25.5 9% 15% -36.5
20.05.24 TDCS Dong Thap vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 2-0 48% 51% -5.7 31% 31% -1.3 22% 31% -30.1
24.05.24 Da Nang vs TDCS Dong Thap 3-1 84% 86% -2.9 11% 15% -27.6 6% 9% -35.9
25.05.24 Dong Nai FC vs Long An FC 2-0 35% 42% -15.5 34% 32% 6.6 30% 39% -22.5
25.05.24 Hoa Binh FC vs Cong An Nhan Dan 1-1 12% 16% -27.5 30% 31% -5.0 59% 65% -9.0
15.06.24 Long An FC vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh 1-1 51% 54% -6.4 31% 32% -4.0 18% 26% -29.9
15.06.24 TDCS Dong Thap vs Dong Nai FC 0-0 51% 54% -5.2 32% 34% -5.9 17% 24% -29.1
15.06.24 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Hoa Binh FC 2-0 73% 72% 0.8 19% 26% -26.9 8% 13% -36.1
23.06.24 Dong Nai FC vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 1-0 51% 56% -9.4 31% 31% -0.0 18% 25% -27.8
23.06.24 Hoa Binh FC vs TDCS Dong Thap 1-0 49% 55% -9.9 33% 33% -1.6 18% 24% -26.3
23.06.24 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 1-0 17% 22% -22.8 32% 31% 3.5 51% 59% -13.5
26.10.24 Hoa Binh FC vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 0-0 17% 22% -25.0 32% 32% 0.5 51% 58% -11.9
26.10.24 Khanh Hoa vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh 0-1 15% 21% -26.8 30% 29% 1.4 55% 62% -11.0
27.10.24 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Dong Nai FC 4-1 42% 47% -10.1 35% 34% 0.9 23% 31% -25.1
27.10.24 Long An FC vs Cong An Nhan Dan 0-0 13% 17% -23.5 29% 28% 4.8 58% 66% -13.1
02.11.24 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Khanh Hoa 2-0 72% 72% -0.2 19% 24% -23.4 10% 15% -35.9
03.11.24 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Hoa Binh FC 2-1 71% 70% 1.4 19% 26% -27.0 9% 15% -36.5
03.11.24 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Long An FC 2-0 81% 82% -1.6 14% 19% -29.0 6% 9% -36.1
03.11.24 TDCS Dong Thap vs Ho Chi Minh City FC II 0-0 54% 67% -20.1 30% 26% 15.2 16% 18% -11.7
09.11.24 Ho Chi Minh City FC II vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 0-1 14% 20% -29.6 30% 31% -5.1 56% 61% -8.3
09.11.24 Long An FC vs TDCS Dong Thap 1-1 49% 51% -4.1 30% 31% -2.8 20% 29% -30.5
10.11.24 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh 0-2 13% 20% -32.8 26% 29% -8.9 61% 63% -4.4
10.11.24 Khanh Hoa vs Dong Nai FC 2-1 49% 55% -11.1 31% 30% 3.5 20% 27% -25.9
14.11.24 Ho Chi Minh City FC II vs Cong An Nhan Dan 0-0 13% 19% -31.2 26% 26% -2.9 61% 67% -8.0
14.11.24 TDCS Dong Thap vs Hoa Binh FC 1-0 41% 45% -8.7 37% 38% -3.2 22% 29% -25.3
14.11.24 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 3-2 82% 83% -1.9 13% 18% -27.8 5% 8% -35.6
16.11.24 Dong Nai FC vs Long An FC 0-0 34% 36% -5.4 35% 33% 3.6 31% 43% -27.0
19.11.24 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Ho Chi Minh City FC II 3-1 43% 49% -12.1 34% 32% 4.4 23% 31% -23.8
19.11.24 Hoa Binh FC vs Khanh Hoa 0-0 47% 50% -5.8 34% 36% -5.3 19% 27% -28.4
20.11.24 TDCS Dong Thap vs Dong Nai FC 0-0 60% 65% -6.5 29% 31% -8.2 11% 15% -28.6
18.01.25 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 1-0 76% 77% -0.9 16% 22% -26.2 8% 12% -36.1
19.01.25 Ho Chi Minh City FC II vs Long An FC 1-1 38% 42% -10.0 34% 32% 5.1 29% 38% -25.7
19.01.25 Khanh Hoa vs TDCS Dong Thap 0-0 34% 38% -12.2 38% 38% 0.7 28% 36% -21.0
19.01.25 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC vs Dong Nai FC 1-1 82% 85% -2.7 13% 18% -28.9 5% 7% -35.9
23.01.25 Dong Nai FC vs Ho Chi Minh City FC II 0-0 30% 36% -15.4 36% 35% 4.0 33% 42% -20.1
23.01.25 Long An FC vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 1-0 36% 35% 3.8 35% 36% -3.5 29% 41% -30.1
23.01.25 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Hoa Binh FC 2-0 71% 71% -0.8 21% 28% -23.2 8% 12% -35.3
24.01.25 TDCS Dong Thap vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 0-1 24% 31% -23.1 37% 38% -0.9 39% 43% -11.3
08.02.25 Ba Ria Vung Tau vs Hoa Binh FC 1-0 46% 49% -5.0 33% 35% -4.8 20% 29% -29.1
09.02.25 Khanh Hoa vs Ho Chi Minh City FC II 2-0 46% 51% -8.6 33% 33% -0.8 21% 29% -27.3
09.02.25 Long An FC vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai FC 1-2 20% 25% -20.3 35% 34% 3.0 45% 53% -15.1
09.02.25 Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs TDCS Dong Thap 1-0 65% 67% -3.4 25% 29% -15.2 10% 15% -33.4
15.02.25 Cong An Nhan Dan vs Khanh Hoa 3-1 76% 76% -0.2 16% 23% -28.1 7% 12% -36.3
15.02.25 TDCS Dong Thap vs Ba Ria Vung Tau 0-1 51% 53% -4.2 31% 34% -7.5 18% 26% -30.9
Showing the 100 most recent of 279 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

18 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Binh Duong 1713.91
2 Cong An Nhan Dan 1668.28
3 Thai Nguyen FC 1607.67
4 Hung Yen FC 1600.00
5 Lam Dong 1586.32
6 Quang Ninh 1521.05
7 Quy Nhon United 1516.23
8 PVF-CAND II 1506.93
9 Dai Hoc Van Hien 1499.15
10 Ba Ria Vung Tau 1488.43
11 TDCS Dong Thap 1485.39
12 TP Ho Chi Minh City 1455.83
13 Hoa Binh FC 1432.63
14 Hue FC 1377.88
15 Khanh Hoa 1350.98
16 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1349.41
17 Long An FC 1313.06
18 Ho Chi Minh City FC II 1157.72

Away Ratings

18 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Cong An Nhan Dan 1837.33
2 Hung Yen FC 1663.03
3 Binh Duong 1629.17
4 Thai Nguyen FC 1614.95
5 TP Ho Chi Minh City 1551.10
6 Lam Dong 1550.00
7 Ba Ria Vung Tau 1511.44
8 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1454.94
9 Quy Nhon United 1434.09
10 PVF-CAND II 1407.12
11 Quang Ninh 1339.45
12 Dai Hoc Van Hien 1330.91
13 Hue FC 1330.07
14 Long An FC 1305.64
15 Hoa Binh FC 1266.75
16 Khanh Hoa 1251.63
17 TDCS Dong Thap 1244.09
18 Ho Chi Minh City FC II 1079.26