ratings1x2
soccer match ratings

Home and away ratings by league.

Choose a country and league, then compare venue splits side by side.

Continents 5
Countries 150
Status Live
Live data — not yet cached in the database
No cached league history dataset for this league yet.
Matches 578
Avg Goals 1.79
Avg Home 1.04
Avg Away 0.75
Home Win % 41.2%
Draw % 33.6%
Away Win % 25.3%

Team Comparison

Select teams to calculate odds, or build a full round of fixtures.
Calculating…
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Rows Created0
Rows Ready0
Margin0.00%
Each row shows 1X2, DNB, O/U 2.5, and BTTS prices for one matchup.

Replays every completed match stored for this league through the ratings-only model and compares it against the bookmaker odds recorded at the time.

Market weight: how much of the reported probability comes from the de-vigged market versus the ratings-only model (0 = pure model, 1 = pure market). Edge threshold: a relative edge against the raw (vigged) price actually on offer — model_p / raw_implied_p − 1 — since that's what you'd actually pay, and a flat percentage-point gap means very different things at a 10% price versus a 70% one. Recalculating…
Matches Backtested 578
Avg Brier Score 0.6316
Pick Accuracy 43.9%
Source postgres
Raw Model Brier 0.6316
Market Brier 0.6326
Blended Model Beats Market? Yes
Market Weight 0.7
"Avg Brier Score" and the calibration/match tables below use the model blended 70% toward the de-vigged market (raw ratings-only model shown separately as "Raw Model Brier") — edges and value bets are computed from this blended view.
Value Bets Found 0
Value Bet Hit Rate -
ROI (flat stake) -
ROI Trustworthy? No
Relative edge ≥ 10.0% (against the raw, vigged price actually on offer) flags a value bet · 0 of 578 matches had at least one · staked 0.00, profit 0.00 units.
Side Bets Hit Rate Staked Profit ROI
home 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
draw 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
away 0 - 0.00 0.00 -
Value bets broken down by outcome side — a lopsided book (almost all bets on one side) means the ROI above is more likely measuring a systematic model bias toward that side than real per-match mispricing.
Predicted Range Predicted Avg Actual Freq Samples
0–10% 8.1% 5.6% 18
10–20% 16.0% 15.6% 167
20–30% 26.0% 25.3% 451
30–40% 33.9% 36.1% 731
40–50% 44.1% 38.4% 198
50–60% 54.4% 55.1% 118
60–70% 64.0% 57.1% 42
70–80% 73.1% 100.0% 8
80–90% 80.8% 0.0% 1
Date Match Result HOME (1) DRAW (X) AWAY (2)
Model Price Edge Model Price Edge Model Price Edge
19.08.23 Napsa Stars vs ZESCO United 0-1 30% 34% -10.6 33% 36% -8.5 37% 43% -13.0
19.08.23 Nkana FC vs Red Arrows FC 0-1 35% 38% -8.6 35% 39% -11.6 30% 35% -14.0
19.08.23 Trident FC vs Kansanshi Dynamos 1-1 33% 36% -8.3 33% 36% -8.6 35% 41% -15.2
20.08.23 Forest Rangers vs Kabwe Warriors 1-0 32% 38% -14.3 34% 38% -10.9 33% 36% -8.2
20.08.23 Mufulira Wanderers vs Green Buffaloes FC 1-0 25% 32% -21.9 31% 36% -12.1 43% 45% -4.5
26.08.23 Green Buffaloes FC vs Napsa Stars 2-1 40% 47% -13.1 33% 36% -9.9 27% 30% -11.5
26.08.23 Kabwe Warriors vs Trident FC 2-1 53% 53% -0.0 29% 34% -16.1 18% 25% -26.3
26.08.23 Kansanshi Dynamos vs Mufulira Wanderers 0-0 45% 50% -9.4 32% 36% -10.7 23% 27% -15.6
26.08.23 Konkola Blades vs Green Eagles 0-0 28% 31% -11.4 33% 37% -10.1 39% 44% -12.2
26.08.23 Zanaco FC vs Forest Rangers 1-1 40% 43% -7.0 34% 39% -12.1 25% 29% -14.6
27.08.23 Mutondo Stars vs Nkana FC 1-0 32% 38% -16.4 34% 38% -10.5 34% 36% -6.3
27.08.23 ZESCO United vs Prison Leopards 1-1 56% 61% -9.0 28% 32% -11.7 16% 19% -17.7
30.08.23 FC Muza vs Zanaco FC 1-1 53% 61% -13.0 29% 31% -6.8 18% 20% -9.2
30.08.23 Prison Leopards vs Power Dynamos 0-0 26% 29% -12.8 33% 36% -9.8 42% 47% -10.7
02.09.23 Green Eagles vs Nkana FC 1-0 37% 43% -13.9 34% 38% -10.6 28% 30% -6.9
02.09.23 Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors 2-2 34% 42% -17.8 34% 38% -10.6 32% 33% -4.0
02.09.23 Napsa Stars vs Kansanshi Dynamos 0-0 52% 54% -3.1 31% 36% -15.6 17% 22% -22.1
02.09.23 Nkwazi FC vs ZESCO United 1-0 23% 28% -18.9 32% 36% -12.2 46% 49% -6.6
02.09.23 Trident FC vs Zanaco FC 0-2 30% 32% -7.2 34% 38% -10.2 36% 43% -15.0
03.09.23 Forest Rangers vs Red Arrows FC 0-0 38% 43% -11.2 34% 38% -10.8 28% 31% -10.7
03.09.23 Prison Leopards vs Green Buffaloes FC 1-0 36% 42% -12.9 34% 38% -10.7 29% 32% -8.9
09.09.23 Power Dynamos vs Nkwazi FC 2-1 54% 56% -3.9 28% 32% -12.7 18% 23% -22.8
09.09.23 Red Arrows FC vs FC Muza 1-1 35% 40% -11.4 33% 37% -9.9 31% 36% -12.7
16.09.23 Green Buffaloes FC vs Nkwazi FC 0-0 44% 49% -9.4 32% 36% -10.1 24% 28% -14.8
16.09.23 Red Arrows FC vs Trident FC 2-0 53% 53% -1.1 28% 33% -15.3 19% 26% -26.5
16.09.23 Zanaco FC vs Mufulira Wanderers 1-0 44% 49% -9.5 33% 37% -11.5 23% 27% -14.7
17.09.23 Kabwe Warriors vs Napsa Stars 1-1 39% 44% -11.6 33% 36% -9.2 28% 31% -11.3
17.09.23 Kansanshi Dynamos vs Prison Leopards 2-1 38% 43% -12.8 34% 38% -10.7 28% 30% -8.4
17.09.23 ZESCO United vs Konkola Blades 3-0 68% 70% -3.3 22% 27% -17.5 10% 14% -26.9
20.09.23 Nkana FC vs FC Muza 1-1 43% 50% -14.4 33% 36% -9.7 24% 26% -7.5
23.09.23 Forest Rangers vs Nkana FC 1-0 35% 41% -14.1 33% 37% -9.8 32% 35% -9.5
23.09.23 Napsa Stars vs Zanaco FC 3-0 50% 53% -5.4 31% 35% -12.6 20% 24% -20.0
23.09.23 Nkwazi FC vs Kansanshi Dynamos 0-0 46% 49% -6.6 33% 38% -12.6 21% 26% -16.4
23.09.23 Prison Leopards vs Kabwe Warriors 1-2 34% 39% -13.6 34% 38% -10.7 32% 35% -8.8
24.09.23 Green Eagles vs FC Muza 0-4 39% 45% -15.1 33% 37% -9.9 28% 30% -7.5
24.09.23 Power Dynamos vs ZESCO United 2-2 39% 43% -9.0 33% 37% -10.6 28% 33% -15.6
30.09.23 Mutondo Stars vs Mufulira Wanderers 2-1 34% 36% -5.8 33% 36% -9.2 33% 39% -16.6
30.09.23 Red Arrows FC vs Napsa Stars 1-0 48% 53% -8.2 31% 35% -11.5 21% 25% -17.6
30.09.23 Zanaco FC vs Prison Leopards 0-0 47% 53% -11.3 32% 36% -10.5 21% 24% -12.5
30.09.23 ZESCO United vs Green Eagles 3-2 56% 61% -8.1 28% 32% -12.5 15% 19% -19.1
01.10.23 Kabwe Warriors vs Nkwazi FC 1-1 43% 48% -9.0 32% 36% -10.7 24% 29% -15.3
01.10.23 Kansanshi Dynamos vs Konkola Blades 0-1 54% 60% -9.9 28% 31% -8.7 18% 21% -16.4
01.10.23 Nkana FC vs Trident FC 0-0 50% 50% 0.3 30% 35% -15.2 20% 27% -25.7
07.10.23 Konkola Blades vs Kabwe Warriors 0-2 27% 32% -16.9 33% 38% -11.4 40% 43% -6.5
07.10.23 Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkana FC 2-1 32% 36% -10.8 34% 38% -10.2 34% 38% -12.4
07.10.23 Prison Leopards vs Red Arrows FC 1-2 29% 34% -15.7 34% 38% -10.7 37% 40% -7.0
07.10.23 ZESCO United vs Green Buffaloes FC 1-0 54% 60% -9.3 29% 32% -10.9 17% 21% -17.9
08.10.23 Green Eagles vs Forest Rangers 2-1 39% 43% -9.7 34% 38% -10.8 27% 31% -13.4
08.10.23 Nkwazi FC vs Zanaco FC 1-1 41% 43% -6.7 34% 38% -11.8 26% 30% -15.8
08.10.23 Power Dynamos vs Kansanshi Dynamos 3-1 58% 61% -6.1 28% 33% -15.3 14% 18% -21.9
14.10.23 Green Buffaloes FC vs Power Dynamos 3-1 17% 18% -6.5 30% 33% -8.8 53% 60% -12.7
20.10.23 Green Buffaloes FC vs Green Eagles 2-0 42% 47% -10.0 32% 35% -9.4 26% 31% -15.7
21.10.23 FC Muza vs Mufulira Wanderers 1-0 53% 58% -8.9 29% 33% -11.5 18% 22% -17.9
21.10.23 Nkana FC vs Napsa Stars 1-1 41% 44% -8.3 33% 37% -10.9 26% 31% -16.0
21.10.23 Red Arrows FC vs Nkwazi FC 4-0 51% 55% -6.5 30% 34% -12.3 19% 23% -19.2
21.10.23 Zanaco FC vs Konkola Blades 3-0 54% 59% -8.3 29% 32% -10.8 17% 21% -17.9
22.10.23 Kansanshi Dynamos vs ZESCO United 1-1 22% 27% -17.7 32% 36% -11.7 46% 49% -6.4
28.10.23 Konkola Blades vs Red Arrows FC 1-1 14% 17% -16.9 28% 31% -11.0 58% 62% -7.6
28.10.23 Mufulira Wanderers vs Forest Rangers 1-1 36% 39% -9.3 34% 38% -10.1 31% 35% -13.0
28.10.23 Napsa Stars vs FC Muza 1-1 38% 43% -13.0 33% 36% -9.0 29% 32% -9.8
28.10.23 Prison Leopards vs Nkana FC 0-1 35% 40% -13.7 34% 38% -10.3 32% 35% -9.3
28.10.23 ZESCO United vs Kabwe Warriors 1-2 52% 56% -6.9 30% 33% -11.3 19% 23% -19.0
29.10.23 Green Buffaloes FC vs Kansanshi Dynamos 1-1 41% 44% -8.4 33% 36% -10.6 27% 32% -16.9
29.10.23 Power Dynamos vs Zanaco FC 1-1 58% 59% -2.0 27% 32% -16.3 15% 21% -26.3
04.11.23 FC Muza vs Prison Leopards 2-0 44% 48% -8.1 32% 36% -10.7 24% 29% -17.3
04.11.23 Forest Rangers vs Napsa Stars 1-0 40% 44% -9.2 33% 37% -10.3 26% 31% -14.0
04.11.23 Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes FC 3-0 48% 53% -7.9 31% 35% -11.1 20% 24% -16.6
04.11.23 Mutondo Stars vs Konkola Blades 0-1 54% 58% -6.5 28% 32% -12.5 17% 22% -21.8
04.11.23 Red Arrows FC vs Power Dynamos 1-1 38% 41% -7.8 33% 36% -10.1 30% 36% -17.0
04.11.23 Zanaco FC vs ZESCO United 1-1 33% 39% -16.3 34% 38% -10.5 33% 36% -6.5
05.11.23 Kansanshi Dynamos vs Green Eagles 0-2 36% 40% -10.3 34% 38% -10.2 30% 34% -12.4
05.11.23 Nkana FC vs Nkwazi FC 1-3 44% 48% -6.6 33% 37% -12.0 23% 28% -17.5
08.11.23 Green Buffaloes FC vs Zanaco FC 1-0 39% 44% -12.2 34% 38% -11.4 27% 30% -11.2
08.11.23 Kansanshi Dynamos vs Kabwe Warriors 2-0 25% 29% -12.5 34% 38% -11.2 41% 47% -10.8
08.11.23 Konkola Blades vs Nkana FC 1-2 22% 27% -17.2 32% 36% -11.5 45% 49% -6.8
08.11.23 Nkwazi FC vs FC Muza 2-1 35% 39% -9.7 34% 38% -10.5 31% 36% -13.8
09.11.23 Green Eagles vs Mufulira Wanderers 0-0 45% 49% -7.9 31% 34% -9.3 24% 29% -16.7
11.11.23 FC Muza vs Konkola Blades 0-0 62% 66% -6.2 25% 29% -12.8 13% 17% -23.2
11.11.23 Kabwe Warriors vs Green Eagles 0-1 51% 56% -9.8 29% 32% -9.4 20% 24% -17.6
11.11.23 Red Arrows FC vs Green Buffaloes FC 4-1 48% 51% -4.3 30% 33% -11.3 22% 29% -22.5
11.11.23 Zanaco FC vs Kansanshi Dynamos 1-0 54% 60% -9.4 30% 34% -11.8 16% 19% -15.1
12.11.23 Mufulira Wanderers vs Napsa Stars 2-1 35% 39% -9.6 34% 38% -11.1 30% 35% -13.6
12.11.23 Nkana FC vs Power Dynamos 0-2 29% 33% -12.0 34% 38% -10.5 37% 42% -11.4
25.11.23 Green Eagles vs Napsa Stars 3-0 38% 42% -9.4 34% 38% -10.8 29% 33% -14.2
25.11.23 Kabwe Warriors vs Zanaco FC 0-1 51% 57% -11.5 31% 34% -10.2 18% 21% -11.3
25.11.23 Konkola Blades vs Forest Rangers 1-1 26% 31% -17.2 33% 37% -11.2 41% 44% -7.1
25.11.23 Nkwazi FC vs Trident FC 1-1 56% 59% -4.4 28% 33% -15.0 15% 20% -23.0
25.11.23 Power Dynamos vs FC Muza 1-1 51% 53% -4.4 30% 34% -12.6 20% 25% -22.0
25.11.23 Prison Leopards vs Mufulira Wanderers 2-0 41% 44% -7.7 33% 38% -11.8 26% 31% -16.6
26.11.23 Kansanshi Dynamos vs Red Arrows FC 2-1 24% 29% -15.7 32% 36% -10.8 43% 48% -8.7
26.11.23 ZESCO United vs Nkana FC 3-1 57% 64% -10.8 27% 29% -8.0 16% 19% -15.5
02.12.23 FC Muza vs ZESCO United 1-3 33% 39% -15.0 33% 37% -9.8 33% 36% -8.5
02.12.23 Forest Rangers vs Power Dynamos 1-0 27% 31% -12.9 33% 37% -10.3 40% 44% -11.0
02.12.23 Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi FC 1-1 34% 38% -11.6 34% 38% -10.8 32% 36% -11.3
02.12.23 Napsa Stars vs Prison Leopards 1-0 44% 48% -6.7 33% 38% -12.1 22% 27% -16.0
02.12.23 Nkana FC vs Green Buffaloes FC 2-1 38% 41% -7.6 34% 38% -11.4 28% 33% -15.4
03.12.23 Mutondo Stars vs Kansanshi Dynamos 2-0 36% 38% -7.7 32% 36% -9.1 32% 38% -16.8
03.12.23 Red Arrows FC vs Kabwe Warriors 1-1 40% 44% -9.9 32% 36% -10.0 28% 33% -16.5
09.12.23 Green Buffaloes FC vs FC Muza 1-1 37% 39% -6.3 33% 37% -10.4 30% 36% -17.3
09.12.23 Green Eagles vs Prison Leopards 4-0 40% 43% -8.0 34% 38% -11.2 26% 31% -15.3
Showing the 100 most recent of 578 evaluated matches.

Home Ratings

22 teams
Home team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 ZESCO United 1802.92
2 Power Dynamos 1800.28
3 Red Arrows FC 1776.79
4 Nkana FC 1691.56
5 Green Eagles 1688.67
6 Nchanga Rangers 1669.95
7 Zanaco FC 1641.50
8 Mufulira Wanderers 1636.80
9 Green Buffaloes FC 1629.58
10 Napsa Stars 1624.54
11 Kansanshi Dynamos 1624.41
12 Kabwe Warriors 1618.32
13 FC Muza 1613.28
14 Makeni All Stars 1600.00
15 Chirundu United 1595.75
16 Mutondo Stars 1586.24
17 Prison Leopards 1583.90
18 Nkwazi FC 1560.04
19 Konkola Blades 1545.77
20 Trident FC 1544.87
21 Roan United 1538.32
22 Mines United 1500.01

Away Ratings

22 teams
Away team ratings and rankings based on historical performance.
Rank Team Rating
1 Red Arrows FC 1723.20
2 ZESCO United 1686.64
3 Power Dynamos 1648.38
4 Kabwe Warriors 1648.30
5 Green Eagles 1629.72
6 Chirundu United 1616.26
7 Zanaco FC 1599.68
8 FC Muza 1596.97
9 Nchanga Rangers 1584.91
10 Napsa Stars 1581.46
11 Nkana FC 1580.27
12 Green Buffaloes FC 1571.68
13 Konkola Blades 1555.07
14 Roan United 1550.00
15 Mufulira Wanderers 1541.19
16 Kansanshi Dynamos 1532.30
17 Nkwazi FC 1527.00
18 Mutondo Stars 1482.07
19 Trident FC 1473.43
20 Prison Leopards 1452.43
21 Makeni All Stars 1420.69
22 Mines United 1367.22